@Josef cv,
Josef;69128 wrote:Why don't you be a good little boy and tell Daddy which numbers you are talking about? Daddy may not be as smart as his little boy.
Well, at least you admit the problem out the door, and since you insist...
Using a control source of the worlds we have explored, we have roughly 120 places where life could arise. To date, we have found exactly one. There are a few candidates, few places to look, but life's only confirmed in one place. This includes all nine planets (Pluto is a planet, damnit), their respective moons and the little guys hanging out in the nosebleed section... Sedna, Quaoar, etc. etc.
So 1 in 120, give or take. Less than a percent. Not too hot for the home team until you look at the number of planets outside our solar system that we've discovered. That's hovering around 400 at the moment, goes up a few every month or so. That's more than enough to hit a positive in a 1 in 120 chance. More than enough to hit it twice.
So if its sheer math you want, there it is.