@ehBeth,
i believe the medical experts have a hard time assessing the eventual risk of a full-blown swine flu epedemic at this time .
while they do not want the population to become unduly alarmed , they also do not want us to take it too lightly .
certainly in canada the SARS problem is well remembered by the medical researchers who made some severe mistakes in asssessing the threat of SARS - there are still people suffering from the infection - and i understand that lawsuits are still winding their way through the courts .
that seems to be one of the reasons why we are being told : " don't be UNDULY alarmed " , but also being told : "don't even think of trying to get your kids infected by attending a swine flu party " .
it would not surprise me if we are at least several months away from having an effective vaccine available . vaccines take time to develop - and usually a testing period of several months .
http://www.cbc.ca/health/story/2009/07/02/flu-parties.html
Quote: Swine flu party? Bad idea, experts say
Last Updated: Thursday, July 2, 2009 | 3:08 PM ET
The Canadian Press
Health officials are giving a big thumbs-down to the idea of so-called swine flu parties where people who already have the new H1N1 virus are brought together with others, including children, in order to infect them.
The apparent reason is that some people believe it's better to get H1N1 now while it causes mostly mild illness than in the fall when the virus might become more deadly.
Infectious disease experts, however, say deliberately attempting to develop immunity against swine flu is not a good idea.
Dr. Michael Gardam of the University Health Network in Toronto says he has heard about people tossing around the idea of flu parties for their children.
But he says the disease is not always benign, and children have become seriously ill or even died after getting infected.
in canada , native northern communinities have been hit early and hard by the swine flu .
on-site medical personnel blame the lack of clean water and such basic things as hand-sanitizers for it spreading in those communities .
http://www.cbc.ca/canada/manitoba/story/2009/06/22/mb-fluplan.html
Quote: Northern Manitoba native groups co-ordinate swine flu response
Last Updated: Monday, June 22, 2009 | 9:25 AM CT
CBC News
Critical incident managers from northern Manitoba aboriginal reserves are in Winnipeg this week to co-ordinate their response to the swine flu outbreak.
Staff from about 30 First Nations will be studying pandemic management and communication strategies. Some northern communities have been hit hard by swine flu.
Sydney Garrioch, grand chief of the northern chiefs, said northern communities need to maximize their pandemic response systems. "It's desperately needed," he said of the planning and co-ordination session. "Some communities don't have an organized system at all to work with and they have very limited resources or infrastructure in place."
The planning session starts Monday and runs until Thursday.