Romney 2012?

@revelette,

About Hurricane Sandy, I hope all those in harms way get help and I want to express sorrow for those who have already lost their lives and thanks for those who are helping all those that need it.

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@revelette,

Gov. Christie is suddenly being championed by the left because he
mention Obama... a big storm does not require big government.

Local and state governments do a much better job of dealing with
events such as Sandy in a much smarter way than big government.

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http://theconservativethinkers.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/sandy2.jpg?w=593&h=379

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@H2O MAN,

Romney as Governor in 2006, not willing to spend state money until they knew how much the federal was going to give them.

Quote:

Quote:
The Lowell Sun
We find it inconceivable that Gov. Mitt Romney claims the state can do nothing to help those residents still struggling to rebuild homes and businesses after the May flood. Massachusetts is sitting on millions in unspent emergency funds from Hurricane Katrina and more than $1 billion in cash reserves, yet Romney has failed to even respond to the Lowell delegation's requests to discuss additional aid for victims.

The governor's spokesman -- since Romney can't be bothered to comment now that the photo opportunities have dried up even though some residents' basements haven't -- said the state will not consider spending its own money for flood victims until it's clear how much cash the federal government will give.
It's been two months, governor. Many Massachusetts residents are still living in temporary housing or trying to rebuild destroyed basements and first floors, racking up credit-card debt and taking out home-equity loans.

What's wrong with fronting the money and having those loans repaid when, and if, federal agencies come through with more cash?

If ignoring the pleas of legislators and constituents is the way Romney's going to handle a crisis situation, why would anyone vote for him for president? How would he handle a national crisis, by flying in for photo ops and then hiding in his White House office?

source

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If Lincoln could come back in 2012, hed never recognize the hate-filled racist plutocratic Republican party of today

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Okay, we're a week out from the election: time for predictions.

Who do you think is going to win? Is this belief based on data or gut feelings?

Cycloptichorn

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@Cycloptichorn,

Obama by the nose of Ohio.

edit -- based on data and intrade EC tracking. The bookies usually know what they're doing.

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@Cycloptichorn,

Romney should win.

Most indicators note a trend towards a Romney victory.

My belief is based on a combination of data and my gut feeling.

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@H2O MAN,

What did your gut feeling tell you 4 years ago?

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@Cycloptichorn,

Obama.

Based on data mostly, and where it's not specific data it's ether-data (that is, I've gathered lots and lots of data from lots and lots of sources -- not just news outlets/ blogs but talking to people, observation of yard signs, etc., etc. -- and a lot of it gets synthesized into something closer to a gut feeling, even if it's data-based).

I think it will be close, and am hoping it will be decisive (no recounts or hanging chads). A bit worried about that last one.

Somewhat possible that Romney will win the popular vote and Obama will win the electoral college.

(A week out, wow.)

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Why Romney Will Win

Under Obama the poor have suffered more than anyone else. Millions have fallen into poverty — back to
levels not seen since the late 1960s. The official poverty line is roughly $24,000 annually for a family of four.

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And here's a gut prediction... Gary Johnson and Jill Stein will combine for 10-12% of the vote.

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@JPB,

I think in Virginia, we'll certainly see third-party candidates making a difference.

Cycloptichorn

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@JPB,

I have to agree with this prediction, even though I wish they would win.

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@Cycloptichorn,

I think CO might swing to Romney because of the GJ impact on Obama.

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@Cycloptichorn,

Cycloptichorn wrote:

Okay, we're a week out from the election: time for predictions.

Who do you think is going to win? Is this belief based on data or gut feelings?

Cycloptichorn

Obama is going to win, and I don’t believe it’s going to be that close of a race like the media would like us to believe. I don’t believe all the media hype.

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@JPB,

JPB wrote:

I think CO might swing to Romney because of the GJ impact on Obama.

Hell, if anything, GJ pulls more votes from Romney than Obama. Which is what you would expect from a Libertarian candidate, half the Republicans I know describe themselves that way anyway.

Though Obama's refusal to halt medical marijuana arrests may hurt him there.

Cycloptichorn

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Romney backers buying ads in Pennsylvania

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@sozobe,

I'll flesh things out a bit more:

- Obama has put a lot of resources into the ground game. By many metrics (cites on request), his ground game is stronger than Romney's.
- Sandy is cutting into Romney's catch-up time, while Obama is busy being president.
- Sandy is also one of those focusing events -- "Oh, right, government can be useful. Do we really want FEMA abolished? Hmm."
- Polls are indicating steady leads for Obama. Not huge, but steady.
- Buckeyes beat Penn State. Smile

- Buckeyes are very likely to beat the Illini on Saturday (they might not though).
- The relevance of the above two points is based on Actual Science, I swear. (Mentioned somewhere already, cite on request.)
- Economy is continuing to do a little better and a little better. Not better enough to deliver the election in a pretty bow to Obama, but not bad enough to deliver it to Romney.
- There has been some pushback against Romney's baldfaced lies, for example the thing about Jeep moving manufacturing to China. When it's just the usual suspects (Factcheck.org, Politifact, etc.), people tend to tune it out. ("They all lie, it's a wash.") When Chrysler has to put out a statement saying "Romney lied," that has a bit more impact.

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@Cycloptichorn,

Cycloptichorn wrote:

JPB wrote:

I think CO might swing to Romney because of the GJ impact on Obama.

Hell, if anything, GJ pulls more votes from Romney than Obama. Which is what you would expect from a Libertarian candidate, half the Republicans I know describe themselves that way anyway.

Though Obama's refusal to halt medical marijuana arrests may hurt him there.

Cycloptichorn

GJ pulls from Romney in FL and VA. Polls show (and GJ states) he's pulling from Obama in CO.

1 Reply

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