Frank - What are you trying to say?
By nature of the definition to know the probability of a Universe without a God you need to know a distribution curve (and whether you are running f or p tests). Are you proffering a distribution curve?
You are quick to throw around high praise and serious criticism with very vague and unclear statements of what has set you off.
A few points for you:
1. Your correct - but its not my probability function, I made a statement to show the question was mis-constructed. Noted theoretical physicists discussing the Anthropic Principle have expressed their understandings on the chance of intelligent life in our Universe being a random event (there was a Scientific America last year that focused on why the laws of physics are so well tuned to support life). The expressions on probability the 1 : 10 ^ 40,000 for even a single cell organism with 2,000 enzymes randomly forming (see link above
http://www.able2know.com/go/?a2kjump=http%3A%2F%
2Fwww.aish.com%2Fspirituality%2Fphilosophy%
2FThe_Design_Argument.asp ).
Theroetical physicists independently say the cricital physical constants have to be so well balanced to support life the chances are is 1 : 10 ^ 120 of it happening randomly. The same numbers were mentioned by a theoretical physicst in the series "Putting God on Trial" who added "if we want a debate to include an athesist point of view nowadays we have to go outside to the philisophy department".
To criticise the Authors of the probability statement that concerns you - the referenced one you believe I made up on the spot - I refer you to "The Edge of Physics" Spring edition 2003 of Scientif America
http://www.sciamdigital.com/browse.cfm?
sequencenameCHAR=item&methodnameCHAR=resource_getitembrowse
&interfacenameCHAR=browse.cfm&ISSUEID_CHAR=6C2FAA19-0087-C3FE-547CDF8E4C786808
and also recommend "The Once and Future Cosmos" Which is the Fall 2002 edition.
2. "it is a very large number supposedly against no-god" - the context of this point is unclear, what are you saying?
If you are pondering are their infinite membranes of distinct existence seperate from our Universe fine - Scientic America reported on this too
http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?articleID=0001572B-C4D4-1E95-8EA5809EC5880000 also read Jean-Pierre Luminet, Glenn D. Starkmen and Jeffrey R. Weeks "Is Space Finite" Scientic Americia Vol 12, Number 2, Pages 58 - 65 and Nima Arkani-Hamed, Savas Dimopoulos and Gerorgi Dvali "The Universe's Unseen Dimensions" Pg 66 - 73 of that same edition
If you mean something else - please say what you mean with greater clarity!
3. Same with your second point, the number of what objects makes what belief or rule a sure bet?
I am happy to respect your individual views but I truthfully don't follow what precisely you are trying to say. I can say that Hawking's and other seem to be saying our Universe is not infinite. Anyone who holds with the big bang is likely to view the Universe as finite unless time goes on to infinity.
Relative
Life and DNA aren't my forte - but for an excellent short introd on how hard it is to get Life I refer you to
http://www.arn.org/docs/dembski/wd_explfilter.htm
"Stuart Kauffman, for instance, identifies life with "the emergence of self-reproducing systems of catalytic polymers, either peptides, RNA, or others" (The Origins of Order,1993, p.340). Adopting this theoretical perspective, Kauffman develops a mathematical model in which "autocatalytic polymer sets . . . are expected to form spontaneously" (p.288). Kauffman is attempting to lay the foundation for a theory of life's origin in which life is not a lucky accident, but an event that is to be fully expected:
I believe [life] to be an expected, emergent, collective property of complex systems of polymer catalysts. Life, I suggest, 'crystallizes' in a phase transition leading to connected sequences of biochemical transformations by which polymers and simpler building blocks mutually catalyze their collective reproduction (p.287)."
Again its Scientific Amerian last year that ran a special edition on this one. They interviewed leading theoretical physicists, they examined the Anthropic Principle, they mapped 11 dimensional membranes and discussed which combinations could support life.
I agree theories change - look at Einstein form 1915 - 1935, several leading contemporaries complained he changed his theories every year!
The Diameter of the Universe I was initially surprised to learn is not twice the age of the Universe in light years, because I am told i) Inflation immediately after the big bang ii) spacetime is unfolding not merely expanding and iii) quintensence is once again accelerating the expansion.
I don't pretend to understand all the theoretical physics, but if noted Astronomers say the Universe is 10 ^ 40 billion light years in diameter I recognise their calculations.
That S.A. link I gave you - the quotes the diameter of the Universe as 8 * 10 ^ 26 metres
http://www.sciam.com/media/inline/0001572B-C4D4-1E95-8EA5809EC5880000_2.jpg
From an astronomy site "the universe has a diameter of 40 billion light years. Forty billion is equal to 4 x 10^10. One light year is just a bit less than 5.87 trillion miles - i.e. 5.87 x 10^12. So, the diameter of our universe is more than 2.35 x 10^23 miles" (ed. which is around 8 * 10 ^26 metres).
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But rather than be dismissive or confrontational - why not rather add your views or suggestions?
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Since starting this thread I am pondering a possible direction to answer why so many stars:
To support life in this Universe you need certain physical constants to be extremely fine tuned, perhaps these constants are in some way tied to the starting conditions of the Big Bang. Maybe if there was discernibly more or less initial Energy in the Big Bang several of our Universal Constants would take on slightly different values and life wouldn't be possible. Maybe trillions of stars are need to get the physical constants well enough tuned to support life.
Pure speculation that I will try and look into. If the was x% more or less energy in the Big Bang - which of our critical Universal constants might be different? MOND seems to show a link between Gravity and the size and age of our Universe after all...
I see that since 2001 this idea is gaining ground
http://physicsweb.org/article/world/14/10/3