JPB
 
  1  
Reply Sun 31 Aug, 2008 09:01 pm
Quote:
HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
1000 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...GUSTAV CLOSING IN ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY
OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE
ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES...
360 KM...SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 310 MILES...
500 KM...SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO
ABOUT 180 MILES...285 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PORT FOURCHON ALONG THE
LOUISIANA COAST.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WOULD REACH THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS TOMORROW. A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER
...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES...350 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE COAST.


GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS AND NORTHEASERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT.
0 Replies
 
edgarblythe
 
  2  
Reply Sun 31 Aug, 2008 09:21 pm
The storm appears to be moving faster than expected.
http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200807.gif
shewolfnm
 
  3  
Reply Sun 31 Aug, 2008 09:27 pm
@edgarblythe,
is that your area?

If so and you need space to go to, you are welcome in my home.
Just send me an email.
shewolfnm at yahoo dot com
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Sun 31 Aug, 2008 09:55 pm
@shewolfnm,
Thank you very much for the offer. But, we are in Houston. Tomorrow is predicted to be a normal day in our local forecast.
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 06:51 am
http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/center/Tropical/wtnt01.gif
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 07:22 am
KLRZ is broadcasting via generator from Larose which is a few miles east of Houma. The mayor of Golden Meadow was just on and said as of 8:00am the flood gate there was holding.

http://www.klrzfm.com/
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 07:46 am
Recent tide gauge readings from the east side of New Orleans show that a storm surge in excess of 7 feet has already occurred in Lake Borgne
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  2  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 08:19 am
Monday September 01, 2008, 8:55 AM
The Corps of Engineers is reporting the following elevations in area canals:

- London Avenue, 2.26 feet. Safe water level is 5 feet.

- Orleans, 2.31 feet. Safe water level is 8 feet.

- 17th Street Canal, 2.68 feet. Safe water level is 6 feet.

Floodgates are closed when elevations are within one foot of the "safe water level" established for each outfall canal after Hurricane Katrina exposed catastrophic flaws in canal floodwalls.

Canal teams took up duty posts at each canal earlier today and are standing by to close the floodgates when elevations dictate.
Izzie
 
  2  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 08:35 am
@JPB,
Thanks JPB for the updates....

Anyone there who can tell me what Houston is like right now.. as far as I can see Houston is k at the moment.... right??? Edgar / Mac11....

hoping you are all alright.... and especially Snood and Mrs. Snood nr N'awlins.

edgarblythe
 
  2  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 08:37 am
@Izzie,
Houston is calm and sunny. We have no concern here. I do hope snood is okay.
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 08:47 am
There are reports of waves overtopping the Industrial Canal, as well as a couple of barges broken loose in the canal. No reports of a breach.

The breaches of the Industrial Canal are what flooded the lower and upper ninth wards during Katrina.
0 Replies
 
Izzie
 
  2  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 08:50 am
@edgarblythe,
Thanks Edgar.... hope it stays clear and safe for you et al.
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 08:54 am
Hi Izzie.

Stay safe, edgar.

Quote:
The Army Corps of Engineers confirmed that water is lapping over the Industrial Canal floodwall on the river side of St. Claude Avenue. Water is coming over the top in waves and collecting by the railroad tracks. Levee and Corps officials are assessing the floodwall.


http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2008/09/report_water_coming_over_indus.html
0 Replies
 
mismi
 
  3  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 08:55 am
@Izzie,
Hey guys, Mom and Dad are getting some of the bands now, there in Mobile....Tornado warnings and such, lots of rain, strong gusts of wind...but they are just fine. They have not even lost power - yet - hopefully they won't. My brother(fireman) said they didn't have one run last night..today would be a bit busier though. Just updating...watching New Orleans...I know Hwy90 in Gulfport is covered by the surge now and am reading JPB's updates...on the Weather Channel things are looking good there in Nola...but the worst is yet to come - here in the next hour I think.
Endymion
 
  1  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 09:03 am
@mismi,
thanks for all the updates, maps and info (good job JPB)
wishing mismi, snood, edgar and everyone out there, safe
endy
0 Replies
 
Izzie
 
  2  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 09:11 am
@mismi,
Mis... thing of your MaMa and PaPa Dixie...and BroDixie - keep us posted hun. You k? x
mismi
 
  1  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 09:18 am
@Izzie,
Thanks Iz and Endy...thanks for the updates JPB. Oh, we are fine - expecting rain from Gustav but nothing else..maybe thunderstorms...but they are saying they won't be strong. So we are good...other than having a soggy Labor Day....and that is just fine. I was tired of the pool anyway.
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  2  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 10:40 am
current flooding in the lower ninth is from splash over, not a breach.

http://www.nola.com/promos/hurricane/090108_02canal3.jpg
mismi
 
  2  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 10:45 am
@JPB,
Very thankful they are holding so far JPB...heard that flooding is a threat for several more hours though...still watching and hoping for the best
eoe
 
  2  
Reply Mon 1 Sep, 2008 10:48 am
@mismi,
All we can do is hope but it's going to get worse.
Once again, this country, this administration, should be ashamed. They've had 3 years to get it together.
 

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