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AMERICAN CONSERVATISM IN 2008 AND BEYOND

 
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 6 Feb, 2009 09:39 pm
@cicerone imposter,
cicerone imposter wrote:
You did not post the source on your original post.

True, I did not post the sources when I gave my summary. So what? I certainly did previously publish the sources everytime I posted the data sets that I subsequently summarized. And of course, responding to your accusation, I posted all those sources subsequent to my summary.
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 6 Feb, 2009 09:44 pm
@ican711nm,
Always? Give me a break!
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 6 Feb, 2009 09:52 pm
@ican711nm,
ican falls into the same "trap" as Foxie by trying to use the term MAL to describe a particular set of political party in the US that has no universal acceptance.

Everything else is describes is garbage; not worth the cyberspace.
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 07:58 am
@cicerone imposter,
And now, the dems seem to want to do the same thing with their "stimulus plan".
According to a report I heard on NPR, the plan calls for more spending then most countries have in their total bidget.
According to NPR, only 23 countries have a budget larger then the plan Obama and the dems are pushing.
Isnt that also shifting this deficit onto our children and grandchildren?

And there is much in the bill that has nothing at all to do with stimulating our economy.
For example,
Part of the bill authorizes that money be paid to Filipino veterans of WW2.
How does that help our economy?
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 09:28 am
It doesn't help, MM. Some analyists of this bill say that less than 10% will provide any economic stimulus at all, and most of that will be quite limited and temporary. Our government is foisting upon us a massive spending bill to ensure that their constituents will keep voting them into office, and greatly increasing the size and scope of government to ensure that the people will be increasingly dependent upon it. For the life of me, I can't see how so many people cannot see that but maybe they do and modern liberals (MALs) are rubbing their hands with glee while MACs watch with dismay and great forboding.

Every time the government increases in size, scope, and influence over the everyday lives of the people, we lose more of our freedoms and less of our ability to chart our own destinies.

From that same Wiki article from which I have been taking the definition of Classical Liberalism (i.e. Modern American Conservatism) from (emphasis mine):

Quote:
In the United States, liberalism took a strong root because it had little opposition to its ideals, whereas in Europe liberalism was opposed by many reactionary interests. From the time of the industrial revolution through the Great Depression liberalism in America saw its first ideological challenges. By the time of the Great Depression, liberalism in America had changed its definition to describe its former opposition, for example in the opinion of Arthur Schlesinger Jr.:

". . . when the growing complexity of industrial conditions required increasing government intervention in order to assure more equal opportunities, the liberal tradition, faithful to the goal rather than to the dogma, altered its view of the state," and "there emerged the conception of a social welfare state, in which the national government had the express obligation to maintain high levels of employment in the economy, to supervise standards of life and labor, to regulate the methods of business competition, and to establish comprehensive patterns of social security."

In Europe, especially, except on the British Isles, liberalism had been fairly weak and unpopular relative to its opposition, like socialism, and therefore no change in meaning occurred.

By the 1970s, however, lagging economic growth and increased levels of taxation and debt spurred a revival of a new classical liberalism. Friedrich von Hayek and Milton Friedman argued against government intervention in fiscal policy and their ideas were embraced by conservative political parties in the US and the United Kingdom beginning in the 1980s. In fact, Ronald Reagan credited Bastiat, von Mises, and Hayek as influences.

At the heart of classical liberalism", wrote Nancy L. Rosenblum and Robert C. Post, is a prescription: "Nurture voluntary associations. Limit the size, and more importantly, the scope of government. So long as the state provides a basic rule of law that steers people away from destructive or parasitic ways of life and in the direction of productive ways of life, society runs itself. If you want people to flourish, let them run their own lives."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Classical_liberalism
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 09:29 am
@mysteryman,
Quote:
And now, the dems seem to want to do the same thing with their "stimulus plan".
According to a report I heard on NPR, the plan calls for more spending then most countries have in their total bidget.
According to NPR, only 23 countries have a budget larger then the plan Obama and the dems are pushing.
Isnt that also shifting this deficit onto our children and grandchildren?

It is. And no, nobody, Republican or Democrat, wants to shift deficits unto children and grandchildren. In both cases, it's the price people are willing to pay for something more urgent or important.

The Republicans shifted a deficit to American children because they thought the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan were worth fighting, and that they shouldn't be paid for with increased taxes.

The Democrats are shifting a deficits to American children because they think the economy is falling off a cliff now, that a stimulus program is the only chance to prevent the fall or at least cushion it, and that tax hikes now would counteract the stimulus program.

The important difference is not about passing deficits to American children and grandchildren. Both parties do that. The difference is that the Democrats are right in their assumptions about what the deficit buys them, while the Republicans were mostly wrong. (Right about the war in Afghanistan, wrong about the war in Iraq, wrong about not paying for the wars with taxes.)
mysteryman
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 10:02 am
@Thomas,
Quote:
The Democrats are shifting a deficits to American children because they think the economy is falling off a cliff now, that a stimulus program is the only chance to prevent the fall or at least cushion it, and that tax hikes now would counteract the stimulus program.


IF it was strictly a stimulus plan, I might agree, but it isnt.
Lets look at some of the "stimulus" in the plan...
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2009/feb/03/jon-kyl/stimulus-plan-includes-plan-compensate-filipino-ve/

Read that and tell me how that stimulates our economy.

Actually, to get a good overview of the bill, read this...
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/article/2009/feb/05/your-guide-economic-stimulus-bill/

Quote:
The important difference is not about passing deficits to American children and grandchildren. Both parties do that. The difference is that the Democrats are right in their assumptions about what the deficit buys them, while the Republicans were mostly wrong. (Right about the war in Afghanistan, wrong about the war in Iraq, wrong about not paying for the wars with taxes.)


OK, exactly what is the deficit going to buy them?
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 10:19 am
@mysteryman,
Let's face it, mm, there is never going to be a stimulus plan that will satisfy both sides of the isle even close to 75%. There will always be differences no matter how much bipartisan cooperation there is on anything that has to do with any budget. If we're looking for perfection, it isn't going to happen; that's the bottom line. We must now weigh the importance of any stimulus plan against not having one during this period of economic crisis.

They need to compromise and get something out as thousands of jobs disappear every day. That also translates into lost homes and health insurance.
mysteryman
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 10:24 am
@cicerone imposter,
I 100% agree.
BUT, lets make sure it is a stimulus plan that will get people working, and not an excuse to add billions of dollars of pork that wouldnt pass on their own merits.
Lets eliminate that and then lets pass the bill.

There is no room or money to add so much pork to this bill.

But, I still wonder why the dems dont just vote on the bill and pass it.
They have the majority votes, so they could pass it.
If its so good, why dont they pass it and then take ALL of the credit for it?
Frank Apisa
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 10:26 am
@cicerone imposter,
That...plus the fact that the DEMOCRATS WON. When the Republicans won...they enacted the stuff that they thought was important...ya know, stuff that would kill a bunch of people; give lots more wealth to the people who already had most of it; and which marginalized the less fortunate as much as possible.

So now the Democrats are doing the opposite.

Seems reasonable to me.
mysteryman
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 10:29 am
@Frank Apisa,
I'm not arguing that.
If they are so sure they are doing the right thing, why are they insisting the repubs vote with them on this bill?

If its so good, they should be willing to act on it and take all the credit.
The fact that they arent willing to do that makes me wonder about the bill and what their ulterior motives are.
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 10:32 am
@Thomas,
Thomas wrote:

Quote:
And now, the dems seem to want to do the same thing with their "stimulus plan".
According to a report I heard on NPR, the plan calls for more spending then most countries have in their total bidget.
According to NPR, only 23 countries have a budget larger then the plan Obama and the dems are pushing.
Isnt that also shifting this deficit onto our children and grandchildren?

It is. And no, nobody, Republican or Democrat, wants to shift deficits unto children and grandchildren. In both cases, it's the price people are willing to pay for something more urgent or important.

The Republicans shifted a deficit to American children because they thought the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan were worth fighting, and that they shouldn't be paid for with increased taxes.

The Democrats are shifting a deficits to American children because they think the economy is falling off a cliff now, that a stimulus program is the only chance to prevent the fall or at least cushion it, and that tax hikes now would counteract the stimulus program.

The important difference is not about passing deficits to American children and grandchildren. Both parties do that. The difference is that the Democrats are right in their assumptions about what the deficit buys them, while the Republicans were mostly wrong. (Right about the war in Afghanistan, wrong about the war in Iraq, wrong about not paying for the wars with taxes.)


How can you say with certainty that "the Democrats are right in their assumptions about what the deficit buys them"? What has all those mega trillions expended by the government on education, social programs, etc. bought us so far? The poor are still among us, most particularly the children. Many of our inner cities are rat infested pockets of crime. Children born to single parent families is at an unprecedented level and many if not most of those children will be economically disadvantaged. Entitlement programs are careening out of control demanding larger and larger chunks of the federal budget every year.

And can you say with certainty that raising taxes would have produced more revenues? The leftwing think tanks such as Brookings and the Tax Foundation say yes. The rightwing and neutral think tanks such as the Heritage Foundation and CATO say no. Can you say with any certainty that raising tax rates would not change human behavior in a way that would produce far less in revenues than might first appear?

These are all things that rational people must consider I think.

 http://taxprof.typepad.com/photos/uncategorized/revenue20growth.jpg
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 10:36 am
@mysteryman,
That's what I've been saying all along; there's too much money in the stimulus plan that really doesn't create jobs, but instead expands social services. All those can come after we stop the bleeding in job loss. I blame the democrats for including too much of social services over job creation, and the republicans have a point on those issues. However, congress better get off their duffs pretty soon, because there's going to be a point of no return when whatever they do will be hopeless. There are already questions about their impact on our economy.

The only reason they can delay this plan is because they still have "jobs" and an income with health insurance. If they were suffering the same fate as many in this country, they would have passed one last week.
mysteryman
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 10:40 am
@cicerone imposter,
So it seems like we are agreeing on this issue, at least partly.

We better not do that to often, or people are going to start wondering...LOL

But I digress,
I agree about there being to much money going nowhere in the bill.
I do believe that the dems are throwing money into the bill in an attempt to garner votes.
That money should all be removed from the bill, and the bill rewritten.
It should be easy to do, simply by using a simple standard...if it doesnt create a job, we dont spend money on it.

How hard is that?
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 10:43 am
@Foxfyre,
Very funny, Foxie. Just up your alley to show a graph that excludes the most important "total" period of Bush's reign. Those increases were based on the same inflated assets and spending of and by consumers. When the bottom fell out last year, tax revenue dropped like a one ton sinker.

You probably haven't noticed, but most government agencies are struggling to survive, because tax revenue dropped as never before in our history. You very well "should" know that the 2005 revenue "growth" was based on all those risky loans and trades on instruments with hardly any value.

Quit playing graph games and show us the total impact during Bush's tenure.

You are laughable.
0 Replies
 
Frank Apisa
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 10:46 am
@mysteryman,
Quote:
I'm not arguing that.
If they are so sure they are doing the right thing, why are they insisting the repubs vote with them on this bill?

If its so good, they should be willing to act on it and take all the credit.
The fact that they arent willing to do that makes me wonder about the bill and what their ulterior motives are.


Hummm...do you really think American politicians could possibly have ulterior motives for what they do????

I never thought of that.

Next thing you'll be telling me is that the Republicans do it too!!!

0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 11:31 am
@mysteryman,
mysteryman wrote:

I'm not arguing that.
If they are so sure they are doing the right thing, why are they insisting the repubs vote with them on this bill?


How many times do I have to explain the same simple **** to you?

In the Senate the Republicans have threatened to filibuster this bill; so the Dems need a few votes to pass it from the other side. And that's why they are getting those votes by negotiating.

In the House, the Republicans cannot filibuster, so we didn't insist they vote on the bill. Just passed it.

The fact that they need a few Republican votes doesn't mean that they aren't sure it's a good thing; it's just how the Senate works.

Quote:
If its so good, they should be willing to act on it and take all the credit.
The fact that they arent willing to do that makes me wonder about the bill and what their ulterior motives are.


The fact that you have asked these questions makes me wonder how well you understand how our political system works.

Cycloptichorn
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 11:37 am
@ican711nm,
ican711nm wrote:

SUMMING UP CONTENT OF LINKS I PREVIOUSLY POSTED

CARTER
Unemployment increased from 7.1% in 1977, to 7.6% in 1981.
Income tax rates constant 14% min to 70% max in 1977 thru 1981.
Revenues increased from 355,559 million in 1977, to 599,272 million in 1981.

REAGAN
Unemployment decreased from 9.7% in 1982, to 5.6% in 1990.
Income tax rates decreased from 12% min and 50% max in 1982, to 15% min and 33% max in 1990.
Revenues increased from 617,766 million in 1982, to 1,032,094 million in 1990.

BUSH 43
Unemployment decreased from 6.0% in 2003, to 4.6% in 2006.
Income tax rates decreased from 15% min and 39.1% max in 2001, to 10% min and 35% max in 2006.
Revenues increased from 1,991,426 million in 2001, to 2,407,254 million in 2006.


Make sure you note that Reagan had several tax raises, which led to the increased revenues, Ican.

You should also try correcting for inflation and population growth with your numbers; it gives a more accurate picture of growth.

Quote:
January 17, 2008, 7:03 pm
Reagan and revenue

Ah - commenter Tom says, in response to my post on taxes and revenues:

Taxes were cut at the beginning of the Reagan administration.

Federal tax receipts increased by 50% by the end of the Reagan Administration.

Although correlation does not prove causation the tax cut must have accounted for some portion of this increase in federal tax receipts.

I couldn’t have asked for a better example of why it’s important to correct for inflation and population growth, both of which tend to make revenues grow regardless of tax policy.

Actually, federal revenues rose 80 percent in dollar terms from 1980 to 1988. And numbers like that (sometimes they play with the dates) are thrown around by Reagan hagiographers all the time.

But real revenues per capita grew only 19 percent over the same period " better than the likely Bush performance, but still nothing exciting. In fact, it’s less than revenue growth in the period 1972-1980 (24 percent) and much less than the amazing 41 percent gain from 1992 to 2000.

Is it really possible that all the triumphant declarations that the Reagan tax cuts led to a revenue boom " declarations that you see in highly respectable places " are based on nothing but a failure to make the most elementary corrections for inflation and population growth? Yes, it is. I know we’re supposed to pretend that we’re having a serious discussion in this country; but the truth is that we aren’t.

Update: For the econowonks out there: business cycles are an issue here " revenue growth from trough to peak will look better than the reverse. Unfortunately, business cycles don’t correspond to administrations. But looking at revenue changes peak to peak is still revealing. So here’s the annual rate of growth of real revenue per capita over some cycles:

1973-1979: 2.7%
1979-1990: 1.8%
1990-2000: 3.2%
2000-2007 (probable peak): approximately zero

Do you see the revenue booms from the Reagan and Bush tax cuts? Me neither.


Once again; Ideology, not economics, is driving your argument. The facts literally don't support your case that tax cuts lead to higher revenues.

Fox, showing a graph of the Bush presidency's revenue growth that ends in 2005 is highly suspect. You know that it tanked after that.

Cycloptichorn

Cycloptichorn
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 12:21 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cyclo wrote:
Quote:

You should also try correcting for inflation and population growth with your numbers; it gives a more accurate picture of growth.


They just love to mislead by showing only what they want people to see without any of the "necessary" explanations or its causes.

Typical conservative strategy; mislead enough times, and people will believe it's true.
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Feb, 2009 12:42 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Quote:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2051527/posts
Highest and lowest Income Tax Rates 1913 to 2007

Partial History of
U.S. Federal Income Tax Rates
Since 1913
...

CARTER INAUGURATED 1977

1971-1981 15 brackets 14% 70% IRS

REAGAN INAUGURATED 1981 & 1985

1982-1986 12 brackets 12% 50% IRS
1987 5 brackets 11% 38.5% IRS
1988-1990 3 brackets 15% 33% IRS

BUSH 41 INAUGURATED 1989

1991-1992 3 brackets 15% 31% IRS

CLINTON INAUGURATED 1993 & 1997

1993-2000 5 brackets 15% 39.6% IRS

BUSH 43 INAUGURATED 2001 & 2005

2001 5 brackets 15% 39.1% IRS
2002 6 brackets 10% 38.6% IRS
2003-2007 6 brackets 10% 35% IRS


ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/suppl/empsit.cpseea1.txt
Employment & Unemployment Tables 1970 to 2008
ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/special.requests/lf/aat1.txt
Unemployed 1942 to 2008
http://kclibrary.nhmccd.edu/decade30.html
Unemployment 1930 to 193
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2051527/posts
Highest and lowest Income Tax Rates 1913 to 2007
http://www.heritage.org/research/features/BudgetChartBook/fed-rev-spend-2008-boc-R2-Federal-Government-Tax-Revenue.html?CFID=46546947&CFTOKEN=17840460
Federal Government Tax Revenue
http://www.heritage.org/research/features/BudgetChartBook/fed-rev-spend-2008-boc-C1-Federal-Spending-Is-Growing.html?CFID=46309161&CFTOKEN=15367246
Federal Government Tax Spending and Revenue
http://www.heritage.org/Research/Taxes/images/chart.gif
Federal Tax Revenues 1980 " 1990
http://pubdb3.census.gov/macro/032008/hhinc/new06_000.htm
Household Income
http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/fy2008/pdf/hist.pdf
TABLE 1.1 SUMMARY OF BUDGET RECEIPTS OUTLAYS SURPLUSES OR DEFICITS 1789-2012
============================================================================
SUMMING UP CONTENT OF LINKS I PREVIOUSLY POSTED

CARTER
Unemployment increased from 7.1% in 1977, to 7.6% in 1981.
Income tax rates constant 14% min to 70% max in 1977 thru 1981.
Revenues increased from 355,559 million in 1977, to 599,272 million in 1981.

REAGAN
Unemployment decreased from 9.7% in 1982, to 5.6% in 1990.
Income tax rates decreased from 12% min and 50% max in 1982, to 15% min and 33% max in 1990.
Revenues increased from 617,766 million in 1982, to 1,032,094 million in 1990.

BUSH 43
Unemployment decreased from 6.0% in 2003, to 4.6% in 2006.
Income tax rates decreased from 15% min and 39.1% max in 2001, to 10% min and 35% max in 2006.
Revenues increased from 1,991,426 million in 2001, to 2,407,254 million in 2006.
============================================================================
I reduced the period of Bush's term I considered because my revenue data source only had estimates for the years 2007 and 2008, and my tax rate data source did not specify rates for 2008.

Having thought about it more, in 2007 and 2008 Bush was denied by the Democrat Congressional majority doing anything to rein in Fanny & Freddy & Ginny. Therefore, I charge that Democrat majority with playing a huge part WITH BUSH in the deficit and unemployment increases in those years.
============================================================================


0 Replies
 
 

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