ehBeth wrote:Actually, ican's reasoning works delightfully. Given the decrease in the death rate due to other causes, ican's plan would mean that there has been no increase in deaths in coalition countries due to the invasion. In which case, you have to wonder why the NG and reserve are having such a hard time getting people to sign up. They were gonna die in any case.
Clearly, y'all need a bit of help with your reasoning.
Let's say the non-war-caused-civilian death rate in Iraq for the year 2004 was 5.0 per thousand, down from the 6.2 per thousand in 2001.
Let's also say the population of Iraq was up from 23,332,000 to 25,000,000 in 2004.
Now y'all among the majority of the voters in the blue states, and among the minority of the voters in the red states listen up and focus.
The non-war-caused-civilian deaths in Iraq in 2001 = 23,332,000 x 6.2 / 1000 = 144,658.
Then the non-war-caused-civilian deaths in Iraq in 2004 = 25,000,000 x 5 / 1000 = 125,000.
The number of non-war-caused-civilian deaths in Iraq reduced from 144,658 in 2001 to 125,000 in 2004 which is a
decrease = 144,658 - 125,000 = 19,658.
Now let's say the total number of deaths from all causes in Iraq in 2004 =
225,000.
Please pay close attention y'all. This may be very very complicated for y'all.
The number of war-caused-civilian deaths in Iraq in 2004 = total deaths - non-war-caused-civilian deaths in 2004 =
225,000 - 125,000 = 100,000.
Let's say in 2004, 25,000 of that 100,000 were caused by the Coalition.
Then the number of war-caused-civilian deaths not caused by the Coalition = 100,000 - 25,000 = 75,000.
Whoops y'all! I didn't use decrease = 144,658 - 125,000 = 19,658. What is its relevance? What relevance does it have? Beats me! Oh, well y'all, I don't know everything, yet!
Now class, this is homework for y'all.
Supose now let's say the total number of deaths from all causes in Iraq in 2004 =
100,000 and not
225,000. What would y'all conclude from that? Hmmmmmm?