41
   

How will Trump handle losing the election?

 
 
farmerman
 
  1  
Reply Mon 13 Jul, 2020 04:44 pm
@farmerman,
Quote:
so Obama was the designer who stole the grilles and fenders and side panels from other badges eh??

Boy we should have impeached him for his playing Raymond Lowey


Sorry for the misspelling , its a bad day for my arm and side
0 Replies
 
Builder
 
  -1  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 02:10 am
Need a new thread; Will Trump go for Three Terms?

Thinking Biden is a chance shows, the lack of thinking.
farmerman
 
  3  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 05:26 am
@Builder,
apparently your'e not able to listen to the deranged news conferences that our pres is calling as "emergency ">. In them he goes totally batshit and the reporters in the audience just sit there looking at each other as if
"What the hell happened to this guys mind? Is he having TIA's"
Hes making no sense , and hes lying freely as if he feels he is talking to a bunch of mentally challenged kids (When , hes the one with no concept of facts and any basic knowledge).
Dr Fauci , yesterday finally called the presidents dumping on him "completely bizarre". GOP Congress including the Senate GOPs have pledged confidence in Fauci and not Trump.

If you think its all "Fake news", you have but to turn on these little news clips on You Tube and watch the presidents deranged speeches that are actually information-free campaign spots.(All being hosted as news conferences being payed for by the citizens and not his campaign fund).

0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 05:27 am
@Builder,
Builder wrote:
Need a new thread; Will Trump go for Three Terms?
And what about the Amendment XXII?

0 Replies
 
MontereyJack
 
  2  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 06:07 am
@Builder,
Biden leads trump by 15 points in new quinnipiac poll. Maybe it's trump who has no chance.
McGentrix
 
  0  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 07:16 am
@MontereyJack,
Quote:
Wednesday, July 15, 2020

President Trump has jumped back into the race and now trails Joe Biden by just three points in Rasmussen Reports’ weekly White House Watch survey.
Region Philbis
 
  3  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 07:22 am
@McGentrix,

from Rasmussen's wikipedia page (emphasis mine)...
Quote:
Rasmussen's polling in the 2000 and 2012 U.S. presidential elections has been criticized by polling watchers as highly inaccurate while the company's performance in the 2004 and 2008 presidential elections was credited for its accuracy. Some, including Patrick Caddell and Douglas Schoen, have lauded Rasmussen Reports while others, such as Chris Cillizza, have questioned its accuracy. FiveThirtyEight gives the firm a "C+" rating, reporting it had a 3.9 point bias in favor of Republican candidates in the 2010 midterm election. The company's frequent divergence from results reported by other polls has been attributed to its use of Likely Voters, rather than Registered Voters or All Adults, in its survey panels.
Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 07:37 am
@Region Philbis,
Even if the Polls Are Really Off, Trump Is Still in Trouble
Quote:
With Joe Biden claiming almost a double-digit lead in national polls, one question still seems to loom over the race: Can we trust the polls after 2016?

It’s a good question. But for now, it’s not as important as you might guess. If the election were held today, Mr. Biden would win the presidency, even if the polls were exactly as wrong as they were four years ago.

The reason is simple: His lead is far wider than Hillary Clinton’s was in the final polls, and large enough to withstand another 2016 polling meltdown.
[... ... ...]
Perhaps the biggest risk is one that has loomed over the polling industry for a decade: declining response rates to telephone surveys. Up until now, there has been little evidence that low response rates have endangered the accuracy of high-quality survey research. It turns out that the people who respond to telephone surveys appear to vote similarly to people from their same demographic group who do not respond.

But they are different in some ways. They are likelier to be volunteers. They are likelier to express trust in their neighbors and society. Such differences could become more significant, or grow into closer alignment with political views. In the worst-case scenario, declining trust in experts, the news media and polling could lead to systematic nonresponse bias, where even adjusting for education or demographics would be far from enough to ensure a representative sample.

There are reasons to doubt that this will happen. Only a few months ago, polls showed Mr. Trump highly competitive, and there is a fairly simple explanation for the turn against him: his handling of coronavirus. The trend against the president holds regardless of how the survey was conducted. Panel surveys, in which respondents are repeatedly contacted, also show former Trump supporters abandoning the president. And most surveys show the right number of respondents who say they voted for Mr. Trump in 2016. They’re just saying they won’t vote for him again. It would take an awfully targeted form of bias for polls to get the right number of 2016 Trump voters yet vastly overrepresent those who are leaving him.

Even so, you can imagine how it could, possibly, happen — such problems can’t be discounted. The problems even harder to discount are those that can’t be imagined.
0 Replies
 
McGentrix
 
  0  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 10:35 am
@Region Philbis,
Rasmussen is always poo-pooed by the left. No real surprises there.
Region Philbis
 
  1  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 10:39 am
@McGentrix,

your ilk swallows the skewed data hook, line and sinker.

lies as fact is SOP for this administration...
McGentrix
 
  -1  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 11:09 am
@Region Philbis,
Heh, I have no ilk.

I wasn't aware that Rasmussen had become part of the administration. When did that happen?
MontereyJack
 
  2  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 11:12 am
@McGentrix,
the poo is deserved.
0 Replies
 
izzythepush
 
  1  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 11:21 am
@McGentrix,
McGentrix wrote:

Heh, I have no ilk.



Is that why you need a gun?
McGentrix
 
  -1  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 11:29 am
@izzythepush,
izzythepush wrote:

Is that why you need a gun?


I have several guns because I want several guns. That's how freedom works.
izzythepush
 
  2  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 11:43 am
@McGentrix,
No, that’s how serial killing works.
McGentrix
 
  0  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 12:10 pm
@izzythepush,
Ha! Maybe you don't know how guns work. I wouldn't be shocked, I mean have you ever actually held one?
izzythepush
 
  1  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 12:39 pm
@McGentrix,
I fired a few when I was in the Territorials.

I know what they’re like and what they do.

I remember you talking in masturbatory detail about your beretta after a recent school shooting.

Most people were shocked, but as always you were completely uninterested in the loss of life.
McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 12:49 pm
@izzythepush,
izzythepush wrote:

I fired a few when I was in the Territorials.

I know what they’re like and what they do.


*GASP*

How many people did you kill? Were they babies?
izzythepush
 
  1  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 01:04 pm
@McGentrix,
You’re salivating again.
McGentrix
 
  0  
Reply Thu 16 Jul, 2020 01:18 pm
@izzythepush,
izzythepush wrote:

You’re salivating again.


Not even. I am seriously concerned that you are a serial killer. You held a gun so you must have killed a bunch of people. I'm merely inquiring if you are a baby killer or not.
 

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