26
   

Tick, tick. August 2nd is the Debt Limit Armageddon. Or Not.

 
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Sun 24 Jul, 2011 09:56 pm
@parados,
parados wrote:

In other words.. mathematics is trivial and you can't provide any.
No. I wrote that the arithmetic that so captivated you was but a small part of the issue at hand and that your implicit assumption that there were no other variables at work of even greater significance than your silly static assumption about the deficit was both wrong and a bit stupid.

Overall, I'll bet I understand a great deal more mathematics than do you.

parados wrote:

As for it being pedantic to want the numbers to add up. Really? That's your argument? WTF... I might be pedantic but so is anyone that ever has balanced a checkbook. Which I guess makes you an idiot.
I balance my checkbook quite easily, but don't count it as a great accomnplishment ... as evidently you do.
parados
 
  2  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 06:53 am
@georgeob1,
Come Aug 3, what other variables are in place?
I am curious george.
Other than the money in the Treasury and the checks required to go out, what variables do you think can be applied?

While the choice can be made as to what to pay, the choice can't be made to pay ALL the bills unless the government borrows in some way.
High Seas
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 07:39 am
@parados,
George has humored your monkey-let-loose-on-keyboard-discussion-technique long enough. You have no concept whatsoever of what he has patiently tried to explain, the static v. dynamic deficit calculations, and the only reason I'm addressing your latest idiotic post is to stop you from misleading honest readers. So, people, as previously stated here, excluding the trust funds, we're trying to spend a whole lot more of GDP than we can collect >
http://media.economist.com/images/images-magazine/2011/07/09/us/20110709_usc147.gif
> and so, therefore, strategically we can try and cut back expenditures or we can try to sell off some assets - remember those 8,133 tons of gold? Or this.... >
http://images.nationalgeographic.com/wpf/media-live/photos/000/376/cache/best-unforgettable-space-shuttle-pictures-for-sale_37682_600x450.jpg
> and, tactically, and what will probably be adopted in our current case - is a short-term debt limit raise with the ultimate choice left for November 2012.


0 Replies
 
joefromchicago
 
  2  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 08:05 am
@parados,
parados wrote:
I am curious george.

http://img4.realsimple.com/images/09Family/books-curious-george_300.jpg
High Seas
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 08:10 am
@joefromchicago,
That's hilarious - a second ago I made a post on Wandel's evolution thread saying that the chimpanzee has been reclassified in the genus homo and is now known as "homo troglodytes", based on his DNA, much closer to ours than many of the previous "homo" types. But plain leftist troglodytes don't qualify Smile
0 Replies
 
H2O MAN
 
  -1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 08:31 am
@joefromchicago,
joefromchicago wrote:

parados wrote:
I am curious george.

http://img4.realsimple.com/images/09Family/books-curious-george_300.jpg

High Seas wrote:

That's hilarious - a second ago I made a post on Wandel's evolution thread saying that the chimpanzee has been reclassified in the genus homo and is now known as "homo troglodytes", based on his DNA, much closer to ours than many of the previous "homo" types. But plain leftist troglodytes don't qualify Smile

http://barackobamasucks.net/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/obamabc.jpg
0 Replies
 
wandeljw
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 08:52 am
I will be curious to see how many of the idealistic freshman congressmen will be re-elected.
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 08:56 am
@wandeljw,
I think that depends on whether we're going through another debt ceiling debacle at election time. H20Man and I were pointing toward this yesterday. He feels the pendulum will swing closer to them and bring in more of them, I feel it will get them unelected in 2012. If the current deal is a longer term deal and we aren't having this fiasco again during the election process then I think more of them will be reelected.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 09:17 am
The concept that our debt 'crisis' is somehow due to new spending by Obama is a complete and total joke.

http://wamo.info/pa/110725_bushobama.jpg

Republicans, here on A2K and in Washington, supported Bush's out of control spending all the way. In fact, anyone who argued against it, was pilloried and attacked by Conservatives for being 'unAmerican.' Cheney, the leader of the Republicans during this time, famously said 'deficits don't matter.'

But George and others here would have us believe that our current problems are due to some massive expansion of the gov't - by Obama. It's farcical and the facts do not support the case.

I think people should keep this in mind, when they evaluate the proposed solutions by that same group: cut taxes and regulations. The same thing that they did back in the beginning of last decade, with practically no result whatsoever to show for it, other than massive debt.

Cycloptichorn
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 09:19 am
Quote:
July 25, 2011 10:00 AM
Refusing to take ‘yes’ for an answer

On Friday afternoon, after House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) abandoned debt-reduction talks with the White House, President Obama held a press conference and raised a compelling point:

“I think that one of the questions that the Republican Party is going to have to ask itself is, can they say yes to anything? Can they say yes to anything?”

The answer may very well be, “No, they can’t.”

I’m trying to remember all of the various offers Republicans have turned down over the last several months. They started from the sensible position that the debt ceiling must be raised, and then proceeded to turn down every viable alternative.

* Democrats asked Republicans to pass a clean bill, just as GOP leaders had supported many times in the past. Republicans said, “No.”

* Democrats invited Republicans to Biden-led bipartisan talks. Republicans quit.

* Democrats offered a $2.4 trillion debt-reduction package, 83% of which would come from spending cuts. Republicans said, “No.”

* Democrats sought a Grand Bargain, with more than $4 trillion in savings. Republicans said, “No.”

* Several Democrats offered some preliminary support for the “Gang of Six” blueprint. Republicans said, “No.”

* Many more Democrats signaled support for the McConnell/Reid “Plan B.” Republicans said, “No.”

Is it me, or is there a pattern to all of this?

Late yesterday, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) announced his support for a yet another approach that would meet all of the GOP demands: it would (1) include about $2.7 trillion in debt reduction; (2) bring in nothing in the way of new revenue; and (3) require only one debt-ceiling increase this Congress, just as GOP leaders requested.

By all indications, Republicans will reject Reid’s latest offer, too.

Which brings us back to the president’s question: “Can they say yes to anything?”


http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/political-animal/2011_07/refusing_to_take_yes_for_an_an031072.php

Why can't the Republicans say yes to deal after deal which would be good for them?

Quote:
Harry Reid Calls House Republicans’ Bluff

By Matthew Yglesias on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:59 am

Something you often see in negotiations is a mismatch between one side’s stated sticking points and its real sticking points. In the debate over the debt ceiling, for example, Republicans have sought to portray themselves as having two bottom lines. One is that any increase in the debt ceiling must be met dollar-for-dollar with spending cuts. The other is that no revenue increases can be part of the deal. What Harry Reid did yesterday was essentially call the GOP’s bluff by outlining a plan that raises the debt ceiling by $2.7 trillion and includes $2.7 trillion in spending cuts, a healthy share of which comes from winding down the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Republicans are rejecting this even though it nominally meets their demands. Why? Because it doesn’t achieve either of their two real objectives. In particular, the plan doesn’t cut Medicare, which means that Democratic party candidates for office in November 2012 and 2014 can accurately remind voters of the content of the Republican budget plan. In case you forgot, this plans repeals Medicare. Having repealed Medicare, it then gives seniors vouchers to purchase more expensive private health insurance. And having replaced Medicare with a voucher system, it then ensures that the vouchers will grow steadily stingier over time. It was only after voting for this plan that Republicans seem to have realized that repealing Medicare is unpopular. Since that time, they’ve been trying to entrap Democrats into reaching some kind of Medicare détente with them, which would immunize them from criticism. Reid’s plan doesn’t do that.

Second, while Reid’s plan doesn’t raise taxes, it also doesn’t take tax increases off the table. Currently, the Bush tax cuts are scheduled to expire in 2012. If Reid’s all-cuts plan passes, that still leaves the door open to significant revenue increases. Now that doesn’t mean this is brilliant 11-dimensional chess. The Reid Plan is consistent with substantial revenues coming online in 2012, but that will only happen if President Obama and Senate Democrats stand firm and play hardball on the tax issue. Back in December 2010, they utterly failed to do so.


http://thinkprogress.org/yglesias/2011/07/25/277811/harry-reid-calls-house-republicans-bluff/

Cycloptichorn
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 10:08 am
@Cycloptichorn,
It's now a little past 9AM, and the stock market seems to have been saved from a panic even though the other markets have shown drops. I'm somewhat surprised at this, because most people do not have the ability to remain calm in a panic situation. That's one of the reasons shouting "fire" in a crowded theater is illegal, but we're now into the last week before the real fire starts. We can smell the smoke, but most people seem to believe that the debt ceiling will be approved. I hope so.
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 10:18 am
@cicerone imposter,
Perhaps the explanation is that your own interpretation of events is incorrect. The markets are certainly discouraged by the stalemate, but very likely also encouraged by the Republican resistance to the feckless spending of the current administration and its evident intention of creating a European style regulated welfare state here.

There is certainly nothing encouraging coming out of the present economic situation in the EU - which appears to be the model our idiot "progressives" would establish here.
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 10:21 am
@georgeob1,
I do not believe that's the issue, because most Americans want this problem resolved by both spending cuts and tax increases. According to most recent polls, anywhoo.

Quote:
Poll: Debt ceiling deal should include cuts and tax increases
By: CNN's Rebecca Stewart

(CNN)-As the debt ceiling clock ticks down, a new poll indicates that more Americans favor a balanced approach to reaching a deal resolving the nation's budget deficit.

According to a CBS News Poll released Monday, 66 percent of Americans say an agreement to raise the amount of money the nation can borrow should include both spending cuts and tax increases.
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 10:30 am
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:

The concept that our debt 'crisis' is somehow due to new spending by Obama is a complete and total joke.

Cycloptichorn


In the first place that's a very weak defense of Obama's current policy (if indeed there is one).

No one has accused Obama of creating an economic crisis through the expanded regulatory reach and spending by our government. Instead he has been accused of foolishly trying to make an existing crisis far worse through these policies. The origin of the current crisis is in the world recession that preceeded his assumption of office. It has seriously affected most of the major economies in the developed world. The nations least affected by it are those with low debt relative to GDP, fairly balanced current budgets, relatively free labor markets and favorable external trade balances. Canada and Germany are examples. They have recovered quickly from the recession: we have not, and the idiotic policies pursued by this administration are the cause.

cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 10:41 am
@georgeob1,
You seem to forget that GW Bush increased our debt by $4 to $5 trillion dollars, and the increase by Obama has been for tax cuts and extended benefits for those who lost jobs during the Great Recession that GW Bush is responsible for. GW Bush also started two wars that increased our cost, and those wars are essentially still on-going. How can anyone blame Obama for the need to increase the debt ceiling? Where would you cut costs if you had the power to do so? Stop the two wars? How about all the legislation that is impacting our cost today that was approved during GW Bush's tenure such as the expansion of the drug benefit, Part D?

I agree that ObamaCare was implemented with sloppy legislation that ignored cost savings and other important issues that would have reduced cost. But that's only one issue that's not even the current material problem of government spending.

0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 10:45 am
@cicerone imposter,
cicerone imposter wrote:

I do not believe that's the issue, because most Americans want this problem resolved by both spending cuts and tax increases. According to most recent polls, anywhoo.


Perhaps so. However, we were discussing the market's reaction, and it doesn't appear to follow your perspective.
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 10:49 am
@georgeob1,
No; that's because the GOP-tea party is playing with fire with their "no" response to everything that's been offered (as outlined by Cyclo's article).

It's not about "the socialism of Obama."
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 10:55 am
@cicerone imposter,
You can stomp your foot and insist all you like. However, it appears the market doesn't agree with you.
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 11:02 am
@georgeob1,
georgeob1 wrote:

They have recovered quickly from the recession: we have not, and the idiotic policies pursued by this administration are the cause.


BS. You don't seem to realize that one of the major reasons Canada and Germany have lower debt-GDP ratios in the first place, is that they are higher-tax countries than ours is.

If we didn't have the idiotic Bush tax cuts - which provided next to no economic benefit whatsoever, while costing us well over a trillion in revenues - we would not have the problems we have today. And yet; you blame Obama for the issue, even though spending has NOT risen significantly under his administration, as compared to Bush's or other presidents.

The truth is that the lingering recession that we are experiencing has very little to do with Obama's policies, and everything to do with the fact that we simply papered over the problem in 2008. What's even worse, the Republicans have been trying as hard as possible to make sure that nothing changes, nobody is held accountable, and that the problem persists into the future as long as possible.

Is there ever some point, where you say to yourself, 'maybe tax cuts for the wealthy and regulations repeal AREN'T the solution to the problem?' Because, it's what the GOP - and you - recommend as a panacea for all that ails us. Every time.

Cycloptichorn
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Jul, 2011 11:02 am
@georgeob1,
You wrote,
Quote:
Perhaps the explanation is that your own interpretation of events is incorrect. The markets are certainly discouraged by the stalemate, but very likely also encouraged by the Republican resistance to the feckless spending of the current administration and its evident intention of creating a European style regulated welfare state here.


This is a misinterpretation of current events. The so-called "feckless spending" was based on GW Bush with his drug benefits, tax cuts, two wars, and the Great Recession.
 

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