Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 12:46 pm
It's been a quiet summer in the Atlantic so far. Little activity and no named storms until today. Tropical Storm ANA is some 700 statute miles away from the Caribbean Islands. The 5 day cone shows it coming across Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti and Cuba early in the week and then, perhaps, Florida by Thursday. At this point its winds are only about 45 mph.
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Type: Discussion • Score: 9 • Views: 13,902 • Replies: 95
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Merry Andrew
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 12:55 pm
@realjohnboy,
Here in the Pacific, Hurricane Felicia just missed doing any serious damage to the Sandwich Islands last weekend. Out at sea it was Category 3 or maybe even 4 for a while. By the time it came to within 100 miles of Hawaii it wasn't even a hurricane any more. I'm not even sure if it was a tropical storm any more or just a tropical depression. Brought some heavy rains to the islands of Oahu and Maui and that's about it.

But a new one -- Guillermo -- is forming now!
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 01:05 pm
@realjohnboy,
90L or TD2 both have a good chance of becoming the second named storm in the Atlantic (Bill) and the blob over the FL keys is looking interesting as well.
NickFun
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 03:08 pm
I live in So CA and we have never had a hurricane. Ah, paradise!
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 03:11 pm
@NickFun,
NickFun wrote:

I live in So CA and we have never had a hurricane. Ah, paradise!


Is that the ground shaking underneath you, Nick?
0 Replies
 
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 03:12 pm
The hurricane that passed over us last year was initially thought to be going to Florida. There's no room for complacency where storms are concerned.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 03:49 pm
@NickFun,
NickFun wrote:

I live in So CA and we have never had a hurricane. Ah, paradise!


How true. Instead you get grass fires in the summer; mudslides in the winter; and earthquakes all year 'round. This, not to mention 10.5% income taxes a& 8.5% sales taxes. Ah, paradise !!!
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 03:58 pm
The website for the National Hurricane Center is nhc.noaa.gov
You can view storm activity in the Atlantic and Pacific.
If someone has the time to periodically post map updates, click on a storm and click to enlarge it. I like the 5-day cone, but I can live with any choice. Then transfer it to this thread.
Thanks to any volunteer(s).
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 04:31 pm
@realjohnboy,
Here's Ana

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200902_5day.gif

And Bill (which is forecast to become a hurricane within the next five days)

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200903_5day.gif

90L won't get circles until it gets named but here are the computer models. 90L is also forecast to reach hurricane strength over the next five days.

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200990_model.gif
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 04:48 pm
@JPB,
Thanks, JPB! If you have time, click on Eastern Pacific. Guillermo looks like it will track north of Sglass and Merryandrew in HI.
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 07:03 pm
@realjohnboy,
Here you go...

Guillermo
http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/ep200910_5day.gif
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 07:18 pm
@JPB,
JPB wrote:

... the blob over the FL keys is looking interesting as well.


Our blob has just been designated 91L. It looks like things are heating up in the Atlantic.

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200991_sat.jpg
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Sun 16 Aug, 2009 06:09 am
Our blob turned 91L is now TD4 and expected to be TS Claudette in the next few hours. This very fast developing storm is moving fairly quickly over the GOM and doesn't have time to develop further before reaching landfall.

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200904.gif

In the meantime, Ana and Bill are moving west (Ana) and WNW (Bill) and will affect the islands later in the week. Bill is worth keeping a close eye on as conditions are favorable for continued strengthening as it approaches the eastern seaboard some time next weekend. Best estimates today are that Bill will get caught up in an upper trough and get pulled back out to sea without making landfall in the US.

The model maps above for Ana and Bill update automatically so I won't re-post them here.

If that wasn't enough to keep watch on, we may have invest 92L soon as another wave is pushing off the African coast.

Here is satellite imagery for some perspective on the locations of all of these storms in relation to each other.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/two_atl.gif
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Sun 16 Aug, 2009 10:51 am
Indeed, we now have Claudette. The maximum wind is only expected to be about 35 mph when it makes land east of Pensacola, perhaps Ft Walton Beach, in a few hours. There could be a bunch of rain there and in Western and Central Alabama (Birmingham) tomorrow.
0 Replies
 
mac11
 
  1  
Reply Sun 16 Aug, 2009 11:16 am
Thanks for starting the thread rjb, and for the excellent images, JPB. Let's hope it's the calmest season on record.
0 Replies
 
Merry Andrew
 
  1  
Reply Sun 16 Aug, 2009 11:21 am
@JPB,
Thank you, JPB. And thank you for suggesting it to JPB, realjohn. I've been monitoring the NOAA site myself from time to time but it's nice to see it on the monitor.
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Sun 16 Aug, 2009 06:34 pm
Ah, but the price yall will have to pay is reading a long, languid story from me after storms A, B, and C play out. It is written. Maybe Wednesday, the 19th, will work. Be forewarned: It is long.
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Sun 16 Aug, 2009 06:38 pm
@realjohnboy,
realjohnboy wrote:

Ah, but the price yall will have to pay is reading a long, languid story from me after storms A, B, and C play out. It is written. Maybe Wednesday, the 19th, will work. Be forewarned: It is long.


How -- long - - is - - it, - - john - -?
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Sun 16 Aug, 2009 07:02 pm
Long. Amusingly enough, the lovely Ms Letty gets a mention in the true story.
You can, of course, scroll through it or vote it down.
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Sun 16 Aug, 2009 07:04 pm
@realjohnboy,
realjohnboy wrote:

Long. Amusingly enough, the lovely Ms Letty gets a mention in the true story.
You can, of course, scroll through it or vote it down.


I am looking forward to it, John.
0 Replies
 
 

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