I think he has a chance, but I think Obama will win by about 3.6% or more (in general vote, not electoral vote).
Yup, it looks like a runaway. It does have that taste, I will acknowledge that.
But as H. L. Mencken almost said, "No one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American electorate." (Especially the ones on the left.)
I think it is quite possible that American liberals will give this election to the Republicans. I think too many liberals and progressives are going to let their anger toward Obama over-ride their good sense…and they are going to give this election away.
I hope with all my heart that I am wrong; I want desperately to be wrong. But I have this ugly feeling that the American left will figure out a way to lose this thing.
I certainly know many who are doing their best to trash Obama as often and as much as possible toward that end.