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AMERICAN CONSERVATISM IN 2008 AND BEYOND

 
 
Foxfyre
 
  0  
Reply Wed 9 Sep, 2009 05:18 pm
@joefromchicago,
joefromchicago wrote:

Foxfyre wrote:
So is it completely out of the question that those very social programs have created a dependency? A dependency on benefits that people are reluctant or afraid to give up for fear their life will be even worse if they do?

Any governmental program creates its own constituency. For instance, some of the people who want the government to spend more on defense have a financial stake in the programs funded by the government. There are others, however, who just think that increased defense spending is a good idea. In the same way, there are people who support government welfare programs and who are financially dependent upon those programs, while others support those programs but who are not receiving a dime from them.

You (and Mark Steyn) can't claim, therefore, that government programs create a "dependent class," as if everyone who supports those programs is financially dependent upon them. That's why you can't dismiss Cycloptichorn when he says that, in some instances, people just like particular government programs. Not everyone who supports government welfare programs is firmly attached to the government teat. And, I would hasten to add, not everyone who is firmly attached to the government teat supports government welfare programs. Conservatives have proven that point.


I thought I answered this earlier, but my ISP burped and apparently my response didn't take. So here is Take 2.

Mark Steyn was not addressing whether people like or dislike a government program and that is irrelevent to the point he is making.

He was clear that there are several layers of dependency from welfare recipients to those receiving government salaries to those dependent on government benevolence, healthcare, Social Security, etc. and those who have built up their businesses to accommodate government contracts. Each layer may or may ot be aware of or care about or even be sympathetic to the others layer. But each has a vested interest in continuing to receive whatever benefits they are receiving.

So again, is it not reasonable to assume that people who are dependent on whatever government bureaucracy, program, or projects for their security or livelihood will vote for those who will most likely defend, protect, and continue such bureaucracies, programs, and projects? And is it not reasonable to assume that the bigger the bureacracies, and the more necessary the programs and projects become, the more people there will be those who vote for those who continue, protect, and continue them?

And when we arrive at the place where only those dependent on the government sufficiently outnumber those who support the government, then those dependent on the government will have total power to elect government leaders and those who support the government will become powerless.

Now we can assume Mark Steyn is just making all this up. Or we can look at those countries in which that scenario has already happened. If we want to choose which way it will be, now is the time to do that. Once the government class is in full control, there will be no power to choose.


JPB
 
  1  
Reply Wed 9 Sep, 2009 05:19 pm
@Foxfyre,
Quote:
My position is that the whole system isn't broken.


We can agree to disagree on how broken the system has become.

Quote:
Most people are quite satisfied with both the quality and accessibility of their healthcare.


That's because they aren't paying for it.

Quote:
There are problems including some serious problems within that, yes, but why not address those problems instead of tearing down and rebuilding the entire system in a socialist model?


We can't afford it and it's already a socialist model so why not bite the bullet and say, "all for one and one for all" or pull the plug and tell gramma to move in with her kids like she did before Medicare and SS?

Quote:
Social Security and Medicare are both entirely controlled, regulated, and monitored by the Federal Government and neither are sustainable as they are.


I agree. I still haven't seen a sustainable model that covers the needs of an aging population with an increasing life expectancy from a reduced work force. Not that I haven't asked...

Quote:
Given their track record so far, why in the world would we want to entrust the Federal government with control of the entire health system?


Because the Federal government will soon be comprised of folks who are much younger than we are (you know --- those kids who have been raised to think they're entitled to everything) and if we don't set it up right now, they'll set it up their way later.
Foxfyre
 
  0  
Reply Wed 9 Sep, 2009 05:31 pm
@JPB,
JPB wrote:

Quote:
My position is that the whole system isn't broken.


We can agree to disagree on how broken the system has become.


Agreed.

Quote:
Quote:
Most people are quite satisfied with both the quality and accessibility of their healthcare.


That's because they aren't paying for it.


I haven't seen the statistics broken down by demographics, so I don't know whether you're right about that or not.

A current Rasmussen posting:
As President Obama prepares for a major speech on Wednesday to relaunch his health care reform initiative, polling data continues to show that many Americans remain skeptical of the details.

Despite assurances from the president and congressional Democrats who authored the bill that no one with insurance will be forced to change their current coverage, 52% of those with insurance say it’s likely they will have to change coverage following passage of the congressional health care reform proposal.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 41% say it’s not likely that they will have to switch.

Perhaps the most frustrating aspect of the data for the president’s team is that the numbers have barely budged since the debate begin in June. This particular issue is especially significant since the overwhelming majority of Americans currently have insurance and tend to rate their own coverage in positive terms. A recent Wall Street Journal article by Scott Rasmussen noted that the “most important fundamental” in the health care debate is the fact that that 68% of American voters not only have health insurance coverage but rate their coverage as good or excellent. These voters enter the debate perceiving that they have more to lose than to gain.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/healthcare/september_2009/52_of_insured_americans_say_they_d_have_to_switch_coverage_if_health_care_reform_passes


Quote:
Quote:
There are problems including some serious problems within that, yes, but why not address those problems instead of tearing down and rebuilding the entire system in a socialist model?


We can't afford it and it's already a socialist model so why not bite the bullet and say, "all for one and one for all" or pull the plug and tell gramma to move in with her kids like she did before Medicare and SS?


How do you know we can't afford it? Studies by Cato, Heritage, Forbes, and others seem to suggest that we can afford to fix the existing problems a whole lot more efficiently and cost effectively than we can socialize the whole thing. I think it's way too early to throw in the towel and give up all our choices, freedoms, opportunities.

Quote:
Quote:
Social Security and Medicare are both entirely controlled, regulated, and monitored by the Federal Government and neither are sustainable as they are.


I agree. I still haven't seen a sustainable model that covers the needs of an aging population with an increasing life expectancy from a reduced work force. Not that I haven't asked...

Quote:
Given their track record so far, why in the world would we want to entrust the Federal government with control of the entire health system?


Because the Federal government will soon be comprised of folks who are much younger than we are (you know --- those kids who have been raised to think they're entitled to everything) and if we don't set it up right now, they'll set it up their way later.


Now who is fear mongering as scary as that concept is. Smile

But seriously, I hear what you're saying which is all the more reason to fight to get it right now rather than accept something we know isn't going to be satisfactory just to avoid risking getting something even worse.
JPB
 
  2  
Reply Wed 9 Sep, 2009 05:41 pm
@Foxfyre,
Foxy wrote: "I haven't seen the statistics broken down by demographics, so I don't know whether you're right about that or not."

These numbers are from 2007 - the most recent I could find.

Quote:
• Health Coverage Increases: The percentage of the nonelderly population (under age 65) with health insurance coverage increased to 82.8 percent in 2007. Increases in health insurance coverage have been recorded in only four years since 1994, when 36.5 million nonelderly individuals were uninsured; in 2007, the uninsured population was 45 million.

• Employment-Based Coverage Remains Dominant Source of Health Coverage: Employment-based health benefits remain by far the most common form of health coverage in the United States, consistently covering 60"70 percent of nonelderly individuals. In 2007, 62.2 percent of the nonelderly population had employment-based health benefits, unchanged from 2006. Between 1994 and 2000, the percentage of the nonelderly population with employment-based coverage expanded. Since 2000, the percentage has declined.

• Public Program Coverage Is Stable: Public-sector health coverage expanded as a percentage of the population in 2007, accounting for 18.2 percent of the nonelderly population. Enrollment in Medicaid and the State Children’s Health Insurance Program increased, reaching at 36.3 million in 2007, and covering 13.9 percent of the nonelderly population, which is significantly above the 10.5 percent level of 1999.

• Individual Coverage Stable: Individually purchased health coverage was unchanged in 2007 and has basically hovered in the high-6 and low-7 percent range since 1994.

• What to Expect in 2008: 2007 is the most recent year for data on sources of health insurance coverage. While the percentage of the nonelderly population with employment-based health benefits was unchanged between 2006 and 2007, and the percentage with public coverage increased, resulting in a decrease in the uninsured, this should not be viewed as an indicator of things to come in 2008. As compared with 2007, unemployment was higher in 2008, meaning fewer individuals will have access to health insurance through a job, and gas and food prices were higher, meaning more individuals will have to choose between health insurance coverage and basic necessities.
0 Replies
 
joefromchicago
 
  5  
Reply Wed 9 Sep, 2009 06:34 pm
@Foxfyre,
Foxfyre wrote:
Mark Steyn was not addressing whether people like or dislike a government program and that is irrelevent to the point he is making.

That's right, Steyn's point was that government programs create a "dependent class" that has a financial stake in perpetuating those programs and that will vote for whichever party promises to continue those programs. My point is that Steyn is wrong.

Foxfyre wrote:
So again, is it not reasonable to assume that people who are dependent on whatever government bureaucracy, program, or projects for their security or livelihood will vote for those who will most likely defend, protect, and continue such bureaucracies, programs, and projects?

No, that's not reasonable. After all, does everyone who receives Social Security or Medicare vote for Democratic candidates?

Foxfyre wrote:
And is it not reasonable to assume that the bigger the bureacracies, and the more necessary the programs and projects become, the more people there will be those who vote for those who continue, protect, and continue them?

Nope.

Foxfyre wrote:
Now we can assume Mark Steyn is just making all this up.

That's a pretty safe assumption.

Foxfyre wrote:
Or we can look at those countries in which that scenario has already happened.

Name three.
0 Replies
 
JamesMorrison
 
  0  
Reply Wed 9 Sep, 2009 08:21 pm
@Foxfyre,
Foxfyre,

Re the Steyn essay; His is pretty much my take on the present political road America will be taking given the continuation of an Obama Admin and a Democratically controlled Congress as presently constituted. Any thing President Obama now says will be subject to future Obama actions before I make any judgements re what he actually intends to do with our country.

As I always ask those who look to government for all manner of support and succor: Who Pays? Extend both the argument for socialism and its ultimate effects on human behavior into a realistic model and all that is left is a welfare state with hope. That hope, however, lies not with those pursuing a better life. No, socialism slowly strangles such hope along with the chances of an ever increasing standard of life. Indeed, who does the world look to for advances in medicine, science, education, and a better life? What is the destination of choice for all immigrants? It is America, an America where the streets are not paved with gold but with something much more valuable than gold--opportunity.

No, the hope of the welfare state is found in those who are totally dependant on the hope the government will not run out of money and it is found in those government administrators that continually hope that the next tax increase will not completely bring down their financial house of cards.

Shortly after September of 2007 after the immenseness of the financial crisis stared to sink in, some Scandinavian countries started to push for more conservative measures and cutbacks on social services. It seems that their governments realized that their investments and trusts would not be returning the amounts needed to fully support their socialistic ways. These investment vehicles (many of them American) got their income from mutual funds and bonds that received that income from, well let's say, less socialistic sources. Who will pay when there are no more capitalistic sources to leach wealth from?

Sure many will accuse those making and accruing wealth of being selfish, but how do they explain the loss of freedom and if they are so bold as to admit to such loss with cries of "its a small price to pay for <insert progressive buzzword here>" ? Can they lessen the pain of its loss with some guarantee of its reclamation if and when they find they have been deceived by the socialistic prophets?

They cannot, and the MAC principles will then be recognized as almost utopian and distantly unobtainable because Steyn's "bridge" has been crossed and incinerated. Funny thing though, those principles work well precisely because they eschew utopian expectations and recognize real world facts and human nature, not because they exude some essence of purity and fairness.

To MACs it's not so much about the wealth. It’s really about the freedom.

JM
JPB
 
  4  
Reply Wed 9 Sep, 2009 08:43 pm
@JamesMorrison,
Quote:
These investment vehicles (many of them American) got their income from mutual funds and bonds that received that income from, well let's say, less socialistic sources. Who will pay when there are no more capitalistic sources to leach wealth from?


You aren't seriously going to make the claim that because their economy was largely based on income due from the worthless derivatives that our markets created that the capitalist market is preferable to the socialist one, right?

I'm not big on socialism, but what we have is close enough to the real deal that we may as well do it right (equal access for everyone to the level of health care that we can afford to pay for for all) or kill it completely, remove insurance from the workplace, and put hc at the local level for everyone. There's no excuse for providing HC for the elderly and the indigent while taxing the working poor at a level which prevents them from having any reasonable coverage. And, NO, dropping in at the local ER is not reasonable coverage for the uninsured.
Debra Law
 
  3  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 03:14 am
US lawmakers denounce 'You lie' outburst at Obama

Quote:
WASHINGTON " US Democrats and Republicans alike are denouncing Rep. Joe Wilson for shouting "You lie" at President Barack Obama during his speech to Congress, an extraordinary breach of decorum for which the South Carolina Republican swiftly apologized.

"There'll be time enough to consider whether or not we ought to make it clear that that action is unacceptable in the House of Representatives," House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said late Wednesday on WTOP radio when asked about possible punishment for Wilson. "I've talked to Republican members who share that view."

"Let's see what he does," Hoyer said before Wilson issued an apology. "Then there's time enough to consider further action."

House Republicans did not immediately respond to a request for comment, but there was widespread condemnation of the outburst from members of both parties.

Wilson's outburst came after Obama said extending health care to all Americans who seek it would not mean insuring illegal immigrants.

"You lie!" Wilson shouted from his seat on the Republican side of the chamber.

Wilson's behavior caused a political hangover for him and possibly for the Republican critics Obama had cast as shrill and more interested in killing any health care overhaul than finding a way to provide it.

Later, Wilson was contrite.

"This evening I let my emotions get the best of me," he said in a statement. "While I disagree with the president's statement, my comments were inappropriate and regrettable. I extend sincere apologies to the president for this lack of civility."

He then tried to call Obama to apologize personally, but ended up talking with White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel instead, Wilson's office said.

By that time, the congressman's Web site had crashed, he had taken a beating on his Twitter page and Democrat Rob Miller had raised thousands of unexpected dollars online for a possible rematch with Wilson in next year's midterm elections, according to Lachlan McIntosh, Miller's campaign manager.

"Everybody was stunned," Rep. Maxine Waters, a California Democrat, said of Wilson's eruption. "It was just something that nobody had ever witnessed before. We all felt embarrassed."

Republicans froze; several glanced in Wilson's direction.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi directed a fierce frown at him; first lady Michelle Obama pursed her lips and shook her head from side to side. Vice President Joe Biden looked down and shook his head too.

Obama, meanwhile, looked toward the outburst and replied, "That's not true" before going on with his speech.

Wilson appeared to consult his Blackberry for much of the rest of Obama's speech. He shook his head defiantly after several of the president's statements. When Obama finished, Wilson bolted from the chamber.

Wilson's behavior was "totally disrespectful," Sen. John McCain, an Arizona Republican, who was Obama's rival in the 2008 presidential election, said on CNN. "There is no place for it in that setting, or any other, and he should apologize for it immediately."


I think lots and lots of people will be financing the campaign of Rep. Joe Wilson's opponent in the next election.
0 Replies
 
Debra Law
 
  2  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 03:18 am
Rob Miller, Joe 'You Lie' Wilson Opponent, Raises $75,000 In One Night

Quote:
We're still not sure what exactly the fallout will be from Joe Wilson (R-SC) yelling "You lie!" at Barack Obama during his speech outlining his plans for health care reform. It's possible Wilson will become something of a hero within right-wing circles, or it's possible his outburst will see him drummed out of the GOP.

One thing is sure though: it really, really helped his opponent Rob Miller. The South Carolina Democrat had already attempted to unseat Wilson in 2008, but came a few votes short. Now, following Wilson's moment, Miller has already raised $75,000 and counting from progressives who want to unseat Wilson.

0 Replies
 
Debra Law
 
  2  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 03:21 am
POLITICAL TICKER

Quote:
WASHINGTON (CNN) " The Democrat hoping to unseat South Carolina congressman Joe Wilson in next year's midterm elections quickly seized on the Republican's shout of "You lie!" during President Obama's health care speech on Wednesday.

"Representative Wilson's behavior tonight exemplifies everything that is wrong in Washington," Democrat Rob Miller said in a statement provided to CNN. "Instead of engaging in childish name-calling and disrespecting our Commander-in-Chief, Joe Wilson should be working towards a bipartisan solution that makes quality, affordable health care available to each and every South Carolinian.

Miller added: "He owes both the President and the people of this district an apology for his embarrassing behavior during tonight's speech."

Wilson apologized to the president after the speech, calling his comments "inappropriate and regrettable."

Miller, a 13-year veteran of the Marine Corps, gave Wilson the toughest re-election challenge of his career last year in one of the country's most conservative congressional districts. Miller lost by eight points, and decided to challenge Wilson again next year.


National Democrats are also looking for a win: Wilson is on the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's 2010 hit list.

Wednesday's commotion is likely to give both candidates a financial boost. Miller's supporters quickly took to Twitter and urged Democrats to support the campaign, while Republicans on the Web urged their readers to donate to Wilson.

Erick Erickson, the conservative voice behind RedState.com, called Wilson a "great American hero." South Carolina Democratic party chairwoman Carol Fowler, meanwhile, said Wilson gave the state yet another black eye.

"Once again a South Carolina Republican has embarrassed our state," Fowler said in a statement, making a nod to scandal-plagued governor Mark Sanford. "Never has any member of Congress shown such disrespect for the president during a speech."


0 Replies
 
Debra Law
 
  3  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 03:23 am
CNN POLL
Quote:
Two out of three Americans who watched President Barack Obama's health care reform speech Wednesday night favor his health care plans " a 14-point gain among speech-watchers, according to a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation national poll of people who tuned into Obama's address Wednesday night to a joint session of Congress.
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  2  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 06:14 am
@Debra Law,
Quote:
Does she support a public option?


Yes, she does.
She feels it would be the best solution to many of the health care reform arguments out there.
I disagree with her, so we have simply agreed to disagree.

Quote:
What are the specifics of the healthcare reform that your mother allegedly supports?

To be honest, I'm not 100% sure, so I wont presume to speak for her.
I do know however, that she supports the public option, and I do know she also supports tort reform, but other then that I am not sure.
0 Replies
 
McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 08:12 am
So, whom here amongst the left would willingly have the previous Bush administration in charge of their health care?

Obama and the Dem's will not always be in office and should government controlled health care go into effect, the possibility exists that in the future a Republican President with a Republican controlled Congress will be running the show.

Just something to think about while trying to get this thing passed.

I am still of the opinion that government provided health services and not insurance regulation is the way to go and that it is something that should be examined from every angle and thought about very hard. Not something thrown together in the course of a couple months for political expedience.
parados
 
  2  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 08:18 am
@McGentrix,
Yes, and any future president and Congress will also be held to the same standard Obama is. The voters can vote them out in the next election if they don't like what they do.

What you don't seem to understand McG is the President and Congress are required to follow the law. If the law provides for health care then a future President can't simply decide to not follow the law. If he does decide to not follow it, there would be millions with standing able to sue him in court and, unlike Bush, the future President wouldn't be able to claim national security to squash the suits.
0 Replies
 
joefromchicago
 
  2  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 08:25 am
@McGentrix,
McGentrix wrote:

So, whom here amongst the left would willingly have the previous Bush administration in charge of their health care?

I would. The Bush administration was in charge of my parents' health care for eight years, and I didn't have too many complaints about that.
cicerone imposter
 
  2  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 10:21 am
@joefromchicago,
My Medicare health plan under Bush was no different than under Clinton or Obama; I rate it as "excellent," because my doctor is one of the best I've ever had in my life.
0 Replies
 
McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 11:07 am
@joefromchicago,
joefromchicago wrote:

McGentrix wrote:

So, whom here amongst the left would willingly have the previous Bush administration in charge of their health care?

I would. The Bush administration was in charge of my parents' health care for eight years, and I didn't have too many complaints about that.


That's with the current plan. I am speaking of the future plan where their health care is rationed and they receive less in medicare benefits. You know, Obamacare (r).
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 11:08 am
@McGentrix,
McGentrix wrote:

joefromchicago wrote:

McGentrix wrote:

So, whom here amongst the left would willingly have the previous Bush administration in charge of their health care?

I would. The Bush administration was in charge of my parents' health care for eight years, and I didn't have too many complaints about that.


That's with the current plan. I am speaking of the future plan where their health care is rationed and they receive less in medicare benefits. You know, Obamacare (r).


Seeing as no element of the current plans call for rationing or lowering Medicare benefits, I'm going to go ahead and call this Bullshit fearmongering.

Cycloptichorn
maporsche
 
  1  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 11:20 am
@Cycloptichorn,
I still shocked that you do not think that some rationing will have to occur at some point. It might not be explicitly proposed, but funds are not unlimited.
joefromchicago
 
  3  
Reply Thu 10 Sep, 2009 11:24 am
@McGentrix,
McGentrix wrote:
That's with the current plan. I am speaking of the future plan where their health care is rationed and they receive less in medicare benefits. You know, Obamacare (r).

That's what I like about you, McG: always with the jokes!
 

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