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THE US, THE UN AND THE IRAQIS THEMSELVES, V. 7.0

 
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 09:14 am
revel wrote:
Other than the people who we put in charge over there, most Iraqis don't want us there anymore. They want to deal with their problems themselves. We should not stay there if we are not welcomed by the people we say we are protecting.

I am just saying that I don't think the Bush administration has it in them to straighten this mess out because they don't know how to talk to other people in other countries without pissing them off. Even the countries that are in there with us are leaving. They probably realize how hopeless it is. We just don't have enough troops to do what you are suggesting even if Bush could managed it right. With Kerry there was a chance, a small one, but I don't think there is a chance with President Bush.

The only reason that I thought there was a chance with Kerry is because he don't talk to other leaders of other countries with a snotty attitude and he might of have been able to sway those countries that have more money and troops than the ones that are presently helping us to help us straighten this mess out.

I could be wrong and I hope I am.


Why do you think "most Iraqis don't want us there anymore," and want to deal with the insurgency by themselves? I find that hard to believe. Did Zogby take a poll?

But if your point is the US should leave, taking its troops with us, why do you comment on your perception of Kerry's superior bargaining abilities with regard to getting other countries to commit troops to the region?

Clearly we need to stay and help the Iraqis until such time as they can handle the insurgency on their own.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 10:56 am
Quote:
Clearly we need to stay and help the Iraqis until such time as they can handle the insurgency on their own.


This just isn't going to happen.

You see, the problem is that the insurgents enjoy a rather large base of support in Iraq.

They don't need more than 10% of the population to support their actions in order to make life real tough for anyone who opposes them. They can simply melt back into the population after an attack, and it becomes extremely difficult to track down/kill all of them.

We also have the problem that the insurgency is made up of several groups of people, yet we treat them as one group; terrorists, Iranian and Syrians who have come to fight, and finally the Iraqi citizen, who makes up the bulk of the insurgent forces.

It's like the mafia. You can't get to the top by attacking the guys at the bottom. The leaders of the insurgency are insulated from the actual fighting, and are many times invested with religious authority as well. They've been telling the Iraqi people that the US is out to get them for a long time, and every time we act in a reactionary fashion towards the insurgents, it merely proves their point.

The fact that we kill women and children as an unavoidable side effect of all this city fighting only serves to bolster the ranks of Iraqis who are willing to fight and die to see us out of their country.

As time goes on, the more alienated the country becomes from the occupying force, the more insurgents will see support, the more we attack the insurgents, which alienates more people from the US, etc....

The fact that we didn't keep them from seriously arming themselves sure doesn't help, either...

Quote:
LOS ANGELES, California (AP) -- Explosives were looted from the Al-Qaqaa ammunitions site in Iraq while outnumbered U.S. soldiers assigned to guard the materials watched helplessly, soldiers told the Los Angeles Times.

About a dozen U.S. troops were guarding the sprawling facility in the weeks after the April 2003 fall of Baghdad when Iraqi looters raided the site, the newspaper quoted a group of unidentified soldiers as saying.

U.S. Army reservists and National Guardsmen witnessed the looting and some soldiers sent messages to commanders in Baghdad requesting help, but received no reply, they said.

"It was complete chaos. It was looting like L.A. during the Rodney King riots," one officer said.

The eyewitness accounts reported by the Times are the first provided by U.S. soldiers and bolster claims that the U.S. military had failed to safeguard the powerful explosives, the newspaper said.


http://www.cnn.com/2004/WORLD/meast/11/04/iraq.weapons.ap/index.html

Whoops.

Until we win over the hearts and minds of the Iraqi populace, by setting up systems of control in their country that conclusively prove to them that we are interested in the welfare of the populace (and not in just setting up a puppet oil gov't), and by removing our military influence from the region, we will face this same spiral of insurgency until it degrades into a civil war.

At least they won't be able to blame it on the democrats, now...

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 11:28 am
From press release: "U.S.-led coalition forces in Iraq failed during last year's invasion to safeguard official documents and the remains of victims in mass graves, Human Rights Watch said in a report released today. As a result, crucial evidence for the upcoming trials of Saddam Hussein and other former Iraqi officials has likely been lost or seriously tainted. The 41-page report, 'Iraq: The State of the Evidence,' details what happened to some of the key archival and forensic evidence that the U.S.-led coalition and, more recently, the Iraqi interim government failed to secure."

Iraq: State of Evidence
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 12:00 pm
Ticomaya wrote:
revel wrote:
Other than the people who we put in charge over there, most Iraqis don't want us there anymore. They want to deal with their problems themselves. We should not stay there if we are not welcomed by the people we say we are protecting.

I am just saying that I don't think the Bush administration has it in them to straighten this mess out because they don't know how to talk to other people in other countries without pissing them off. Even the countries that are in there with us are leaving. They probably realize how hopeless it is. We just don't have enough troops to do what you are suggesting even if Bush could managed it right. With Kerry there was a chance, a small one, but I don't think there is a chance with President Bush.

The only reason that I thought there was a chance with Kerry is because he don't talk to other leaders of other countries with a snotty attitude and he might of have been able to sway those countries that have more money and troops than the ones that are presently helping us to help us straighten this mess out.

I could be wrong and I hope I am.


Why do you think "most Iraqis don't want us there anymore," and want to deal with the insurgency by themselves? I find that hard to believe. Did Zogby take a poll?

But if your point is the US should leave, taking its troops with us, why do you comment on your perception of Kerry's superior bargaining abilities with regard to getting other countries to commit troops to the region?

Clearly we need to stay and help the Iraqis until such time as they can handle the insurgency on their own.


I have reading articles, some of which I posted on election day, from soldiers who are or have been Iraq. From what I can gather we don't enjoy support from the Iraqi people. Besides it just makes sense if you think about it. If the Iraqis supported the US they would turn in these insurgents and they are not doing so.

I brought up kerry's abilities as a leader to talk to other leaders being better than Bush in response to the post before mine where a comment was made that it don't matter who the President is.

The Iraqis are the insurgency for the most part.
0 Replies
 
Gelisgesti
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 12:03 pm
Ticomaya wrote:
revel wrote:
Other than the people who we put in charge over there, most Iraqis don't want us there anymore. They want to deal with their problems themselves. We should not stay there if we are not welcomed by the people we say we are protecting.

I am just saying that I don't think the Bush administration has it in them to straighten this mess out because they don't know how to talk to other people in other countries without pissing them off. Even the countries that are in there with us are leaving. They probably realize how hopeless it is. We just don't have enough troops to do what you are suggesting even if Bush could managed it right. With Kerry there was a chance, a small one, but I don't think there is a chance with President Bush.

The only reason that I thought there was a chance with Kerry is because he don't talk to other leaders of other countries with a snotty attitude and he might of have been able to sway those countries that have more money and troops than the ones that are presently helping us to help us straighten this mess out.

I could be wrong and I hope I am.


Why do you think "most Iraqis don't want us there anymore," and want to deal with the insurgency by themselves? I find that hard to believe. Did Zogby take a poll?

But if your point is the US should leave, taking its troops with us, why do you comment on your perception of Kerry's superior bargaining abilities with regard to getting other countries to commit troops to the region?

Clearly we need to stay and help the Iraqis until such time as they can handle the insurgency on their own.


Could it be that the Iraqi people are in fact the insurgents and are serving as macrophagic agents in order to dispel the invading organism ....... us?
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 02:11 pm
You and your damned logic, Gelisgesti!

The fact is, people, we're losing this war.

Compared to the situation 12 months ago, we are significantly worse off in Iraq. Significantly. Casualties are what, triple what they were at this time last year? Daily attacks have quadrupled? The green zone is under daily attack, whereas it was inviolate before?

The numbers of the insurgents have grown, not shrunk, despite the actions we have taken....

Is it too late to win? Probably not. But we need to take a hard look at what we are doing there, and somehow I doubt that's going to happen.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
McTag
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 02:28 pm
I don't think the US and allies are losing, or will lose, this war.

There is no alternative to winning, and they have the firepower to impose their will anywhere.

The trouble is, since the belligerents are mixed up (deliberately) in the populated areas, the amount of civilians killed is very high. Since the islamists will not relent, and the westerners cannot withdraw, that carnage will go on. Victory will come at huge cost, and the resentment will remain thereafter, attracting more guerrillas. So even after a ceasefire, a high level of insurgency is likely.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 02:29 pm
Well, that just plain isn't a victory, then, McTag!

Obviously we need a new strategy if the best case scenario out of using force is massive civilian deaths and continued high levels of insurgency.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 02:31 pm
The insurgency is a committed opponent. The answer is not to leave. Although that would certainly be the expected Clintonian era response they might have expected from the US. I suspect the insurgents really felt this election was going to go differently.

The insurgency is made up of several groups, including Saddam loyalists, Iraqui nationals who disagree with the invasion, and al Qaeda and other terrorists that have arrived to fight the "infidel." That doesn't make it the "majority" of Iraqi people.

I would expect nothing less that absolute pessimism from you, Cyclo. Interesting you have allowed for the slight possibility that we might "win."
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 02:39 pm
Quote:
I would expect nothing less that absolute pessimism from you, Cyclo. Interesting you have allowed for the slight possibility that we might "win."


I agree with you that the answer isn't to just up and leave the country. But we have to find a way to deal with the insurgents besides killing them, because that simply won't lead to victory.

Quote:
The insurgency is made up of several groups, including Saddam loyalists, Iraqui nationals who disagree with the invasion, and al Qaeda and other terrorists that have arrived to fight the "infidel." That doesn't make it the "majority" of Iraqi people.


It doesn't have to be the majority of the people. As long as they hold support from 10-20% of the population they will have all the guns, ammo, and shelter they need to continue to attack our troops and Iraqi national guard troops.

There are two ways to ending the support from the people:

1. Make it too painful to support the insurgents,

or

2. Convince them not to support the insurgents.

My opinion is that we will never win by doing #1 - killing Iraqis only bolsters the numbers of insurgents.

Therefore, we must focus on #2 - winning the Iraqi people over to our side. We haven't been doing much of this.

Remember, their equivalent of the massive group of people who helped win the election here for Bush is just as active in Iraq, telling the population that we sure aren't there for their own good. We need to find a non-violent way to deflect or defeat this method.

I don't think we should pull out; but when it comes to the possibility of winning through military force, I don't see that happening either, and therefore, am pessimistic about the situation unless things are changed.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
McTag
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 02:40 pm
This week I have seen the third & final part of an excellent documentary series
on BBC2, called The Power Of Nightmares, and the main thrust of tonight's
programme was that there is really no Al-Qaida at all, not at least in the
form that Mr Bush and Rumsfeld and others have portrayed it to the world.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/3970901.stm

Apparently Al-Qaida was a name given by the FBI to a ficticious organisation
they needed to invent in order to prosecute Osama bin Laden, who was funding
some small and disparate bands of fighters in Afghanistan. Osama had never
heard of this name until the FBI used it to charge him in absentia. They
got the idea from just one informer who was paid, in the trial in NYC of
four arab bombers.

No Al-Qaida, no worldwide islamist movement. Islamist fighters like the
Taliban only wanted to secure islamist regimes in their own countries. Iraq
never threatened the US. The group which carried out 9/11 was funded in
part by OBL but it was not masterminded by him and wasn't linked to any
international network. That's what this programme said.

Al Quaida was therefore invented, and the idea was built up, in America,
with the purpose of supplanting the now-defunct Soviet Union as the main
threat to American society and way of life.

Seems to be working, and allowing the selection of targets which assist the
expansion of US control over world oil reserves and production.

These are revolutionary ideas I know, and I hope that series gets an airing
in the USA soon- but I'm not holding my breath. It's dynamite.
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 02:46 pm
Cyclo wrote:
It doesn't have to be the majority of the people. As long as they hold support from 10-20% of the population they will have all the guns, ammo, and shelter they need to continue to attack our troops and Iraqi national guard troops.

There are two ways to ending the support from the people:

1. Make it too painful to support the insurgents,

or

2. Convince them not to support the insurgents.

My opinion is that we will never win by doing #1 - killing Iraqis only bolsters the numbers of insurgents.

Therefore, we must focus on #2 - winning the Iraqi people over to our side. We haven't been doing much of this.

Remember, their equivalent of the massive group of people who helped win the election here for Bush is just as active in Iraq, telling the population that we sure aren't there for their own good. We need to find a non-violent way to deflect or defeat this method.

I don't think we should pull out; but when it comes to the possibility of winning through military force, I don't see that happening either, and therefore, am pessimistic about the situation unless things are changed.


What effect does the insurgency killing Iraqis have upon the Iraqi people, in your opinion?
0 Replies
 
McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 03:06 pm
The best way to do what Cycloptichorn is suggesting is to get them working on their own infrastructure. Pay them to fix their own neighborhoods. When the terrorists blow them up, they will be blowing up Iraqi interests instead of US interests. Iraqi's are a proud people and I do not think they would idly sit by and watch their own work be decimated.

There is no reason for there to be even one unemployed Irai right now.
0 Replies
 
cavfancier
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 03:14 pm
McGentrix wrote:
The best way to do what Cycloptichorn is suggesting is to get them working on their own infrastructure. Pay them to fix their own neighborhoods. When the terrorists blow them up, they will be blowing up Iraqi interests instead of US interests. Iraqi's are a proud people and I do not think they would idly sit by and watch their own work be decimated.

There is no reason for there to be even one unemployed Irai right now.


There really shouldn't be any reason for any American to be unemployed either, but I'm sure that for you, that is a forgone conclusion.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 03:17 pm
Quote:
The best way to do what Cycloptichorn is suggesting is to get them working on their own infrastructure. Pay them to fix their own neighborhoods. When the terrorists blow them up, they will be blowing up Iraqi interests instead of US interests. Iraqi's are a proud people and I do not think they would idly sit by and watch their own work be decimated.

There is no reason for there to be even one unemployed Irai right now.


McG,

Absolutely!!!!!!!!! You couldn't be more right on this one. Not to mention the fact that this would employ many Iraqis who are currently jobless....


Tico Wrote:
Quote:
What effect does the insurgency killing Iraqis have upon the Iraqi people, in your opinion?


You'd have to ask them to know for sure.

But, let's say you are a moderate Iraqi who isn't particularly for or against the US. I think this is where most people in Iraq fall. You probably see the insurgents and the US as two sides who are busy blowing each other up, with you in the middle. You probably don't like either of them very much.

But at least the insurgents are fellow Iraqis, and your religious leaders are telling ya that the Americans are here to take over, so I'd have to think that while the Insurgents find no love from a lot of the Iraqi population, the movement can BECOME popular if the US pushes back too hard. Which, make no mistake, is what we're going to do.

The problem is, you don't want to force the populace to make a choice between the two extremes -they'll choose the Iraqi 'freedom fighters' over US imperialism any day. You want them to choose on their own to be on the side of freedom; this bolsters your side and hurts the other at the same time, without us having to resort to unavoidable casualties.

Think about what McG said. And then think about how we should be spending our money over there, and then think about how we DO spend our money, and you'll see where some of our problems have come from.


Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
au1929
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 03:22 pm
Ticomaya wrote
Quote:
The insurgency is a committed opponent. The answer is not to leave. Although that would certainly be the expected Clintonian era response they might have expected from the US. I suspect the insurgents really felt this election was going to go differently.


There you go again Clinton. When all else fails the right trots out the name of Clinton. Clinton would not have been stupid enough to invade based on a lie. And if evidence sufficient to invade were present he would not have allowed our troops to go in undermanned and ill equipped. That said Bush and his brain drain are responsible for quicksand we find ourselves mired in. I wonder how many American service men will have to die or be wounded and how much treasure will have to be expended to extricate ourselves from Bush's fiasco in Iraq. Can we leave now of course not? As has been said over and over again it's like pottery if you break it you own it. His father was smart enough to understand what would happen if we went all the way to Baghdad during the gulf war but junior unfortunately was not. And now we are realizing the results of his stupidity.
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 03:32 pm
McGentrix wrote:
The best way to do what Cycloptichorn is suggesting is to get them working on their own infrastructure. Pay them to fix their own neighborhoods. When the terrorists blow them up, they will be blowing up Iraqi interests instead of US interests. Iraqi's are a proud people and I do not think they would idly sit by and watch their own work be decimated.

There is no reason for there to be even one unemployed Irai right now.


Are you saying that those companies that we presently have over there should lay off their workers and hire Iraqi workers? How would that make it Iraqi interest? Or are you saying we should send our companies home and just provide support money for Iraqis to have their own companies with the profits going to Iraqis, both the employers and employees? Now that would be a step in the right direction and dispell the notion that we are over there to make money. We should even let them oil tanks things back.

Pigs will fly with purple wings before that happens.
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 03:32 pm
au1929 wrote:
Ticomaya wrote
Quote:
The insurgency is a committed opponent. The answer is not to leave. Although that would certainly be the expected Clintonian era response they might have expected from the US. I suspect the insurgents really felt this election was going to go differently.


There you go again Clinton. When all else fails the right trots out the name of Clinton. Clinton would not have been stupid enough to invade based on a lie. And if evidence sufficient to invade were present he would not have allowed our troops to go in undermanned and ill equipped. That said Bush and his brain drain are responsible for quicksand we find ourselves mired in. I wonder how many American service men will have to die or be wounded and how much treasure will have to be expended to extricate ourselves from Bush's fiasco in Iraq. Can we leave now of course not? As has been said over and over again it's like pottery if you break it you own it. His father was smart enough to understand what would happen if we went all the way to Baghdad during the gulf war but junior unfortunately was not. And now we are realizing the results of his stupidity.


"All else" hasn't failed. And while I'm pointing out that the Clinton-era response was ineffective and hurt America, my main point is we need to have learned from the mistakes of the past.

You're right ... Clinton would probably never have invaded. Ever. No matter what. And if he had, he'd have run us out of there, tail between our legs, quicker than snot on a doorknob, once we started taking any casualties. That's the lesson we (and the rest of the world) learned from Somalia.

And you fool yourself if you discount Saddam's culpability in prompting our invasion of Iraq.
0 Replies
 
ehBeth
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 03:35 pm
err, tico, could you try to find a more heartland kinda avatar. seeing a heartland poster with a pic of mr big-business/hollywood media is so ... weird.

nemmind. it's starting to make sense.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2004 03:41 pm
I love Tico's avatar. It makes my heart go pitter pat.
0 Replies
 
 

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