@Bi-Polar Bear,
Interesting, although I don't agree.
Confidence has been a significant factor in the short-term ills of the current economy, but it is already fading in terms of its impact.
Assuming Obama wins, by the time he takes office the economy will be suffering from more fundamental problems than confidence, and Obama standing up to international provocation isn't going to create jobs or stimulate investment.
On the other hand, a foreign policy mistake could slow the economy's recovery or make things worse. Anything that results in a major disruption of oil production will do far more to the economy than catching Bin Laden.
As the ancient Chinese curse goes, "May you live in interesting times."