thethinkfactory wrote:I understand what Frank is laying out Joe - here is the Humean conundrum - if you believe that religious EXPERIENCE falls under this deductive fallacy - then all experience falls under this fallacy.
Not quite. Granted, if we take Hume's approach, then all explanations of causation end up being
post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacies. Most of us, however, tend to view causation somewhat differently (so did Hume, but he was rather confused on the whole subject). If one billiard ball strikes another, and the second is thereby moved, we not only can claim that the striking preceded the movement, and thus
caused the movement, but we can also, with a good deal of certainty, explain
why the striking caused the movement. Likewise, if I turn the key in a car's ignition and the car starts, I need not rely upon a simple "A precedes B" explanation of causation in order to explain why the key-turning caused the ignition.
In contrast, we have no causative explanation for "answered" prayers -- or, at least, we have no causative explanation that is any better than a mere
post hoc ergo propter hoc analysis. If I pray for rain and it subsequently rains, there can be no kind of testing to determine if there is anything more than an accidental connection between the prayer and the rain. As
Frank suggests, we might as well claim that throwing virgins into volcanoes appeases the volcano god. Or, as Lisa Simpson explained:
Homer: Not a bear in sight. The Bear Patrol must be working like a
charm.
Lisa: That's specious reasoning, Dad.
Homer: Thank you, dear.
Lisa: By your logic I could claim that this rock keeps tigers away.
Homer: Oh, how does it work?
Lisa: It doesn't work.
Homer: Uh-huh.
Lisa: It's just a stupid rock.
Homer: Uh-huh.
Lisa: But I don't see any tigers around, do you?
[Homer thinks of this, then pulls out some money]
Homer: Lisa, I want to buy your rock.
[Lisa refuses at first, then takes the exchange]
thethinkfactory wrote:Human beings cannot observe the causal nexus - is my argument to Joe's and Frank's application of the post hoc ergo propter hoc. Cause and effect is null and void to Hume because he believes all experience falls under the post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy. (I see a followed by b therefore a caused b).
If you're being a strict Humean here,
TTF, then we can largely throw out the notion of cause and effect. But then you have no more warrant to say that prayer leads to
anything as to say that it leads to
something. You can't convince
Frank or me that prayers can be answered because, in the end, you can't convince anyone of anything.
thethinkfactory wrote:Also, Joe and Frank I am also not deducing anything here. I am talking about inductive evidence. Frank's claim is that because all religious experience is ambigious no religious experience can be counted as evidence is the claim I am trying to address.
Religious experience is inductive, but you're attempting to
deduce something from that evidence: in this case, you're attempting to deduce a causal relationship (which isn't inductive reasoning, it's deductive). It's the deduction that is suspect -- I'll leave the inductive evidence for someone else to question.
thethinkfactory wrote:I do not claim that God exists because I feel one thing - I use that as one peice of inductive evidence to be wieghed in with other bits. And yes, Joe, this does mean when prayers are not answered that I put THAT bit in my careful wieghing of my belief in God. I do not go willy nilly into this - this is a life long experiential experiement to give inductive evidence to God's existence. The only leap of faith is when there is not conclusive evidence for or against God's existence that I 'chose' to believe.
Does this make sense?
TTF
Frank is far more of a combative agnostic than am I. Nevertheless, I have never seen anything even approaching
conclusive evidence for or against the existence of God.