Could Evolution be Falsified, Could Creationism be Falsified?
We have two opposing theories that attempt to account for the origin of species. Evolution, based on a number of sciences, proposes that all life on Earth has evolved from earlier species and that this pattern of evolutionary descent goes all the way back to unicellular creatures some 3.5 billion years ago. Creationism, which is rooted in the Christian-Islamic religious tradition, argues that a perfect being created all of life, presumably from, so to speak, a set of divine blueprints. Being perfect, God is thought of as a non-physical supreme being, an all-powerful, all-knowing and a loving God. Anything less would be imperfect.
We have already addressed the issue of evidence for evolution in other papers, and the evidence is overwhelming. (See, for example, the links in the more advanced sources on evolution section of my web site.)
The evidence cited by creationists in support of their belief takes the form of attacks on the alleged insufficiency of evolution to account for complexity of organisms and on the widespread presence of gaps in the fossil record. Both forms of evidence pertain to incompleteness in the evolutionary account. As noted in my critical comments on the Philip Johnson paper, explanatory and data incompleteness, which characterizes all sciences, does not constitute negative evidence against any scientific theory, rather it, to the extent it is actually the case, constitutes theoretical completeness and, in regard to evidence, a lack evidence on some aspects of the theory. Negative evidence, on the other hand, occurs when a theory's predictions are met with contradictory data. No such data exist in regard to evolutionary biology, hence the incompleteness of evolutionary biology does not constitute, in and by itself, evidence against it, let alone evidence in support of divine design. Deficiencies in one theory do not count as evidence for another.
It is commonly claimed by creationists that evolution is not really scientific because they claim that all tests of evolution presuppose evolution and it therefore cannot be falsified by any test, i.e., there is no possibility of obtaining evidence that contradicts evolution. Some opponents of creationism claim the same of it. Scientists and philosophers agree that evolution is falsifiable, and most philosophers, including myself, believe that creationism can, in principle, be falsified, providing creationist avoid using ad hoc hypotheses that in turn have no possibility of being tested. This requires that when the data goes against the creationist view, they avoid speculating on God's mysterious ways.
Here are some ways (but not all of the ways) that evolution could be falsified and creationism confirmed, and vice verse.
1)
If we found that fossils of all types, from those of simple organisms with primitive skeletal traits to those of more complex organisms with more advanced skeletal traits, were found mixed at all geological levels, this would constitute clear evidence against evolution. Evolution predicts that in ordered geological strata, the remains of organisms with more primitive traits should precede those with more advanced traits since advanced traits evolve from more primitive traits. In contrast, since God created all creatures at the beginning of the Earth,
creationism predicts that fossil remains, both primitive and advanced, should be much more mixed (even given the Great Flood). Such a time-wise, geological mixing of primitive and advanced forms would constitute strong evidence that primitive and advanced forms of life were created at the same time, that is, creationism would be confirmed. The actual geological record is massively and clearly in support of evolution.
2)
Evolution predicts that there should be at least some transitional forms between ancestral and descendent species and traits (or, if you prefer, between more primitive and more advanced yet similar species or traits), e.g., there should be transitional forms between reptiles and mammals, between ancient apes and humans, between primitive and advanced jaw structures, limb structures, etc. If creationism is true, there is no reason to find fossils of extinct transitional forms, that is, God would not be expected to create intermediate forms. One could argue that a lack of transitional forms would count more strongly against evolution than it would count for divine creation since God, in his inscrutable way, may have created a wealth of intermediate forms.
Nonetheless, there is already an abundance of transitional forms in the fossil record, and their number is steadily increasing, so evolution has passed this test.
3)
Organisms can be grouped on the basis of some common features, as with mammals, vertebrates and arthropods. Evolution predicts that the traits of the various species within such a grouping, e.g., skeletal structure, should all be modifications of a basic plan characterizing the whole group. Such variations of a basic plan are called homologies, or cross-species patterns. At the evolutionary beginning of the group, an ancestral species would possess the basic trait in a primitive form, and all following members of the group, which descend with modification from the ancestral species, would possess homologous traits.
For instance, the number of forelimb bones and how they are jointed should be the same for all mammalian species, and this is what we find, as with the wing of a bat and the arm of a human. Their forelimbs, as with their other body parts, are homologous because bats and humans evolved from a common ancestor in the distant past. It doesn't make sense in terms of biological engineering for an all-powerful God, who designs all species from scratch, to create body parts with the same basic structure when they have such different functions, e.g., forelimbs for flight, forelimbs for ground locomotion, forelimbs for grabbing tree branches and forelimbs for holding things.
Aeronautical engineers do not constrain themselves to designing the wings of planes as modifications of the design of deer legs or human arms; so why should God?
4)
Vestigial structures and traits are dysfunctional remnants of originally functional structures and traits, e.g., vestigial hips and vestigial second lungs in snakes, vestigial limbs in some whales and vestigial genes in many contemporary species, like the vitamin C pseudogene in primates. Evolution predicts that organisms with vestigial features must have ancestors in which the feature was functional. On the flip side, phylogenetically earlier species would never have vestigial features that are fully functional in later, descendent species, e.g., vestigial nipples should never be found in amphibians or reptiles. The paleontological, anatomical and genetic data bear this out, so evolutionary biology passes this crucial test. In contrast, there is nothing in creationism that plausibly accounts for vestigial features whatever their phylogenetic pattern; why would God waste biological resources on non-functional features?
5)
If there were significant disagreements between the pattern of evolutionary relationships derived from multiple, independent lines of inquiry, e.g., from fossils, comparative anatomy, biogeography, molecular genetics and biology (patterns of protein and DNA sequences), then this would count against evolutionary biology. But the record is clear and getting stronger every year - these independent lines of inquiry all lead to essentially the same pattern of evolutionary relationships. Only in some fine details are there differences, and this is due to a paucity of data on those points. If there were significant disagreements, this would not necessarily constitute evidence in support of creationism, but it would constitute evidence against evolution as currently understood.
6) Cladistics, a major tool in comparative anatomy and paleontology, is a statistical analytic method for establishing the evolutionary relationships among species. It makes use of correlations of independent traits.
If evolutionary biology were false, there should be no difference in the phylogenetic patterns based on correlations of independent traits and based on dependent traits. Such a failure would not clearly constitute evidence in support of creationism, but it would provide clear negative evidence against evolution. Needless to say, there is a big difference in the phylogenetic patterns based on correlations of independent and dependent traits. Evolution has passed this test.
7) If all forms of life were created by a perfect God, which also then has to be a loving God, we would not expect to find fundamental aspects of the world and of the nature of life that impose great suffering on life's various creatures. We would not expect to find numerous instances of suboptimal design in organisms. (Of course, there's always God's inscrutable ways.) In contrast, if life arose by impersonal, mechanistic physico-chemical means and developed via random genetic mutations, the struggle for existence and hence natural selection, we would expect to find widespread suffering and suboptimal design. Here's a section from my Argument from Design dealing with this test:
(1) There is a lot of random activity, destruction and suffering in the universe. Many natural processes like earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and floods are well suited to the destruction of our homes. Pestilence is well adapted to wiping out our crops and inducing famine, and so on. Disease and predator-prey relations impose suffering and death on all life forms. If this is evidence of design, perhaps the designer has a sadistic side. Or perhaps all this is the result of uncaring physics and evolution. Let's take a closer look at the design of our world, starting with how viruses and microorganisms are well adapted to inflict suffering and death upon their victims.
A. The bacteria Mycobacterium leprae is well adapted to the infection of our body. It enters the body silently and infiltrates the skin and nerves. It multiplies for years and ultimately destroys the nerves, resulting in paralysis, mutilation and disfigurement.
B. The parasite Leishmania is an exquisitely adapted and deadly parasite. It is carried about by sand flies, and when transported to a mammalian victim, it bores through the victim's sinuses and eats out the victim's brain.
C. The bot fly infests humans and many other mammals, especially cattle. They catch female mosquitoes and lay their tiny larvae on the mosquito's abdomen. When the mosquito bites a mammal, a larvae crawls into the wound and begins to grow. The wound begins as an itchy sore on the skin that develops into a large, painful and oozing lesion. After 10 weeks, an inch long maggot crawls out and eventually becomes another fly.
D. The hookworm, which infects 1.3 billion people worldwide, sinks its teeth into the host's intestinal wall and sucks blood from the wound.
E. The blood fluke, Schistosoma, infects some 200 million people worldwide. It swims in ponds until it comes into contact with its primary host, humans. It then releases skin-softening chemicals and drills into the ankles of its human host, Once inside, it infects its host by traveling throughout the circulatory system.
F. The microscopic crustacean Sacculina infects crabs and turns them into castrated, mindless slaves that serve the needs of the parasite instead of themselves.
G. Another, finger-sized parasite crustacean devours the tongue of its fish host and replaces it with itself, thereby getting first shot at any incoming food.
The list goes on, through hundreds of such examples of parasitic adaptations; indeed, most biologists consider parasites among the most successful organisms on our planet.
(2) Most animal species exist in and are highly specialized to rather violent predator-prey relations.
A) The digger wasp is well adapted to carefully sting and paralyze caterpillars and lay their eggs inside the caterpillar's still alive and hence preserved body. The wasp's larva are designed to hatch and slowly eat the alive but paralyzed caterpillar from the inside out, devouring the non-vital organs first so as to keep the caterpillar alive as long as possible. (This parasitic behavior is quite common. Another example is phorid flies, which inject their eggs into the bodies of leaf-cutter ants. When the eggs hatch in the still alive ant, the fly larva chew their way through the ant's innards, finishing with the brain to leave an empty, headless corpse.)
B) God designed the cheetah with teeth, claws, eyes, nose, leg muscles, backbone and brain specialized to the efficient killing of gazelles. The gazelle in turn is specialized to out maneuver the cheetah and to run longer than it, thereby starving the cheetah and its offspring. So we have evidence of design for both the survival of cheetahs and the violent consumption of gazelles and the survival of gazelles and the starvation of cheetahs. Actually, this looks more like designs of competing gods, or of a sadistic god who enjoys spectator blood sports (sort of a divine Roman circus for competing animal species).
C) In Lake Victoria, there is a species of Cichlid fish that has acquired an unusual way to protect its young from the many predators of the lake: its stores its eggs in its mouth and even keeps its young in there after hatching until they grow too large for such safe keeping. However, in the competition between fishes of the lake, a species of cat fish has evolved an insidious response: it lays its eggs right where the cichlid does so that the cichlid mother fish will take the cat fish's eggs into its mouth along with its own eggs. Unfortunately for the cichlid, the eggs of the cat fish hatch before those of the cichlid, and they eat the young cichlids as they hatch, all in the mouth of the protective cichlid mother fish. And the cicklid mother fish, not knowing the young predatory cat fish are not her own, continues to house them in her protective mouth while they grow larger and devour her own.
(3) Even relations within a species can be violent. Here are just a couple of examples.
A. The red-back spider was designed with the female many times larger than the male and their behavior fine tuned to a most gruesome mating ritual. During copulation in a "69"
position, the male offers its abdomen to the fangs of the female for consumption. This gains the male time for further insemination. To be a father and pass on his genes, he has to be a meal. Another example of familial cannibalism is the Stegodyphus spider, whose young eat their mother before leaving their maternal web.
B. The male gender of the bug Xylocaris Maculipennis mates with a female and then seals her shut with a chemical mating plug. The plug prevents sexual access by competing males. Over time, the males of this species adapted to this constraint with a stabbing rape technique where they by-pass the mating plug by non-fatally impaling the female next to the plug and inseminating her there. Males then further adapted with homosexual stabbing rape, in which they impale a male and inject their genes into the competitor's bloodstream. The rape victim then passes on those genes when it impales a female. This is a clever design by which the rapist conceives by proxy.
(4) At the biological level, all species have redundancy and significant and sub-optimal anatomical and physiological "design" that reveal the opportunistic compromises of evolution. In the struggle for survival, evolution has to make use of whatever resources it has for adaptation, and these come down to the genes and physiology inherited by various creatures and whatever random genetic mutations these creatures receive. This means that evolution proceeds by trial and error, and a creature's design is constrained by traits already in place. New traits must necessarily be modifications of previously existing traits. This is called historical constraint. While evolution can modify already existing traits, evolution is extremely limited in its ability to undo them and start anew. The design of all creatures is thus a compromise between legacy hardware and conflicting needs. Here are some examples.
A. The African locust evolved from a non-flying ancestor. When, as a function of a small number of homeotic gene mutations, they acquired wings on their thorax, nerve cells in the abdomen, which is further down the body, were co-opted to control the wings. This resulted in a long nerve signal path from the head down past the thorax to the abdomen and then back up to the wings at the thorax. This inefficiency is typical of evolution. An intelligent designer would have produced a more direct connection from the brain to the wings.
B. Flowering plants normally require the help of pollinating insects for fertilization. Some flowering plants, like dandelions, became self-pollinating and hence have no need for flowers to attract pollinating insects. They still expend the energy to grow them because the genes for producing them are still functional. This is an example of a legacy trait that has lost its function.
C. Baleen whales, which do not have teeth, evolved from terrestrial mammals that had teeth. The genetic record of this evolutionary past reveals itself in the appearance (and then disappearance) of embryonic teeth during the fetal whale's development in the womb. The embryonic teeth are, of course, never used and hence are a waste of developmental resources.
D. A similar example is that of the appearance of cartilage gill bars in all terrestrial vertebrates, including humans, that appear early in embryonic development. These precursors of gills are produced by genes inherited from our distant marine ancestors. Gene activations later in embryonic development shape these gill bars into jaw and throat structures.
E. Whales with vestigial limbs. The vestigial limbs are not functional but are merely shrunken remnants of limbs inherited from their Eocene, legged cetacean ancestors.
F. Most pythons have vestigial pelvises that are not even attached to the vertebrae. The growth of such non-functional parts during embryonic development costs resources, but they're there as legacy traits.
G. Snakes evolved from reptiles with two lungs, but because of the narrowness of the snake body, snakes today have only one functioning lung along with a non-functional vestigial lung. All such vestigial traits retained in the adult organisms are a waste biological resources.
H. Birds evolved from small, dinosaur-like reptiles with teeth. All living birds are toothless, yet they still have genes inherited from their reptilian ancestors that can be turned on to produce teeth.
I. Flounder fish live on the sea bottom and have flat bodies whose eyes are side by side on the same, up-side of their head. Flounder evolved from normal shaped fish whose eyes are on opposite sides of the head, and this evolutionary background is reflected in their embryonic form where the eyes are initially on opposite sides of their head and then one eye moves to the other side. If God designed flounder, why didn't he have them develop from the get-go with their eyes on opposite sides of their head? This would certainly make more efficient use of developmental resources.
J. The human body has many such design inefficiencies and compromises. For example, the optic nerve that connects the light-sensing retina of our eyes to our brain emerges as a bundle of nerve fibers from a point behind the retina and then spread out over the retina. Light, of course, must pass through this mesh of nerve fibers before it can reach the light sensitive retinal cells. This organization results in a blind spot, a reduction of resolution and a structural weakness that promotes detached retinas. The squid eye, in contrast, is free from these flaws because its optic nerve attaches to the back side of the retina, which avoids a blind spot and anchors the retina. Our eyes have their organizational shortcoming because the basic design of the human eye has been inherited from our distant mammalian ancestors. Hundreds of millions of years ago, as a matter of chance mutations, the layer of cells that happened to become light sensitive were located differently than the corresponding layer in ancestors of squids. Both designs evolved along separate tracks, and for the human eye there is no going back.
K. The organization of the prostate in males is so bad that if it were designed by an engineer it would be an indication of outright incompetence. The urethra tube, which channels urine from the kidney to the penis, passes through the prostate gland. As the prostate enlarges with age, it squeezes the urethra tube, obstructing the flow of urine and even causes death in extreme cases. A simple fix would be to have the urethra tube run along the outside of the prostate.
L. A related design flaw is the development of male testes. During embryonic development, the testes appear inside the abdomen. To get down to the scrotum, they have to pass through the abdominal wall, and this leaves a weak spot in the abdominal wall called the inguinal canal. This weak spot can herniate and thereby damage the intestines and restrict blood flow to the testes.
M. A nice example of evolutionary opportunism and compromise in humans is the design of our spinal column. As a species, we are especially prone to lower back problems. The reason for this is that we are a bipedal species, and standing and walking upright requires that all of the body's weight above the legs be supported by the spinal column and balanced at the pivot points where the backbone meets the hips, resulting in a great deal of stress on the lower backbone. Part of the problem here is a conflict between structural support and the need of the human female's birth canal to pass a large brained infant at birth. The other part of the problem is that the human backbone-hip design is a modification of the basic quadrupedal design. Our distant vertebrate ancestors walked on all fours, and in this quadrapedal context, the skeletal design is quite efficient.
There are many other examples (our immune system, our rib cage, which is to short to fully enclose and protect most vital organs, and so on), but the point has been made. The nature of life is what we would expect if its development is under the control of impersonal, trail-and-error, full-of-compromises evolution. It is not what we would expect if life was created by a perfect God. (If you're interested in additional material on this topic, you could take a look at The Scars of Evolution: What Our Bodies Tell Us About Human Origins by Elaine Morgan, The Panda's Thumb: More Reflections on Natural History and Hen's Teeth and Horses Toes, both by Stephen Jay Gould, and The Blind Watchmaker: Why The Evidence Of Evolution Reveals A Universe Without Design by Richard Dawkins.)
Conclusion: there are ways to falsify evolutionary biology and ways to falsify creationism. In terms of passing such just these 6 crucial tests, the score is evolution 6, creationism 0.