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Mexican elections 2018

 
 
roger
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Jan, 2018 10:43 pm
@roger,
Now that I think about it, you, Bernie (blatham), and are the only ones left of that group that are still posting here.
fbaezer
 
  2  
Reply Mon 15 Jan, 2018 09:41 pm
@roger,
It's a shame. And it's also sad that some of them passed away.
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  2  
Reply Tue 16 Jan, 2018 09:46 pm
The precampaign to be the candidate for Mexico City governor is almost over.

There was a debate and all the candidates were very soft on each other.

Chertorivsky campaigned throughly around the city, had a lot of ads in social media, proposed to legalize mariguana home gardens for self consumption, to move city government agencies to the East side of the city -where most people live- when the new airport is finished, sports programs for the youth, etc etc.
He also tried to act like some one from the 'hood, he even changed his tone to sound more "popular".
Only at the end he started to critisize Barrales.

Ahued campaigned at the beginning, but faded. Went from open spaces to more cozy ones.

Barrales, instead, started late, preferred to go to her party's strongholds, managed to gather a multitude of women, and stressed her campaign on civil and human rights.

The (non-official) poll I have read says:
Barrales is better known (87% vs 74% Chertorivski and 47% Ahued)
Chertorivski has a more favorable political image: +11.6 (the difference between those who have a good opinion of him and those who have a bad one), against Ahued's +6.6 and Barrales -10.7%
Chertorivski is a bit more competitive than Barrales against Morena's candidate Sheinbaum, but they all lose by a double digit margin.
Barrales is more prone to be preferred by PRD members (57%) and PAN members (49%)

https://lasillarotarm.blob.core.windows.net.optimalcdn.com/images/2017/12/15/precandidatos_prd_especial-focus-0.04-0.3-480-345.jpg
Ahued, Barrales and Chertorivski

The latest poll has:

Morena (Sheinbaum) 32%
Front (Chertorivski) 23% (Barrales) 22%
PRI (Mikel Arriola) 8%
Independent (González Zirión) 2%
Undecided 35%


Sheinbaum started her campaign with a god motto: "Innovation and hope", and bettering the city's collapsed mobility; she will stress on the fact that she's a scientist. I think that's a better strategy than playing 'hood..


https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTH_6YOUN5z1Sv72tDF9Y8fp_o_nBiHtfvweRyvoD2Tv4dNs8qw
Claudia Sheinbaum

Poor Mikel Arriola is a very nice guy, but he's accumulating negative opinions because of the mere fact that he's the PRI candidate.
His campaign, I must add, works only for an ideological minority: he'll change "20 years of bad left-wing governments".
The city is evidently better now than 20 years ago.

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/97/Mikel_Andoni_Arriola_Pe%C3%B1alosa_-_2015_%28cropped%29.jpg/220px-Mikel_Andoni_Arriola_Pe%C3%B1alosa_-_2015_%28cropped%29.jpg
Mikel Arriola

I hope the pictures tell you something about the candidates.

In any case, I think each Mexico City (pre)candidate is better than his presidential counterpart.
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  2  
Reply Tue 16 Jan, 2018 09:54 pm
As for the Presidential campaign, President Peña Nieto has started to have his opinions heard.

He said yesterday that to pardon the criminals (of the drug cartels, as AMLO has suggested) is treason to Mexico. Today, that he understands there is social anger, but said that "if the anger reflects in future (electoral) decisions, we'll have anguish".
In Mexico, it's not common for the President to comment on the elections. He's supposed to be above the parties (but obviouly, he is not).

A picture of the 3 candidates, so you know their faces:
http://www.nacion321.com/files/article_main/uploads/2017/12/11/c6d4eb15f1e84_position2_retina.jpg
Left to right: AMLO, Meade and Anaya
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Wed 17 Jan, 2018 12:50 pm
@fbaezer,
Margarita Zavala's brother started a campaign in change.org to strip John Ackerman of his Mexican nationality and expell him from Mexico, because "he's a Russian agent".
Mexicans can be xenophobes, too.

A cartoonist started another campaign in change.org to expell Juan Ignacio Zavala from Mexico "por pendejo".
The cartoonist's initiave is gathering signatures at a faster pace.

Tough Meade's spokesman, Javier Lozano, now refers to AMLO as "Andrés Manuelovich".
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Wed 17 Jan, 2018 02:17 pm
This is the newest presidential poll by Consulta-Mitofsky.


https://www.eleconomista.com.mx/export/sites/eleconomista/img/2018/01/17/pp_int_consulta1_170118.png_656169512.png

The independents' breakdown goes like this:

Margarita Zavala 4.9
Jaime Rodríguez El Bronco 3.3
Armando Ríos Piter El Jaguar 1.8

27.8% declares to be undecided.


Women voters favor Anaya; men voters favor AMLO
Young and old voters favor AMLO; middle age voters favor Anaya


ehBeth
 
  1  
Reply Wed 17 Jan, 2018 02:22 pm
@fbaezer,
need those independents to pick up the pace!
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Wed 17 Jan, 2018 03:03 pm
@ehBeth,
I actually think El Bronco and Zavala are worse than any of the parties' candidates.
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  2  
Reply Wed 17 Jan, 2018 04:20 pm
@fbaezer,
fbaezer wrote:

The Russians are coming!
They want to influence the Mexican election, says the Washington Post

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/democracy-post/wp/2018/01/11/a-mexican-presidential-candidate-is-getting-an-unexpected-boost-from-trump-and-putin/?utm_term=.93aac4107d05

I said it first, but in Spanish:

http://www.cronica.com.mx/notas/2017/1050350.html


(RT's American-Mexican John Ackerman is known here as John Wankerman Wink )

So, if Moscow were to favor one presidential candidate who would it be?
InfraBlue
 
  1  
Reply Wed 17 Jan, 2018 04:22 pm
@fbaezer,
fbaezer wrote:
When he talks about "pirrurris" or "whites", AMLO is pressing the "revolutionary nationalism" button. And also the economic-social resentfulness button, especially with the mestizo lower-middle class who feels left behind.

I've also heard the term "quirrurris." Is it used in the same way as "pirrurris"?
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Wed 17 Jan, 2018 05:00 pm
@InfraBlue,
InfraBlue wrote:


So, if Moscow were to favor one presidential candidate who would it be?


The Washington Post's article implies it would be AMLO, through the "Ackerman connection". No proof of anything, though.
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Wed 17 Jan, 2018 05:03 pm
@InfraBlue,
InfraBlue wrote:


I've also heard the term "quirrurris." Is it used in the same way as "pirrurris"?


Maybe that's the Northeners' way of saying it.
But if it's "la quirrurris", it is a demeaning way of refering to the female lover of a married man.
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Wed 17 Jan, 2018 06:25 pm
The Front's poll is in:

Alejandra Barrales will be their candidate for Mexico City, as expected.

I guess Claudia Sheinbaum (Morena) is exultant.
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Wed 17 Jan, 2018 08:48 pm
This on Twitter.

Sheinbaum and her "Russian plot comrades" celebrate that the Front's candidate is Barrales, not Chertorivski:

https://media.giphy.com/media/3orieUX9lN6RAZAYeY/giphy.gif
0 Replies
 
 

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