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Rebublican Congressional Revolt Continues

 
 
McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 02:16 pm
candidone1 wrote:
...and I always thought that republicans were free market capitalists. I also thought they stood for personal responsibility and accountability.

These days they seem to support bailing out major banks and mortgage companies instead of letting the market take care of them, or having them reap what they have sowed.

Apparently they also want the government to step in to help control gas prices rather than allowing the market to control the price.

I'm shocked that the personal-accountability-republicans don't take the same hard line with fuel prices as they do with welfare--
"if you're not working, don't take my hard earned money and be a leaching parasite"....
"if you can't afford the price of gas, downsize your house, get an economical vehicle, ride a bike."

Seems republicans want to hold people accountable for their actions only when its convenient.


I don't see how you come to these conclusions.

Care to explain?
0 Replies
 
spendius
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 02:21 pm
I'm a bit innocent when it comes to American politics. We are simpletons in the Youkay.

So does this mean that by November Mr Obama is going to be for sky-high gas prices? Or look like he is. Which is the same thing.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 02:47 pm
slkshock7 wrote:

Even more amusing, S.2925 introduced by Sen Durbin proposed to create a new government agency charged to oversee alternative energy development with the goal of reducing US imports of oil by 50% by the year 2020. Heck, as I've already established this could be done easily (and without bigger government) by simply permitting domestic drilling and keeping US oil production in country.


I am unclear how you think the US can double its domestic production in 12 years. That's a lot of wells to drill in a short time.
0 Replies
 
slkshock7
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 04:10 pm
parados wrote:
slkshock7 wrote:

Even more amusing, S.2925 introduced by Sen Durbin proposed to create a new government agency charged to oversee alternative energy development with the goal of reducing US imports of oil by 50% by the year 2020. Heck, as I've already established this could be done easily (and without bigger government) by simply permitting domestic drilling and keeping US oil production in country.


I am unclear how you think the US can double its domestic production in 12 years. That's a lot of wells to drill in a short time.


Read my earlier post....it's not double our domestic production....it's cut in half our OPEC imports....
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 04:13 pm
slkshock7 wrote:
parados wrote:
slkshock7 wrote:

Even more amusing, S.2925 introduced by Sen Durbin proposed to create a new government agency charged to oversee alternative energy development with the goal of reducing US imports of oil by 50% by the year 2020. Heck, as I've already established this could be done easily (and without bigger government) by simply permitting domestic drilling and keeping US oil production in country.


I am unclear how you think the US can double its domestic production in 12 years. That's a lot of wells to drill in a short time.


Read my earlier post....it's not double our domestic production....it's cut in half our OPEC imports....

Yes, which means the US would have to double domestic production assuming no increase in oil use.. The US presently imports nearly 70% of its oil.
0 Replies
 
slkshock7
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 04:23 pm
parados wrote:
slkshock7 wrote:
parados wrote:
slkshock7 wrote:

Even more amusing, S.2925 introduced by Sen Durbin proposed to create a new government agency charged to oversee alternative energy development with the goal of reducing US imports of oil by 50% by the year 2020. Heck, as I've already established this could be done easily (and without bigger government) by simply permitting domestic drilling and keeping US oil production in country.


I am unclear how you think the US can double its domestic production in 12 years. That's a lot of wells to drill in a short time.


Read my earlier post....it's not double our domestic production....it's cut in half our OPEC imports....

Yes, which means the US would have to double domestic production assuming no increase in oil use.. The US presently imports nearly 70% of its oil.


Did you read this whole thread? It's not just drilling...drilling reduces our imports of OPEC oil by 25%...the other 25% comes from keeping domestic oil for use in country.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 04:26 pm
In reading your earlier post you start with same faulty data.

The US does not export 1.4 million barrels of crude.
It exported 27,000 barrels of crude a day according to the US energy department. The 1.4 million figure includes all energy products.


http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_exp_dc_NUS-Z00_mbblpd_a.htm

You won't be making high grade gasoline out of residual fuel oil.
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 04:35 pm
slkshock7 wrote:
the other 25% comes from keeping domestic oil for use in country.


I'm not quite clear how you would achieve that goal. One would think that the oil companies exploiting those new oil field would want to sell wherever they can make the most money.

Absent legislation mandating that American oil can't be sold to foreign countries, I can't see how this would happen.
0 Replies
 
slkshock7
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 04:56 pm
parados wrote:
In reading your earlier post you start with same faulty data.

The US does not export 1.4 million barrels of crude.
It exported 27,000 barrels of crude a day according to the US energy department. The 1.4 million figure includes all energy products.


http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_exp_dc_NUS-Z00_mbblpd_a.htm

You won't be making high grade gasoline out of residual fuel oil.


Good catch...you're right. So I'm back down to only a savings of 25%....still a very good bite out of our oil addiction and well worth the trouble...so lets start drilling...the quicker the better.

Your insight also, of course, takes the wind from Cyclo's argument that US companies will ship oil to the highest bidder (Asia) regardless of US needs and desires. If the US only exports 27,000 barrels a day of the 5M we produce domestically, that's a drop in the bucket and you could hardly ask more of those patriotic oil companies.
0 Replies
 
slkshock7
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 05:02 pm
old europe wrote:
slkshock7 wrote:
the other 25% comes from keeping domestic oil for use in country.


I'm not quite clear how you would achieve that goal. One would think that the oil companies exploiting those new oil field would want to sell wherever they can make the most money.

Absent legislation mandating that American oil can't be sold to foreign countries, I can't see how this would happen.


Old Europe,
As Parados astutely caught, the US only exports 27,000 barrels a day, about half a percent of our total daily production according to the EIA. Since US oil companies then keep 99.5% of domestic oil in country, your argument loses all credibility. This is done without any legislative bans on export of american oil, which is quite a statement on the altruism and patriotism of americian oil producers.
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 05:28 pm
slkshock7 wrote:
Since US oil companies then keep 99.5% of domestic oil in country, your argument loses all credibility. This is done without any legislative bans on export of american oil, which is quite a statement on the altruism and patriotism of americian oil producers.


Laughing Laughing Laughing

And I guess we can also assume that the fact that Walmart is producing all this stuff in China and then goes to the trouble of shipping it all the way to America rather than selling it elsewhere is also due to altruism and patriotism, right?

Nah.

I think it's more a statement on the huge market that America represents. Demand didn't go down significantly, even when oil was at $140/barrel. Of course oil companies (and not just American oil companies) are importing oil at the moment.

That doesn't mean that they would keep doing ten years from now. And it's rather unlikely that they'd keep it up if it would cut into their profits. In fact, faced with a situation where you could

a) sell more in America, thereby increasing supply, thereby reducing gas prices and profits, or
b) ship it to, say, Asia, thereby keeping prices in America up while also profiting from exports to foreign markets

I think it cannot be ruled out that responsibility towards their shareholders would win out over altruism and patriotism.
0 Replies
 
slkshock7
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 05:50 pm
Old Europe,

I see your point, but I'm curious on why US companies are not focused more on exporting now. Gas prices in Europe and almost everywhere else in the world are significantly higher than in the US. Assuming this represents a higher profit margin, why aren't the US oil companies exporting a much larger percentage of domestically produced oil today?
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 06:01 pm
slkshock7 wrote:
Old Europe,

I see your point, but I'm curious on why US companies are not focused more on exporting now. Gas prices in Europe and almost everywhere else in the world are significantly higher than in the US. Assuming this represents a higher profit margin, why aren't the US oil companies exporting a much larger percentage of domestically produced oil today?


I'd say that gas prices (not prices for crude oil) in Europe are higher because taxes are so much higher. Which, if anything, has helped to keep demand lower than what it would be otherwise.

Plus, there doesn't seem to be a lot of potential in the European market. It would seem rather unlikely that the number of cars in Europe would double within a very short timeframe, or that people would all of a sudden favour more gas consuming cars, or anything along those lines.

Countries like India or China, on the other hand, with emerging car industries, with a population of hundreds of millions of people without a car and with the potential of a significant part of that population being able to afford a car in the not too distant future.... I guess it just sounds more promising...
0 Replies
 
Ramafuchs
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 06:06 pm
"
Countries like India or China, on the other hand, with emerging car industries, with a population of hundreds of millions of people without a car and with the potential of a significant part of that population being able to afford a car in the not too distant future.... I guess it just sounds more promising... "

befitting answer
0 Replies
 
slkshock7
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Aug, 2008 07:01 pm
old europe wrote:
I'd say that gas prices (not prices for crude oil) in Europe are higher because taxes are so much higher. Which, if anything, has helped to keep demand lower than what it would be otherwise.


OK.....I agree with you after doing some google searching. But I'm still a bit lost on your profit motive theory.

Isn't the $120 per barrel price tag a global "market" price? Shouldn't it be seen as the average price that oil producers charge for a barrel of their crude? Thus, the added demand from China and India will raise that price but the profit margin that an oil company makes on the barrel shouldn't change significantly. Therefore, unless US companies can meet and exceed US demand, there is absolutely no incentive for US companies to sell outside the US now or in the future.

Not being an economist, there's probably a flaw in my reasoning, but durned if I see it...
0 Replies
 
cjhsa
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 Aug, 2008 06:43 am
Drill, drill, drill. That's all it took - oil prices are plummeting.

Pelosi had to take a recess to go home and pout.
0 Replies
 
real life
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 Aug, 2008 07:48 am
I say it's the congressional recess that drove oil prices down.

Let them stay home for a year or two and we might cut the price in half. Laughing
0 Replies
 
cjhsa
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 Aug, 2008 07:51 am
Good idea. The fewer Democrats in D.C. the better.
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 Aug, 2008 07:55 am
Rolling Eyes

It seems that whenever the oil price changes, we're faced with two options: take a realistic look at the market, at supply and demand and at changes within the market. Or come up with some voodoo magic theory, including, but not limited to, the idea that a simple Bush statement, which has no consequence in real life, could bring down the price of oil by 20$/barrel.


Real news:

Quote:
Oil prices fall on demand fears

OIL prices fell in Asian trade today as fears about slowing US demand outweighed the increasing likelihood of heightened tensions over Iran's controversial nuclear programme, dealers said.

In morning trade, New York's main contract, light sweet crude for September delivery fell $US1.07 to $US120.34 a barrel from $US121.41 at the close of floor trading in the United States yesterday.

London's Brent North Sea crude for September delivery dropped 77 cents to $US119.91.

Oil prices fell below $US120 in New York and London yesterday for the first time in three months after latest US economic indicators signalled weakness in the world's biggest economy, dealers said.

The monthly US Commerce Department survey showed yesterday consumer spending, which fuels two-thirds of output, had cooled in June while inflationary pressures accelerated.

The US is the world's biggest energy user and any signs of slowing consumer spending usually weighs down global oil demand projections.


"Slowing demand and the hope for more supply is weighing on the market even as the geopolitics and the weather is getting wild,'' said Phil Flynn, analyst at Alaron Trading.

Tensions over Iran's nuclear programme surged after Iran missed a deadline over the weekend to respond to an international package of incentives aimed at persuading Tehran to freeze uranium enrichment.

The US State Department said yesterday that it and the five other powers holding nuclear talks with Iran had threatened to pursue new punitive action against Tehran.

Traders continued to keep watch on Tropical Storm Edouard, which was expected to make landfall by midday Tuesday around the border of Texas and Louisiana, according to the National Hurricane Centre.

The storm was not seen as a threat to oil installations but operators in the crucial US petroleum industry hub said they were taking safety precautions as the storm neared.
0 Replies
 
cjhsa
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 Aug, 2008 07:58 am
But it did....

Feel free to offer up as many "economic" theories as you wish. They haven't applied to oil for a long, long time now. Bush's comment KILLED the SPECULATORS. I've been saying for at least three years now that he needed to simply stand up and say something to the effect of "This is ridiculous" - and he finally did.
0 Replies
 
 

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