The latest from
Zogby, where he is now pushing leaners hard. Wish I knew how to line up the numbers better; I included the last the three days'worth of tracking to illustrate the trends:
Arizona
1/30-2/1 1/29-30 1/28-29
Kerry 40 36 36
Clark 27 24 20
Dean 13 14 12
Other 13 13 18
Undecided 5 15 18
Missouri
1/30-2/1 1/29-30 1/28-29
Kerry 50 43 46
Edwards 15 14 13
Dean 9 8 8
Other 11 9 10
Undecided 11 22 21
Oklahoma
1/30-2/1 1/29-30 1/28-29
Clark 28 23 25
Kerry 27 25 22
Edwards 19 16 16
Lieb 7 6 6
Dean 6 6 8
Other 2 2 2
Undecided 12 22 21
South Carolina
1/30-2/1 1/29-30 1/28-29
Edwards 30 24 26
Kerry 25 23 22
Clark 10 8 8
Dean 10 8 9
Sharpton 7 7 6
Other 7 5 4
Undecided 9 23 22
Oklahoma may very well be the most exciting contest of the night; it holds the continuation of Clark's campaign in its result.
New Mexico has swung to Senator Kerry in a big way over the weekend. I believe Edwards may hold on to a victory in South Carolina. Should General Clark drop the Sooner State, he should perhaps drop out. Joementum needs to fold his tent and take it to the house. Congressman Kucinich and Reverend Sharpton could conceivably be Kerry's and Edwards' last remaining debating partners by the end of the week.
Zogby scenarios:
Quote:"If Kerry wins all four states, you don't need me to tell you what it means. But if Edwards wins in South Carolina and polls strongly enough to win delegates in Missouri and Oklahoma, he has some significant regional strength and can certainly make a case to go on. If Clark wins Oklahoma and comes in a strong second in Arizona, he also can move on -- but it is hard to see where. Dean has already conceded these four states, but winning some delegates in one or two states can help his cause in both Michigan and Wisconsin (voting 2/7)"