Well, I was solidly underwhelmed by the debate. It seemed almost as though Kerry has been annointed. Sharpton was a little funnier than last time, though. And I noticed that that short guy from Ohio. Any how, something else comes to mind, having nothing to do with tonight's cattle call.
A Washington Post
Article from last week, titled
"A Democratic Rush to the Polls? Well . . ." brings to mind an
earlier comment[/i] of mine on this thread, in which I opined
Quote:Should record, surprisingly abberational caucus attendence not prove to be the case, called to question would be the overall signifigance of Democratic prospects nationally re the '04 General Election as a whole. If turnout in Iowa, regardless of outcome, is less than absolutely astounding, The Democrats nationally may have considerable cause for alarm.
While the voter turnout for the Iowa Primary was a record in terms of absolute numbers, in percentage terms, it was far lower than historically had been the case through the '60s and '70s, and about the same as in 1988, a year which had marked an untill-then post-war national low-water mark for primary election turnout, something which generated a good deal of dismayed discussion at the time, with much lammentation over "Voter Apathy". While Oklahoma's Democratic Primary turnout was twice that of 2000, it was 30% lower than in either '92 or '88. In Missouri and in Tennessee, fewer than 10% of the eligible Democrats showed up, again about a third fewer than in '88. In Arizona and Delaware, the turnout was around 6% ... a record, yes, but a record low. Virginia, Maryland, and Delaware all fell below 1988 totals. Only in New Hampshire was a percentage-of-eligible-voters record set. Given that those participating in primary elections inarguably are the more activist, politically conscious voters, could this perhaps indicate that the perceived "Renewed Energy" of The Democratic Party is nothing more than a media artifact?
Democratic spokesfolks in Wisconsin are predicting a large turnout, but others
are not so sure.. I think it might perhaps be more telling to look at, in terms of historically comparative percentages,
How Many folks vote, rather than who they vote for. The weather promises to be no inhibiting factor, with clear to partly cloudy skies and seasonably mild temperatures across the state. Kerry is projected to romp to a landslide win, of course, but could the very perception of his inevitable victory dampen turnout, not just in Wisconsin but in the rest of the upcoming primaries, or will fervor to oust The Current Administration drive primary voters in state after state to the polls in record percentage turnouts? Its just something I wonder about, and wait to discover. Kerry's apparent momentum may disenchant folks of the Democratic Persuasion who will none the less turn out in November despite ignoring their primaries, which would render any General Election projection based on low primary turnout meaningless, but a clear, and so far not evident, surge of primary voter interest would certainly be a troublesome indicator for The Republicans. All this may mean nothing, or it may be quite significant in terms of November's nationwide results.