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THE US, THE UN AND THE IRAQIS THEMSELVES, V. 7.0

 
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Mon 18 Oct, 2004 03:03 pm
ican711nm wrote:
Those here who have claimed that al Qaeda was not harbored in Iraq prior to the invasion of Iraq, have thus far failed to explain why they think the Ansar al Islam camp located in northern Iraq did not harbor al Qaeda.

Or, if they grant that camp harbored al Qaeda, they have thus far failed to explain why they think those al Qaeda were less of a threat to Americans than were an equivalent number harbored in Afghanistan.

Or, if they grant that camp harbored al Qaeda who were a threat to Americans equal to an equivalent number of al Qaeda harbored in Afghanistan, they have thus far failed to explain why their existence in Iraq did not justify an invasion of Iraq to destroy them.

www.9-11commission.gov/report/index.htm
(2.4;notes 53 and 54)
Quote:
Bin Ladin was also willing to explore possibilities for cooperation with Iraq, even though Iraq's dictator, Saddam Hussein, had never had an Islamist agenda-save for his opportunistic pose as a defender of the faithful against "Crusaders" during the Gulf War of 1991. Moreover, Bin Ladin had in fact been sponsoring anti-Saddam Islamists in Iraqi Kurdistan, and sought to attract them into his Islamic army.53

To protect his own ties with Iraq, Turabi reportedly brokered an agreement that Bin Ladin would stop supporting activities against Saddam. Bin Ladin apparently honored this pledge, at least for a time, although he continued to aid a group of Islamist extremists operating in part of Iraq (Kurdistan) outside of Baghdad's control. In the late 1990s, these extremist groups suffered major defeats by Kurdish forces. In 2001, with Bin Ladin's help they re-formed into an organization called Ansar al Islam. There are indications that by then the Iraqi regime tolerated and may even have helped Ansar al Islam against the common Kurdish enemy.54


Had the Bush administration said anything as concrete and understandable as the above, then the Iraq war might have been at least understandable. However they did not say anything like that, instead they made a bunch of stuff up and lied and they rushed to war without a plan and without allies that can acutally help us.

So I am concediing that the above was something that bore watching, but not something that was such a threat that we needed to rush to war and kill lots of Iraqi's and our troops with no planning on how to fix everything afterwards.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Mon 18 Oct, 2004 03:05 pm
They neither lied nor made stuff up.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Mon 18 Oct, 2004 03:08 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
No, it didn't work.
Yes it did work. The al Qaeda camps that existed in Iraq prior to our ground invasion now no longer exist. The same is true for the al Qaeda camps that existed in Afghanistan prior to our ground invasion there that no longer exist.

Please remember I was responding only to your comment:
"So, why didn't we just blow the camp up with a few missles then? Why bother invading the whole country?"

Here's a more authoritative source regarding the ineffectiveness of missle-only attacks.

www.9-11commission.gov/report/index.htm
(4.2;note 46)
Quote:
Later on August 20 [1998], Navy vessels in the Arabian Sea fired their cruise missiles. Though most of them hit their intended targets, neither Bin Ladin nor any other terrorist leader was killed. Berger told us that an after-action review by Director Tenet concluded that the strikes had killed 20-30 people in the camps but probably missed Bin Ladin by a few hours. Since the missiles headed for Afghanistan had had to cross Pakistan, the Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs was sent to meet with Pakistan's army chief of staff to assure him the missiles were not coming from India. Officials in Washington speculated that one or another Pakistani official might have sent a warning to the Taliban or Bin Ladin.46

...
(4.2;following note 55)
Quote:
The Clinton administration eventually launched a large-scale set of air strikes against Iraq, Operation Desert Fox, in December 1998. These military commitments became the context in which the Clinton administration had to consider opening another front of military engagement against a new terrorist threat based in Afghanistan.

...
(4.2;note 59)
Quote:
Defense Secretary William Cohen told us Bin Ladin's training camps were primitive, built with "rope ladders"; General Shelton called them "jungle gym" camps. Neither thought them worthwhile targets for very expensive missiles. President Clinton and Berger also worried about the Economist's point-that attacks that missed Bin Ladin could enhance his stature and win him new recruits. After the United States launched air attacks against Iraq at the end of 1998 and against Serbia in 1999, in each case provoking worldwide criticism, Deputy National Security Advisor James Steinberg added the argument that attacks in Afghanistan offered "little benefit, lots of blowback against [a] bomb-happy U.S."59

...
(2.5;note78)
Quote:
U.S. intelligence estimates put the total number of fighters who underwent instruction in Bin Ladin-supported camps in Afghanistan from 1996 through 9/11 at 10,000 to 20,000.78


Cycloptichorn wrote:
It is easily arguable that there are more terrorists now than before we invaded Iraq. Therefore, the mission =/ accomplished if the mission was to stop terrorism... Will it work in the end? I hope, but don't think, so.


It's also easily arguable that the ground invasions significantly reduced the number of al Qaeda. But, yes, the question clearly is as you stated:"Will it work in the end?" It must work for all our sakes, and I think it will work if we persevere.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Mon 18 Oct, 2004 03:27 pm
revel wrote:
Had the Bush administration said anything as concrete and understandable as the above, then the Iraq war might have been at least understandable. However they did not say anything like that, instead they made a bunch of stuff up and lied and they rushed to war without a plan and without allies that can acutally help us.


I think it's true that after Secretary Powell's speech to the UN February 2003 detailing and justifying several reasons for invading Iraq, the Bush administration did a lousey job reiterating Powell's well articulated remarks. Bush, himself, failed repeatedly to adequately rebut the news media's repeated claim that the alleged existence of WMD in Iraq was the only sufficient reason for invading Iraq. While it may have been Bush's only reason--I don't know since I cannot read minds--it was not the only sufficient reason. Another sufficient reason was the harboring of al Qaeda in Iraq as well as in Afghanistan with the very significant probability that the harboring in Iraq would grow to equal or even exceed that in Afghanistan unless we invaded Iraq as well and stopped the growth of al Qaeda there too.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Mon 18 Oct, 2004 03:33 pm
THIS CAN'T BE TRUE, CAN IT?

Quote:
Subject: 17% Increase In Medicare Premiums

Have you seen the John Kerry commercial in which George Bush pledges to help Seniors on Medicare and "the very next day imposes a 17% premium increase - the biggest in history"?

That ad is a stroke of genius on Kerry's part and will surely gain him Many votes among the uninformed. I found it so amazing that I did some homework on the issue.

As it turns out the 17% increase was not imposed by President Bush but was mandated by the "balanced budget agreement" signed by President Clinton, voted into law by Senator John Kerry, and was scheduled to come into effect during the Bush administration.

President Bush had no authority to reverse what had been voted into law by Senator Kerry during the Clinton administration.

Once again Kerry is counting on the ignorance of the American people.

Don't be duped by his mendacity.

Please, e-mail, copy, in whatever way you can do this. Americans must know the deceitful mind of John Kerry. How he lies and plays his tricks.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Mon 18 Oct, 2004 03:56 pm
FROM THE WASHINGTON POST Shocked Shocked Shocked
Quote:
WASHINGTON POST, October 13, 2004
Insurgent alliance fraying in Fallujah
Locals, fearing invasion, turn against foreign Arabs
By Karl Vick
Updated: 12:45 a.m. ET Oct. 13, 2004
BAGHDAD, Iraq - Local insurgents in the city of Fallujah are turning against the foreign fighters who have been their allies in the rebellion that has held the U.S. military at bay in parts of Iraq's Sunni Muslim heartland, according to Fallujah residents, insurgent leaders and Iraqi and U.S. officials.

Relations are deteriorating as local fighters negotiate to avoid a U.S.-led military offensive against Fallujah, while foreign fighters press to attack Americans and their Iraqi supporters. The disputes have spilled over into harsh words and sporadic violence, with Fallujans killing at least five foreign Arabs in recent weeks, according to witnesses.

"If the Arabs will not leave willingly, we will make them leave by force," said Jamal Adnan, a taxi driver who left his house in Fallujah's Shurta neighborhood a month ago after the house next door was bombed by U.S. aircraft targeting foreign insurgents.

Located 35 miles west of Baghdad in Iraq's Sunni Triangle, Fallujah has been outside the control of Iraqi authorities and U.S. military forces since April, when a siege by U.S. Marines was lifted and Iraqi security forces were given responsibility for the city's security. Local and foreign insurgents gradually gained control, and Iraqi and U.S. officials say Fallujah has become a principal source of instability in the country.

U.S. and Iraqi authorities together have insisted that if Fallujah is to avoid an all-out assault aimed at regaining control of the city, foreign fighters must be ejected. Several local leaders of the insurgency say they, too, want to expel the foreigners, whom they scorn as terrorists. They heap particular contempt on Abu Musab Zarqawi, the Jordanian whose Monotheism and Jihad group has asserted responsibility for many of the deadliest attacks across Iraq, including videotaped beheadings.

"He is mentally deranged, has distorted the image of the resistance and defamed it. I believe his end is near," Abu Abdalla Dulaimy, military commander of the First Army of Mohammad, said recently.

One of the foreign guerrillas killed by local fighters was Abu Abdallah Suri, a Syrian and a prominent member of Zarqawi's group, whose body was discovered Sunday. Suri was shot in the head and chest while being chased by a carload of tribesmen, according to a security guard who said he witnessed the killing.

Denied shelter
Residents say foreign fighters recently have taken to gathering in Fallujah's grimy commercial district after being denied shelter in residential neighborhoods because their presence so often attracts U.S. warplanes. The airstrikes and the turmoil in the streets have spurred perhaps half of the city's 300,000 residents to flee, residents and officials said.
...
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  1  
Reply Mon 18 Oct, 2004 07:50 pm
The question is not whether al Qaeda harbored in Iraq prior to the invasion; the question is whether Saddam harbored al Qaeda prior to the invasion.

It has been well established that Ansar al-Islam operated in Iraqi Kurdistan, in Northern Iraq.

What is highly dubious is the claim that Ansar al-Islam had ties to Saddam.

International Crisis Group Middle East Project Director Joost Hiltermann said:
"Profound ideological differences and a history of atrocities committed by the regime against the Kurds make a strong connection between Saddam Hussein and Ansar al-Islam extremely unlikely. If there is support from Baghdad, it is likely to be in the form of financial assistance, motivated by a desire to keep a finger in the pot, stir up trouble among the Kurds and keep the PUK [Patriotic Union of Kurdistan] on the defensive, rather than a strategic alliance with Ansar's cause."

Even the PUK, de facto ruling power in Iraqi Kurdistan, and Ansar's main Kurdish enemy and target has denied any ties between Ansar and Baghdad.

Mullah Krekar, founder of Ansar al-Islam, has denied links to al Qaeda let alone Saddam.

According to him, however, the US government itself has ties to Ansar al-Islam. The CIA and the US Army had meetings with Mullah Krekar at the end of 2000 seeking collaboration with his organization he told the London based Arabic paper Al-Hayat.

Radical Islam in Iraqi Kurdistan: Ansar al-Islam

Kurdish Leader Denies Iraq-Qaeda Link, Discloses U.S. Ties
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Mon 18 Oct, 2004 09:58 pm
Do you really think anything or anybody 'harbored' in Iraq without the knowledge and consent of Saddam?
0 Replies
 
Einherjar
 
  1  
Reply Mon 18 Oct, 2004 11:16 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
Do you really think anything or anybody 'harbored' in Iraq without the knowledge and consent of Saddam?


The northern part of Iraq was controlled by kurdish militias, not the bath regime. Saddam had no say in the goings on in northern Iraq, so yes, it is not at all unlikely that they wee there withut Saddams consent.
0 Replies
 
dlowan
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 Oct, 2004 03:23 am
NYT article on numbers of iraqi casualties in the terror campaign:

"TALLYING THE DEAD
How Many Iraqis Are Dying? By One Count, 208 in a Week
By NORIMITSU ONISHI

Published: October 19, 2004


AGHDAD, Iraq, Oct. 18 - It began with the killing of two Iraqi civilians in a suicide bomb attack against an American military convoy in the northern city of Mosul last Monday. It ended Sunday evening, when a car bomb killed seven Iraqi police officers and civilians at a Baghdad cafe where police officers had apparently broken their fast during this month of Ramadan.

A weeklong effort to tally Iraqi casualties shows soldiers, insurgents, politicians, journalists, a judge, a medic and restaurant workers among the victims. They included Dina Mohammed Hassan, a television reporter killed by three men who called her a collaborator, and Ali Hussein's son and nephew, nighttime guards who died when Americans bombed a restaurant in Falluja.

From Oct. 11 to Oct. 17, an estimated 208 Iraqis were killed in war-related incidents, significantly higher than the average week; 23 members of the United States military died over the same period.

The deaths of Iraqis, particularly those of civilians, has become an increasingly delicate topic. Early this month, the Health Ministry, which had routinely provided casualty figures to journalists, stopped releasing them. Under a new policy that the government said would streamline the release of the figures - which were clearly an embarrassment to the government as well as to the Americans - only the Secretariat of the Council of Ministers is now allowed to do so.

"It's a political issue," a senior Health Ministry official said last week......"


Full story here:
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/10/19/international/middleeast/19casualties.html?ex=1255924800&en=36aa0708790acf0a&ei=5088&partner=r
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 Oct, 2004 07:53 am
Foxfyre wrote:
They neither lied nor made stuff up.


The notion is not one you are capable of actually engaging.
0 Replies
 
Gelisgesti
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 Oct, 2004 08:01 am
http://www.salon.com/comics/tomo/2004/10/18/tomo/teaser.jpg
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 Oct, 2004 08:38 am
General Jay Garner...
Quote:
'John Abizaid was the only one who really had his head in the postwar game,' said Garner. 'The Bush administration did not. Condi Rice did not. Doug Feith didn't. You could go brief them, but you never saw any initiative come of them. You just kind of got a north and south nod. And so it ends with so many tragic things.'

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/10/19/international/19war.html?ei=5094&en=9d3f7169463b6f23&hp=&ex=1098158400&partner=homepage&pagewanted=all&position
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 Oct, 2004 10:48 am
InfraBlue wrote:
The question is not whether al Qaeda harbored in Iraq prior to the invasion; the question is whether Saddam harbored al Qaeda prior to the invasion.


I do not agree; that is not the question. I couldn't care less whether the al Qaeda, harbored in Iraq before the invasion of Iraq, were harbored there by Hussein, Zawahiri, bin Laden, Omar, Turabi, or Joe Palooka. And, neither should you! The fact is the bunch of al Qaeda harbored in Iraq were no less a future threat to Americans than an equivalent bunch harbored in Afghanistan. Regardless of where al Qaeda were/are harbored and by whom they were/are harbored they must be destroyed before they evolve to a point were they can destroy more of us.

Therefore, the question is what is/are the best way/s to destroy al Qaeda?

www.9-11commission.gov/report/index.htm
(10.2;note 34)[emphasis added by me]
Quote:
In this restricted National Security Council meeting, the President said it was a time for self-defense. The United States would punish not just the perpetrators of the attacks, but also those who harbored them. ...34


Missile attacks on al Qaeda camps are not sufficient to destroy al Qaeda.

(4.2;note 46)
Quote:
Later on August 20 [1998], Navy vessels in the Arabian Sea fired their cruise missiles. Though most of them hit their intended targets, neither Bin Ladin nor any other terrorist leader was killed. Berger told us that an after-action review by Director Tenet concluded that the strikes had killed 20-30 people in the camps but probably missed Bin Ladin by a few hours. Since the missiles headed for Afghanistan had had to cross Pakistan, the Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs was sent to meet with Pakistan's army chief of staff to assure him the missiles were not coming from India. Officials in Washington speculated that one or another Pakistani official might have sent a warning to the Taliban or Bin Ladin.46


(4,2;note 59)
Quote:
Members of the Small Group found themselves unpersuaded of the merits of rolling attacks. Defense Secretary William Cohen told us Bin Ladin's training camps were primitive, built with "rope ladders"; General Shelton called them "jungle gym" camps. Neither thought them worthwhile targets for very expensive missiles. President Clinton and Berger also worried about the Economist's point-that attacks that missed Bin Ladin could enhance his stature and win him new recruits. After the United States launched air attacks against Iraq at the end of 1998 and against Serbia in 1999, in each case provoking worldwide criticism, Deputy National Security Advisor James Steinberg added the argument that attacks in Afghanistan offered "little benefit, lots of blowback against [a] bomb-happy U.S."59


In order to destroy al Qaeda, we must invade those countries which tolerate harboring (i.e., the sheltering or giving refuge to) al Qaeda within their borders.

(2.4;note 54)[emphasis added by me]
Quote:
To protect his own ties with Iraq, Turabi reportedly brokered an agreement that Bin Ladin would stop supporting activities against Saddam. Bin Ladin apparently honored this pledge, at least for a time, although he continued to aid a group of Islamist extremists operating in part of Iraq (Kurdistan) outside of Baghdad's control. In the late 1990s, these extremist groups suffered major defeats by Kurdish forces. In 2001, with Bin Ladin's help they re-formed into an organization called Ansar al Islam. There are indications that by then the Iraqi regime tolerated and may even have helped Ansar al Islam against the common Kurdish enemy.54


InfraBlue wrote:
What is highly dubious is the claim that Ansar al-Islam had ties to Saddam.


Dubious? Dubious to whom and why should we care?

InfraBlue wrote:
Quote:
International Crisis Group Middle East Project Director Joost Hiltermann said:
"Profound ideological differences and a history of atrocities committed by the regime against the Kurds make a strong connection between Saddam Hussein and Ansar al-Islam extremely unlikely. If there is support from Baghdad, it is likely to be in the form of financial assistance, motivated by a desire to keep a finger in the pot, stir up trouble among the Kurds and keep the PUK [Patriotic Union of Kurdistan] on the defensive, rather than a strategic alliance with Ansar's cause."


"If there is support from Baghdad, it is likely to be in the form of financial assistance..." which would all by itself be a demonstration of Saddam tolerating the harboring of al Qaeda in Iraq.

InfraBlue wrote:
Even the PUK ... has denied any ties between Ansar and Baghdad.
How would he know one way or the other?
InfraBlue wrote:
Mullah Krekar has denied links to al Qaeda let alone Saddam.
You believe him? Shocked
InfraBlue wrote:
[According to [Krekar], however, the US government itself has ties to Ansar al-Islam. The CIA and the US Army had meetings with Mullah Krekar at the end of 2000 seeking collaboration with his organization he told the London based Arabic paper Al-Hayat.
You believe him? Shocked

I think the 9-11 Commission more expert than these guys. Why don't you think the same?

By the way, the absence of a "collaborative operational relationship" does not equate to the absence of a harboring relationship. If one knowingly merely harbored/harbors a murderer in one's house, one is not guilty of participating in any way in the murderer's perpetration of murder. Therefore, such a harborer of a murderer was/is not in a "collaborative operational relationship" with the murderer, but such a harborer was/is most definitely in a harboring relationship with the murderer.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 Oct, 2004 10:53 am
By your logic, Icann, the terrorists who trained here for the 9/11 attacks would have been justification for our gov't to have been attacked and overthrown by another country.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 Oct, 2004 10:56 am
Only if we knew they were terrorists Cyclop.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 Oct, 2004 10:59 am
We knew as much about them as Saddam knew about the terrorists in the north of his country. Yet he is guilty, and we are innocent....


Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 Oct, 2004 11:08 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:
By your logic, Icann, the terrorists who trained here for the 9/11 attacks would have been justification for our gov't to have been attacked and overthrown by another country.


You've made that fallacious inference here before. Repeating it doesn't make it less fallacious. Did the United States Government tolerate the harboring of al Qaeda in the US before and aftter 9/11/2001? It decidedly did not! Read carefully:
www.9-11commission.gov/report/index.htm Chapters 3 - 10. These chapters include what both the Clinton and Bush administrations did that clearly demonstrated their intolerance of al Qaeda before 9/11/2001.
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 Oct, 2004 11:09 am
ican711nm wrote:
revel wrote:
Had the Bush administration said anything as concrete and understandable as the above, then the Iraq war might have been at least understandable. However they did not say anything like that, instead they made a bunch of stuff up and lied and they rushed to war without a plan and without allies that can acutally help us.


I think it's true that after Secretary Powell's speech to the UN February 2003 detailing and justifying several reasons for invading Iraq, the Bush administration did a lousey job reiterating Powell's well articulated remarks. Bush, himself, failed repeatedly to adequately rebut the news media's repeated claim that the alleged existence of WMD in Iraq was the only sufficient reason for invading Iraq. While it may have been Bush's only reason--I don't know since I cannot read minds--it was not the only sufficient reason. Another sufficient reason was the harboring of al Qaeda in Iraq as well as in Afghanistan with the very significant probability that the harboring in Iraq would grow to equal or even exceed that in Afghanistan unless we invaded Iraq as well and stopped the growth of al Qaeda there too.


Most of Powell's speech turned out to falsehoods. The falsehoods have already been posted here in this thread and I don't want to do it again.

However, like I said, that situation with that camp was something that needed to watched and dealt with. I just don't think the way to deal with it was to launch a full scale war.

The camp was not really supported by saddam Hussein. Therefore the camp is a like a lot of terrorist camps in lots of countries.

Btw--there are still terrorist camps in Afghanistan and bin laden is still on the loose.

I know they say that Bin Laden is just one man and if we captured him then another would take his place and that is true. However, bin laden represents so much to those in the Arab/Muslim world who support him and if we captured him it would go a long way to get handle on terror in a physiological way.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 Oct, 2004 11:12 am
I like how Bush and Co. repeat over and over that they have got 75% of AQ operatives captured....

Which is completely ignoring the fact that AQ has just recruited new guys to take their place. This shouldn't be surprising; there's plenty of anti-American sentiment out there to be exploited by those who know how.

Without cutting off the head of the organization, you never stop it. Ever. It's like the police going after drug gangs on the street; you can arrest the little guys all day long, and it's good to get the medium guys (and not that hard), but the guys at the top are so removed from the street activity, that unless you take them out, the street activity will just pop up again, and again, and again.....

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
 

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