@Romeo Fabulini,
Romeo Fabulini wrote:4- Israel has handed back chunks of the Golan and Gaza/Sinai.
5- Israel says "We're staying in the West Bank forever", and the extremists say "We won't negotiate, our only wish is the total destruction of Israel"
Have I got all that right?
4 is a little bit wrong. Since Syria has never made peace with Israel, there has never been any return of any part of the Golan Heights.
5 is way wrong.
Back in the 1990s, everyone was naive enough to think Palestinians would make peace, and there were negotiations to give the Palestinians the West Bank and Gaza in exchange for that peace.
As these negotiations progressed, the Palestinians were given large swaths of the West Bank. Because of this, even today land that Palestinians actually live on is governed by Palestinians.
Unfortunately when the Palestinians got control over that land, all they did was try to massacre Israelis. Fortunately, the Palestinians started their massacre before they had been given all of the West Bank.
It was close though. When the Palestinian massacres finally collapsed the peace talks, there was an offer on the table to hand 97% of the West Bank (in one contiguous block) over to the Palestinians. Had the Palestinians taken that offer before beginning their massacre, it might have been grim going for Israel.
The message Israel took from that was that negotiations were not possible, so they should just unilaterally pull out of Gaza and 90% of the West Bank, wall off the Palestinians, and leave them to their own devices.
Unfortunately, the Palestinians were still interested only in massacring civilians. Fortunately the Palestinians again struck before they had been given the West Bank. The huge artillery barrage that the Palestinians sent out of the Gaza Strip nullified the pullout from the West Bank before it was even started.
So Israel abandoned the concept of the unilateral pullout and returned to negotiating. Unfortunately, the Palestinians refused to accept any bargain, even though they were again being offered the entire West Bank as part of a final peace deal.
Eventually, the Palestinians tried a new tactic. They walked away from the talks, and said that they would not return until they had gotten a concession (halt to settlement construction) for free while giving nothing in return.
There were a few obvious problems with giving in to this demand. One problem was that if Israel gave in once, the Palestinians would just do the same thing all over again.
Another problem was that the Roadmap For Peace involved a careful balance of concessions being traded off against each other at certain points in the negotiation process. If the Palestinians got this concession now for free, there would be nothing to give them later when negotiations got to the point where they were supposed to receive this concession in exchange for one of their own.
However, Obama offered Israel a deal. He would give Israel a big stockpile of 5000-pound bunker busters (capable of destroying Iran's buried nuclear facilities). And in exchange, Israel would halt settlement construction
temporarily, for just 10 months.
Israel halted settlement construction for 10 months (and got the bombs), but despite the Palestinians getting the halt to settlement construction that they had been demanding, they still refused to come and negotiate.
Anyway, while all this circus was going on, the Oslo Accords that had governed this entire concept of "handing land over to the Palestinians in exchange for peace" were still technically in effect.
One of the key provisions in the Oslo Accords was that neither side would take unilateral actions against the other. They would instead come to a negotiated agreement for everything.
A year or so ago, the EU decided that they wanted to make this entire situation even worse, and the idea that they came up with was to demolish the Oslo Accords by having the UN recognize the Palestinians unilaterally, instead of this recognition being a concession negotiated at the bargaining table.
They went through with this, and now there are no longer any Oslo Accords.
It would have seemed that at this point that there was no longer any hope of agreement with the Palestinians, but just this year Secretary Kerry restarted the negotiations, and through some unfathomable miracle, he actually achieved the best hope for successful negotiations since back in the 1990s. I really have no idea how he did that.
Unfortunately, the Palestinians still don't want to make peace. So they sent out their thugs and henchmen to spew the most outrageous anti-Semitic lies imaginable all over the internet until this one last spark of hope was extinguished.
Mr. Kerry's negotiations continue, but there isn't really much point in hoping anymore. At some point they will collapse, and that will be that.
Thanks to the EU, the Oslo Accords are gone now too. And at some point Israel is just going to forcibly deport all the Palestinians out of the West Bank. They can't allow a hostile population to occupy that territory.
So it is certainly true that Israel is going to end up keeping all of the West Bank.
But it is not even close to true that this was something that Israel is insisting on. Israel has offered over and over and over and over to give up the West Bank if only the Palestinians would make peace with them.