@Foxfyre,
Foxfyre wrote:
Again you can say it isn't true until the cows come home, but I have offered numerous informed opinions now for my opinion and shown the link between AIG's problems and that--a link supported by the piece YOU posted.
No, you did not offer any information about the link between AIG's problems and the CRA. And now you refuse to write two or three simple sentences explaining it. It would have been easier to re-state your position than to write this post complaining about my request for you to do so.
Quote:Until you can come up with something more than your own opinion to show me how I am wrong, I have to believe I have more support for why I am right than you have support for your assertion that I am wrong.
(And these silly straw men that you and CI are putting out there re somebody 'forcing' somebody as if that is pertinent is...well....silly.)
It was you and other Republicans who were arguing in this thread that the government 'forced' people to hand out loans to minorities and poor folks, and that's how the problem got started. But that's bullshit. It has nothing to do with how the problem got started. You backtracked on this argument once it became clear that you were confusing Banks with Investment houses and AIG.
In order to move forward, I will now re-state my position in a series of simple steps and ask you to do the same, instead of claiming that your position is clear. I am telling you right now that your position is not clear. I'd like to see it be clearly stated so that we can evaluate the truth of it.
Step 1 - in 1999, changes to the Glass-Steagal act allow for 'innovative investment vehicles' such as CDO's and Credit-Default swaps to come into common usage in the market.
Step 2 - companies such as AIG and investment houses start buying up mortgages - normally something they would
never dream of doing - and using the new rules to attach AAA ratings to what would normally be considered crappy securities, b/c everyone knows that houses go up and down in value.
Step 3 - As it becomes clear that the Financial houses and some banks are making lots and lots of money off of this, and with the housing boom engineered by 0% interest rates after 9/11, hordes of Hedge fund managers and investment bankers flock to the CDO and credit-default swap market in an attempt to get in on the action.
Step 4 - these companies begin to leverage more and more of these purchases with guarantees against the survival of their own company; in many cases the purchases outweighed the number of actual assets 20 or 40 to 1. This made fantastic profits but engineered a very shaky situation, in which our entire financial sector was over-extended and relied on continued growth to keep even.
Step 5 - once the market started to decline, a perfectly natural thing for it to do, people wanted to get rid of the MBS and found they had a hard time doing so, as people had gotten worried about what they contained and what they were actually worth. When the housing market kept rising, nobody asked any questions, but when things looked bad, they started. So the liquidity of these assets dried up.
Step 6 - it quickly became apparent that our banks and financial houses were SO over-leveraged, that they owned FAR more of these MBS' than anything else, including assets to back up their obligations for yet more of them. In effect almost all of our financial companies were revealed to owe far more money than they possibly could pay, if forced to do so immediately.
Step 7 - the market seizes up, investors start to panic, AIG folds - badly - and the government steps in, and we are where we are today.
At
no point was the government involved in a series of extremely poor decisions on the part of the companies in question. They saw a system they thought they could take advantage of, and did exactly that. Now, they are paying the price for their poor investments and so are we.
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If you have an alternate, step-by-step explanation, please present it.
Cycloptichorn