monitoring Trump and relevant contemporary events

@maporsche,

As usual, I like the way you think!

0 Replies

@maporsche,

maporsche wrote:

I'm not at all worried about the House

Notice how many seats the Republicans gained in the House this time?

2022 will be an off year election.

maporsche wrote:

and Senate races are state wide so no way to gerrymander them.

2022 will be an off year election.

maporsche wrote:

He'll have plenty to show.

Not likely.

maporsche wrote:

More and more of the presidency can actually be managed via Executive Orders as Trump has shown us.

Ideally Mr. Trump will appoint some independent prosecutors to keep the Biden Administration buried in criminal investigations for the next two years. In that case Mr. Biden won't have much time to worry about anything else.

These criminal investigations can then form the basis for impeaching Mr. Biden when the Republicans retake the House in 2022.

But anyway, I'm not sure what you think Mr. Trump has shown regarding executive orders, but there are limits to their power.

1 Reply

@hightor,

hightor wrote:

Quote:
I agree - I'm hoping that with the MUCH more favorable map in 2022 that Democrats will indeed pick up seats.

Unfortunately very few state houses changed into Democratic hands so much of the reapportionment will be conducted by the Republican gerrymander machine. If Trump manages to prevent non-citizens from being included in the census results, that could hurt blue states as well.

Biden's got a hell of a job in store, assuming he wins. McConnell will block anything ambitious. The progressive caucus is liable to bolt once they realize that real reform isn't going to happen. If he has nothing to show for his first two years it's hard to see a big swell of Democrats winning in the midterms.

Goddamn you’re a regular ray of sunshine

1 Reply

@snood,

Quote:

Goddamn you’re a regular ray of sunshine

I just call 'em as I see 'em, Cap'n. Other than winning the White House in a squeaker, the party didn't really do that well and without Trump to provoke a reaction at the polls I could see mid-term participation in '22 drop back to its usual low level.

2 Replies

@oralloy,

oralloy wrote:

2022 will be an off year election.

.....so was 2018 - do you remember how that election turned out?

1 Reply

@maporsche,

Indeed I do. That is my entire point.

2022 is likely to be a very bad year for the Democrats.

0 Replies

@Region Philbis,

In three of those states, the votes are coming in 70% Biden. Hard to believe the tallies are going to move back to Trump.

0 Replies

@hightor,

Agreed somewhat - but making ANY president a one-termer is no small matter, especially in this polarized day and age.

I'm going to stop worrying about 2022 for a bit now and revel in the temper-tantrums and the oh-so-soon removal of Donald from the White House.

0 Replies

@hightor,

hightor wrote:

Quote:
Goddamn you’re a regular ray of sunshine

I just call 'em as I see 'em, Cap'n. Other than winning the White House in a squeaker, the party didn't really do that well and without Trump to provoke a reaction at the polls I could see mid-term participation in '22 drop back to its usual low level.

The party may end up with an electoral college total of 306 and a popular vote edge of over 4 million. I wouldn’t characterize that as “not really doing well”.
There’s a fine line between realism and negativity.

2 Replies

1 Reply

@maporsche,

Mr. Trump will get his second win in 2024.

4 Replies

@snood,

snood wrote:

The party may end up with an electoral college total of 306 and a popular vote edge of over 4 million.

Mr. Biden may end up with that.

The Democratic Party... probably not.

0 Replies

@oralloy,

oralloy wrote:

Mr. Trump will get his second win in 2024.

There’s a better chance that he’ll choke on a McNugget or get fitted for an orange jumpsuit long before then.

1 Reply

@snood,

Quote:

There’s a fine line between realism and negativity.

But they're not always mutually exclusive:

Is America Becoming a Failed State?

We'll see how things develop but I don't think my position is unrealistic.

0 Replies

@oristarA,

oristarA wrote:

OK now. Biden leads in Georgia with 2,449,580 votes (Trump 2,448,484).

Biden's successfully taking back the blue wall state Pennsyvania, narrowly beating Trump:

USAToday: PA: Biden 49.5%, Trump 49.4%

Biden's victory is America's victory, while Trump's victory was Trump's victory alone.

0 Replies

@oralloy,

oralloy wrote:

Mr. Trump will get his second win in 2024.

Excuse me if I take your prediction (which I'm sure we'll ALL be subject to hearing about 73,565,924 more times between now and then) and treat it with the exact same value as your previous prediction of 25 years of republican presidential rule --- that is to say, of no value at all.

2 Replies

@oralloy,

Quote:

Mr. Trump will get his second win in 2024.

That will be one for the books. The only impeached former president replaces the former oldest elected president to become the new oldest elected president and the only impeached president to hold two non-consecutive terms of office.

2 Replies

@hightor,

Oralloy has always lacked the caution of the wise, fools rush in and all that.

1 Reply

@izzythepush,

Don't be silly. It will be quite easy to for Mr. Trump to appoint a swarm of independent prosecutors and bury the Biden Administration in criminal investigations.

If he hosts a TV show on Fox News for the next few years, he can keep his base rallied to oppose Mr. Biden at every turn, and his base can then see him through the 2024 Republican nomination. After four years of a do-nothing Biden presidency, 2024 should be just like winning in 2016 after the do-nothing Obama presidency.

1 Reply

@snood,

snood wrote:

There's a better chance that he'll choke on a McNugget

Not really. If Mr. Trump appoints a swarm of independent prosecutors he can bury the Biden Administration in criminal investigations.

If he hosts a TV show on Fox News for the next few years, he can keep his base rallied to oppose Mr. Biden at every turn, and his base can then see him through the 2024 Republican nomination. After four years of a do-nothing Biden presidency, 2024 should be just like winning in 2016 after the do-nothing Obama presidency.

snood wrote:

or get fitted for an orange jumpsuit long before then.

Outlawing the Democratic Party will put an end to their abuses of power to harm people who don't agree with them.

2 Replies

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