At the risk of re-doing Craven's work ...
Italgato wrote:It is my OPINION that it is counter-intuitive that a president who is highly competent and extremely well educated should be rejected by the populace which voted his party out of office in the House and Senate in 1994, 1996 and 1998.
In Congress elections, people vote for their Congressman. In Presidential elections, people vote for their President.
If a man is to be judged on whether or not he can sway voters into voting for this or that Congressman by his personal power of persuasion alone, he can surely be judged on whether or not he can sway voters into voting for him, personally, when its his own job thats at stake.
Clinton stood for re-election once - and sailed into a resounding victory against Bob Dole (not, by any accounts, a stupid man).
Bill Clinton 47,402,357 votes, 49.24%
Bob Dole 39,198,755 votes, 40.71%
Not emotion, feelings, sentiment- FACTS. If popular vote determines, in your logic, who can safely be considered "highly competent and extremely well educated", Clinton can feel safe.
Bush Jr., on the other hand, won over 500,000 fewer votes than Al Gore. Not emotion, feelings, sentiment- FACTS. Do you therefore respect Al Gore as, by extension, a man of superior competence and intelligence, Italgato?
Still, lets leave the Presidential elections for what they are and go back to what Italgato posited: we should take the results of Senate and House elections as indications of a President's competence.
So - history.
In the 1982 Congress elections, midway President Reagan's first term, the Republicans lost 26 seats in the House of Representatives; the Democrats won twenty-seven (see p. 54 of
http://clerk.house.gov/members/election_information/2002election.pdf). A defeat the Republicans didnt recover from until more than a decade later. In the year Reagan was elected, 1980, the Republicans won 192 seats in the House of Representatives and 53 seats in the Senate. By the end of his terms, in 1988, the Republicans had lost 17 House seats and 8 Senate seats.
So, what does that mean? An indication that Reagan was less than "highly competent", would you say - accoridng to the logic you've proposed?
Italgato writes, "Is it an opinion that the Democrats lost their majority in the House and the Senate in 1994, 1996 and 1998 under the leadership of William Jefferson Clinton or is it a fact?". It is a fact that the Democrats failed to get a majority of House or Senate seats any time between 1994 and 2000, yes, despite successive Congress election gains in 1996, 1998 and 2000. Much like it is a fact that the Republicans, under the leadership of Ronald Reagan, "lost" the House to a Democratic majority in 1982, 1984, 1986 and 1988, and lost the Senate to a Democratic majority in both 1986 and 1988.
An indication of Reagan's incompetence? Nonsense. The only thing election results "prove" is which party or president the majority of the people would like to see in office. Their motivations will vary widely, the candidate's intelligence being only one factor in the equation. Many voters will voluntarily - and justifiably - elect someone who is less educated or intelligent than his opponent, but with whom they agree.
Switch the attention from the percentages of the Presidential election results (damning for Bush Jr., rosy for Clinton), like Italgato did, to the results of Congress elections, and you'll just blur the picture even more, with still more motivations entering the equation: preferring to have a split in power, for example, (dis)liking their own Congressman, etc.