lmur
 
  1  
Reply Tue 1 Sep, 2009 05:31 pm
@realjohnboy,
Here you go, RJB,
http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200906_5day.gif
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 09:22 pm
The new kid on the block is FRED.
0 Replies
 
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 09:49 pm
There is a big low in the Gulf, with less than a 30% chance of becoming a hurricane. It will generate lots of rain, from northern Mexico to Louisiana.
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Sat 17 Oct, 2009 07:25 pm
10/17/2009
Watch out for Rick. It might chill down, but...
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Sat 17 Oct, 2009 08:09 pm
@realjohnboy,
Rick has a probability of sweeping across Texas.
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Sun 18 Oct, 2009 05:29 pm
@edgarblythe,
Rick becomes a "super hurricane" per Dr Jeff Masters

Quote:
Hurricane Rick intensified in dramatic fashion yesterday into the second most powerful hurricane ever recorded in the Eastern Pacific. Truly deserving of the title "Super Hurricane", Rick grew into a monstrous Category 5 storm with 180 mph winds and a central pressure of 906 mb early this morning. The only Eastern Pacific hurricane that was stronger was Hurricane Linda of 1997, which had 185 mph winds and a 902 mb pressure. Reliable satellite measurements of Eastern Pacific storms go back to about 1970, and Rick is the 11th Category 5 hurricane in the Eastern Pacific since 1970. Meteorologists like to talk about a hurricane's Maximum Potential Intensity (MPI), the theoretical upper limit of a hurricane's intensification given the prevailing ocean heat content and atmospheric stability and moisture. Less than 5% of all hurricane reach their MPI, due to wind shear, interaction with land, entrainment of dry air, or other factors. Hurricane Rick was able to take advantage of nearly ideal conditions for intensification--light wind shear, high ocean heat content, and plenty of mid-level atmospheric moisture--to reach its MPI and intensify into one of the strongest and most spectacular tropical cyclones ever recorded. The last tropical cyclone to attain Rick's intensity was Australia's Cyclone Monica of 2006, which also had 180 mph winds. Only nine Atlantic hurricanes in recorded history have been stronger than Rick.


http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/2009/rick_oct18.jpg

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/ep200920.gif
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Sun 18 Oct, 2009 06:47 pm
@JPB,
It is forecast to decline in strength before it hits the Baja.
0 Replies
 
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Sun 18 Oct, 2009 06:49 pm
We were forecast to have rain off it toward the end of the week.
NickFun
 
  1  
Reply Sun 18 Oct, 2009 07:33 pm
@edgarblythe,
We had 3 days of rain here in California. That almost never happens in October.
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Sun 18 Oct, 2009 08:06 pm
@NickFun,
When I was a kid in California, I don't recall all that much rain. But, much of the time was spent in the San Joaquin Valley.
0 Replies
 
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Wed 4 Nov, 2009 06:09 pm
Tropical Storm Ida Forms In SW Caribbean
Ida Is 9th Tropical Storm Of Season

POSTED: Wednesday, November 4, 2009
UPDATED: 3:15 pm CST November 4, 2009

This storm hasd a potential to enter the Gulf of Mexico. - edgarblythe

MIAMI -- Tropical storm Ida has formed in the southwest Caribbean, quickly adding muscle and prompting storm warnings for the coast of Nicaragua and two Colombian islands.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami said the ninth tropical storm of the season took shape Wednesday afternoon. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 kph).

The storm's center is about 75 miles (120 kilometers) east of Bluefields, Nicaragua. It is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 kph).

Storm warnings were in effect for the eastern coast of Nicaragua and the Colombian islands of San Andres and Providencia.
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Wed 4 Nov, 2009 06:17 pm
@edgarblythe,
Wkere did that sucker come from? It is a strange place for a storm to form. We will be watching. Thanks for the heads-up, Edgar.
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Wed 4 Nov, 2009 06:18 pm
@realjohnboy,
I may be in the path. Hopefully, it will go someplace to die a quiet death, but I doubt it.
0 Replies
 
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Thu 5 Nov, 2009 01:21 pm
Ida became a hurricane, but it's expected to weaken as it crosses land.
0 Replies
 
mac11
 
  1  
Reply Thu 5 Nov, 2009 02:54 pm
http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200911_model.gif
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Thu 5 Nov, 2009 05:05 pm
@mac11,
Mac. Thanks. Do you know how to post the 5-day cone thingee from the NHC?
lmur
 
  1  
Reply Thu 5 Nov, 2009 05:30 pm
@realjohnboy,
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT11/refresh/AL1109W5_NL_sm2+gif/203716W5_NL_sm.gif
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Thu 5 Nov, 2009 05:39 pm
@lmur,
Thanks, Imur. Ida is tracking more towards due north than it was last night. Good for Edgar. It was more NNW which would have taken it over that part of Mexico that juts into the Gulf. It might have gotten broken up if the center went over a chunk of land.
NPR noted Ida's existence in a very brief newscast this morning.

(ps Don't forget your NFL picks, Imur)
0 Replies
 
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Thu 5 Nov, 2009 05:40 pm
That model takes it away from Houston. But it is uncertain and it could be a dangerous storm.
0 Replies
 
mac11
 
  1  
Reply Fri 6 Nov, 2009 10:15 am
They're saying Ida won't make it to Texas. I hope they're right.

Not that I want anyone in Florida to deal with it either, of course.
0 Replies
 
 

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