Does "speculation" here mean "effort"?

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The United States’ highest court will soon decide whether to hear Harkonen’s final appeal. His supporters, who include statisticians, clinical researchers and legal scholars, say that his conviction relied on a poor grasp of statistics, and sets a precedent that could criminalize speculation in grant applications and papers.

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http://www.nature.com/news/uncertainty-on-trial-1.13868

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View best answer, chosen by oristarA

@oristarA,

Based on the original article speculation here has its usual meaning of conjecture, surmise -- "opinion." The point of the article is that what some see as a reasonable conjecture based on less than optimal processes others see as a conscious attempt at misleading the readers.

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@Zarathustra,

Excellent.

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Does "speculation" here mean "effort"?

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