Romney 2012?

There are a number of reasons why one shouldn't assume Obama will win...despite the polls:
...
Undecided voters always, in the main, break for the challenger.

There has not been any tendency, at least at this stage of the race, for the contest to break toward the challenging candidate.

Instead, it’s actually the incumbent-party candidate who has gained ground on average since 1936. On average, the incumbent candidate added 4.6 percentage points between the late September polls and his actual Election Day result, whereas the challenger gained 2.5 percentage points.

You can slice the data in slightly different ways if you like: by looking at only true incumbent presidents, for instance, as opposed to those who represented the incumbent party after the sitting president retired — or furthermore, you can restrict the sample to elected incumbents, which would exclude cases like Gerald R. Ford in 1976. But it gets you to more or less the same answer.

It is also important to observe, however, that the challenging party’s candidate has gained more ground than the incumbent in each of the past four election cycles (from 1996 through 2008). Statistically speaking, this streak does not tell us all that much (the incumbent party closed well in each year from 1988 through 1992). But perhaps this reflects the fact that the conventions are being held later and later, meaning that the incumbent-party candidate, who holds his convention last, could still be in the midst of a modest convention bounce at this stage of the race. For that reason, I think we’ll need to wait until at least the end of the week to see if Mr. Obama’s numbers hold.

But the point is not to argue for the idea that Mr. Obama is likely to gain ground so much as against the notion that Mr. Romney will necessarily have a tail wind. In 14 of the 19 elections since 1936, both the incumbent and the challenger added at least some points to their standing relative to each candidate’s late September polls.

First, the polling by this time in the cycle has been reasonably good, especially when it comes to calling the winners and losers in the race. Of the 19 candidates who led in the polls at this stage since 1936, 18 won the popular vote (Thomas E. Dewey in 1948 is the exception), and 17 won the Electoral College (Al Gore lost it in 2000, along with Mr. Dewey).

Of course, if Mr. Obama led in the race by 30 percentage points — as Lyndon B. Johnson did in 1964 — there wouldn’t be much need for such detailed analysis, and FiveThirtyEight might be free to blog about the baseball playoffs.

If you eliminate the candidates with double-digit leads, the front-runner’s record is eight Electoral College wins in 10 tries, or a batting average of 80 percent.

On Monday, Mitt Romney offered a remedy to the problem that caused his wife’s airplane to land prematurely last week: Allow passengers to roll down the airplane windows.

Ann Romney’s plane was grounded Friday after the main cabin filled with smoke. The small electrical fire caused no injuries, but apparently did cause the Presidential candidate to forget the dangers of altitude.

“When you have a fire in an aircraft, there’s no place to go, exactly,” he told the LA Times. “And you can’t find any oxygen from outside the aircraft to get in the aircraft, because the windows don’t open. I don’t know why they don’t do that. It’s a real problem.”

Romney: ".....the windows don’t open (on airplanes). I don’t know why they don’t do that. It’s a real problem."

Mormons just want one of "their own" to become president; it doesn't matter about their ethics or teachings. They'll all vote for Romney.

Mormon Democrats are a rarity in Utah. They represent just 7 percent of Mormons in the state,

From your link,

Quote:

Mormon Democrats are a rarity in Utah. They represent just 7 percent of Mormons in the state,

Romney Doesn’t Understand Why You Can’t Roll Down Windows On A Plane
By Annie-Rose Strasser on Sep 24, 2012 at 2:05 pm

On Monday, Mitt Romney offered a remedy to the problem that caused his wife’s airplane to land prematurely last week: Allow passengers to roll down the airplane windows.

That has to be satire. Did he seriously say that? I wouldnt fly with him. He'd open the door.

Do you understand anything about electoral votes?