55
   

AMERICAN CONSERVATISM IN 2008 AND BEYOND

 
 
plainoldme
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 05:42 am
@okie,
Prove your statement. Use real statistics, not something you dredge up from Glenn Beck.
0 Replies
 
plainoldme
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 05:45 am
@mysteryman,
God! I wish your grasp of English were stronger.

There is a real difference between writing, "LBJ was a conservative" and "In that, LBJ was a conservative."

But, I have to thank you for illustrating again and again and again how there doesn't seem to be a conservative who has an reading level above seventh grade.

Besides, real historians do not say that LBJ was a liberal.
okie
 
  0  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 09:12 am
@plainoldme,
plainoldme wrote:

Or, that black people are interested in truth and news and not in distortion!

If more were interested in truth, they would read things like are found in the following website: http://www.nbra.info/
On that site, take the time, pom, to take the black history test here and see if you can even get one answer right:
http://www.nbra.info/DYK-HistoryTest

I kind of like one of the questions especially, since you love to hate George Bush so viciously, pom:
9. What is the Party of President George W. Bush who appointed more blacks to high-level positions than any president in history and who spent record money education, job training and health care to help black Americans prosper?
[ ] a. Democratic Party
[ ] b. Republican Party


Dare to try to climb out of your ignorance, pom!
mysteryman
 
  0  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 09:27 am
@plainoldme,
And there you go again, starting with the insults when you get challenged.
I never said anything about LBJ being a conservative or a liberal, I simply pointed out that he got the US into Vietnam.

And I notice you avoided the question about Kennedy, even though he sent the first significant troops to Vietnam.
Was he a liberal or a conservative?

And how is it that you seem to ignore all of the dem presidents that got the US into war?
Were all of them conservatives?
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 10:11 am
Quote:

http://newstrust.net/stories/2527198/toolbar?ref=sp
America's Ruling Class -- And the Perils of Revolution
By Angelo M. Codevilla from the July 2010 - August 2010 issue

As over-leveraged investment houses began to fail in September 2008, the leaders of the Republican and Democratic parties, of major corporations, and opinion leaders stretching from the National Review magazine (and the Wall Street Journal) on the right to the Nation magazine on the left, agreed that spending some $700 billion to buy the investors' "toxic assets" was the only alternative to the U.S. economy's "systemic collapse." In this, President George W. Bush and his would-be Republican successor John McCain agreed with the Democratic candidate, Barack Obama. Many, if not most, people around them also agreed upon the eventual commitment of some 10 trillion nonexistent dollars in ways unprecedented in America. They explained neither the difference between the assets' nominal and real values, nor precisely why letting the market find the latter would collapse America. The public objected immediately, by margins of three or four to one.

When this majority discovered that virtually no one in a position of power in either party or with a national voice would take their objections seriously, that decisions about their money were being made in bipartisan backroom deals with interested parties, and that the laws on these matters were being voted by people who had not read them, the term "political class" came into use. Then, after those in power changed their plans from buying toxic assets to buying up equity in banks and major industries but refused to explain why, when they reasserted their right to decide ad hoc on these and so many other matters, supposing them to be beyond the general public's understanding, the American people started referring to those in and around government as the "ruling class." And in fact Republican and Democratic office holders and their retinues show a similar presumption to dominate and fewer differences in tastes, habits, opinions, and sources of income among one another than between both and the rest of the country. They think, look, and act as a class.

...

Today's ruling class, from Boston to San Diego, was formed by an educational system that exposed them to the same ideas and gave them remarkably uniform guidance, as well as tastes and habits. These amount to a social canon of judgments about good and evil, complete with secular sacred history, sins (against minorities and the environment), and saints. Using the right words and avoiding the wrong ones when referring to such matters -- speaking the "in" language -- serves as a badge of identity. Regardless of what business or profession they are in, their road up included government channels and government money because, as government has grown, its boundary with the rest of American life has become indistinct. Many began their careers in government and leveraged their way into the private sector. Some, e.g., Secretary of the Treasury Timothy Geithner, never held a non-government job. Hence whether formally in government, out of it, or halfway, America's ruling class speaks the language and has the tastes, habits, and tools of bureaucrats. It rules uneasily over the majority of Americans not oriented to government.

...
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  2  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 10:43 am
@okie,
okie, When you say "drink the democratic koolaid" what exactly are you trying to say? Do you not know how to express ideas that people can understand?
cicerone imposter
 
  2  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 10:44 am
@plainoldme,
pom, I saw those at the War Remembrance Museum in Saigon. Some of them brought tears to my eyes; especially the one that shows a deformed baby laughing with his mother.
0 Replies
 
djjd62
 
  3  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 10:46 am
@cicerone imposter,
it's the same as drinking the republican koolaid, it just means you follow the party line with no questions, both parties do it, to pretend that one party does it more than the other is ridiculous
EmperorNero
 
  0  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 11:13 am
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
the most prominent factor in the financial crisis had nothing to do with home prices, and everything to do with massively leveraged financial products for which there was no regulation.

Without those unregulated financial products, there would have been no financial crisis, period. This is an inescapable fact that cannot be explained away by right-wingers looking to rewrite history.


Certainly, if government had banned the particular financial products that caused the crisis there would have been no crisis. But that's sort off like saying: "If there had been a policeman in this street yesterday evening, the mugging that occurred there would not have happened. Ergo muggings are caused by the absence of policemen".
It might be true that there would have been no mugging if a policeman had been present, but that does not imply that the absence of policemen causes muggings. In lots of streets without policemen no one was mugged yesterday.

In the same way financial crises are not caused solely by the absence of regulation banning 'crazy' financial instruments. There simply is no financial instrument that will cause a crisis solely by being legal. (Of course fraud should be regulated, that's different.) We do not have to understand these particular financial instruments to know that they all boil down to humans making bets that they think will make them richer. There is a simple incentive that keeps people from making bad bets, and it has nothing to do with government banning those bets: people who make bad bets lose money.

That such bad bets did happen on a scale massive enough to endanger the entire economy was not caused by dangerous financial products being legal, but by government distorting market decisions. In bailout after bailout the government set the precedent that they, meaning the taxpayer, will bail out financial bubbles. Each individual bailout may have been worth it, but they taught the financial industry that as long as they create a bubble that's big enough to be too big to fail, losses will be socialized. Meaning they have an incentive to create bubbles that have to be bailed out. After all the financial industry did get bailed out, did it not?

If you walk into a casino and somebody tells you "if you win you get to take the money home, but if you lose we will repay your losses", what will you do? You would make dangerous bets, because there is no incentive to play safely. And that's precisely what the financial industry did.
If you bet all your money on the number 7, and you loose and get bailed out, it would be accurate to say that a ban on betting on 7 would have prevented that. But the absence of such regulation was not the problem.
Cycloptichorn
 
  3  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 11:17 am
@EmperorNero,
Quote:

That such bad bets did happen on a scale massive enough to endanger the entire economy was not caused by dangerous financial products being legal, but by government distorting market decisions.


Unsourced assertion. You have no evidence showing that this is true; it is only a theory of yours.

Quote:
But the absence of such regulation was not the problem.


It was exactly the problem. As you said above,

Quote:
Certainly, if government had banned the particular financial products that caused the crisis there would have been no crisis.


You should have just stopped there. Your attempts at equivocation after that are pathetic, because I blame not only the lack of regulations, but the greed on the part of investors and the companies who knew these products were bullshit, and just didn't care.

Your example with Police and Muggings are also inadequate; it would be more accurate if you had said that the police had decided that muggings were LEGAL, so that's why one happened. That's what the Bush SEC did - they made an affirmative decision not to regulate the market, and we all see what happens when things go unregulated....

Cycloptichorn
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 11:23 am
@djjd62,
djjd, I doubt very much okie or anyone else can identify an American voter who follows "the party line" 100%. Nobody on this planet is a 100% democrat or republican. All one needs to do is look at the record of all politicians.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  2  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 11:24 am
@EmperorNero,
Quote:

Certainly, if government had banned the particular financial products that caused the crisis there would have been no crisis. But that's sort off like saying "if there had been a policeman in this street yesterday evening, the mugging that occurred there would not have happened. Ergo muggings are caused by the absence of policemen".

That doesn't even make any logical sense Nero. You agreed with Cyclo and disagreed with him in your example when you built a strawman.

Knocking down your strawman doesn't invalidate Cyclo's statement or the fact that you agreed with his statement.
0 Replies
 
EmperorNero
 
  0  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 12:12 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Quote:
That such bad bets did happen on a scale massive enough to endanger the entire economy was not caused by dangerous financial products being legal, but by government distorting market decisions.

Unsourced assertion. You have no evidence showing that this is true; it is only a theory of yours.

Actually I explain it in the paragraph that follows: In bailout after bailout the government set the precedent that they, meaning the taxpayer, will bail out financial bubbles. Each individual bailout may have been worth it, but they taught the financial industry that as long as they create a bubble that's big enough to be too big to fail, losses will be socialized. Meaning they [the financial industry] have an incentive to create bubbles that have to be bailed out. After all the financial industry did get bailed out, did it not?

Cycloptichorn wrote:
Quote:
Certainly, if government had banned the particular financial products that caused the crisis there would have been no crisis.


You should have just stopped there. Your attempts at equivocation after that are pathetic,


Where do I equivocate, please explain.

Cycloptichorn wrote:
because I blame not only the lack of regulations, but the greed on the part of investors and the companies who knew these products were bullshit, and just didn't care.


If these products were bullshit, why would anyone buy them? Either they were defrauded, that is not legal in a free market, or they were perfectly fine and there is need for government to ban stuff.

Cycloptichorn wrote:
it would be more accurate if you had said that the police had decided that muggings were LEGAL, so that's why one happened.


Obviously if something is legal that partially explains why is happens, that's not that much of an insight. What you seem to suggest is that certain financial products in a free market (i.e. not fraud or deception) are inherently dangerous and lead to financial crises unless government prohibits them. But there are no financial products, outside of fraud, that lead to financial crises. if you know one, what would that be?
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 12:26 pm
@EmperorNero,
Quote:
If these products were bullshit, why would anyone buy them? Either they were defrauded, that is not legal in a free market, or they were perfectly fine and there is need for government to ban stuff.


Do you really believe that the world is so black-and-white? It is not.

The people who knew they were bullshit bought them, because they didn't care if they failed - they were making money hand over fist and would be able to retire as multimillionaires no matter what happened to their investment firm. There was no incentive for them not to buy them, when every other company is making giant returns off of them...

Credit default-swaps are not inherently dangerous - unless the companies selling them are not regulated, and the market is not regulated. ANY unregulated commodity market is dangerous. It doesn't really matter if 'fraud' is the problem - the damage is done by that time. And what exactly is it you think regulations DO? They prevent fraud...

Cycloptichorn
ican711nm
 
  0  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 12:28 pm
Quote:

http://newstrust.net/stories/2527198/toolbar?ref=sp
America's Ruling Class -- And the Perils of Revolution
By Angelo M. Codevilla from the July 2010 - August 2010 issue

...

Today's ruling class, from Boston to San Diego, was formed by an educational system that exposed them to the same ideas and gave them remarkably uniform guidance, as well as tastes and habits. These amount to a social canon of judgments about good and evil, complete with secular sacred history, sins (against minorities and the environment), and saints. Using the right words and avoiding the wrong ones when referring to such matters -- speaking the "in" language -- serves as a badge of identity. Regardless of what business or profession they are in, their road up included government channels and government money because, as government has grown, its boundary with the rest of American life has become indistinct. Many began their careers in government and leveraged their way into the private sector. Some, e.g., Secretary of the Treasury Timothy Geithner, never held a non-government job. Hence whether formally in government, out of it, or halfway, America's ruling class speaks the language and has the tastes, habits, and tools of bureaucrats. It rules uneasily over the majority of Americans not oriented to government.

...
0 Replies
 
EmperorNero
 
  0  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 12:45 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:

Quote:
If these products were bullshit, why would anyone buy them? Either they were defrauded, that is not legal in a free market, or they were perfectly fine and there is need for government to ban stuff.


Do you really believe that the world is so black-and-white? It is not.

The people who knew they were bullshit bought them, because they didn't care if they failed - they were making money hand over fist and would be able to retire as multimillionaires no matter what happened to their investment firm. There was no incentive for them not to buy them, when every other company is making giant returns off of them...


They didn't care if bullshit mortgages failed because they resold them. It was not their problem. Yes?
Well, who would buy worthless assets, unless they are being lied to?
And fraud is not legal in a free market.
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 12:53 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:

Cycloptichorn wrote:

Quote:
If these products were bullshit, why would anyone buy them? Either they were defrauded, that is not legal in a free market, or they were perfectly fine and there is need for government to ban stuff.


Do you really believe that the world is so black-and-white? It is not.

The people who knew they were bullshit bought them, because they didn't care if they failed - they were making money hand over fist and would be able to retire as multimillionaires no matter what happened to their investment firm. There was no incentive for them not to buy them, when every other company is making giant returns off of them...


They didn't care if bullshit mortgages failed because they resold them. It was not their problem. Yes?


No. You are misunderstanding the basic problem.

They didn't give a **** what happened to the mortgages, because of the Credit Default Swaps. Once they purchased those, they were ostensibly insured by AIG and others from any losses on those MBS'.

Even more so, they - by whom I mean the individual traders and executives of these companies - didn't care if the whole thing fell apart, because they were making dozens of millions a year as it was. Who gives a **** if the market is going to collapse in a few years, when everyone you know will already be very rich by then?


Quote:
Well, who would buy worthless assets, unless they are being lied to?
And fraud is not legal in a free market.


The assets weren't worthless at all - and still aren't.

Even more so, how do you think fraud is prevented in commodity markets, if not for regulations? Geez.

Cycloptichorn
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 01:10 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
They didn't give a **** what happened to the mortgages, because of the Credit Default Swaps. Once they purchased those, they were ostensibly insured by AIG and others from any losses on those MBS'.


So they bought crap mortgages, but they also insured themselves against those mortgages defaulting, so they win no matter what?
But what would we regulate to stop that, the mortgages, the securities? What does regulation even mean?
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 01:17 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:

Cycloptichorn wrote:
They didn't give a **** what happened to the mortgages, because of the Credit Default Swaps. Once they purchased those, they were ostensibly insured by AIG and others from any losses on those MBS'.


So they bought crap mortgages, but they also insured themselves against those mortgages defaulting, so they win no matter what?


Yes, as long as the insurers don't go under - and they weren't regulated, so the companies had know way of knowing how many policies the insurers had written. In this case, AIG wrote something like 10 times the value of their company in policies and had ZERO cash to back them. But nobody knew that, because there were no regulations and no watchdogs.

Quote:
But what would we regulate to stop that, the mortgages, the securities? What does regulation even mean?


An open CDS market - which is what the Bush SEC specifically said they weren't interested in - would let everyone know how much insurance is being written by companies and for what products. It would be exceedingly easy for regulators and investors to figure out that a company has way over-leveraged itself. As things stand now, there's no way of knowing this - though the executives and traders for many of these companies MUST have known that AIG couldn't cover the losses, it's fair to say that they didn't know just how deep the rabbit hole went.

The point that is most central to this? Drops in the values of the mortgages were NOT the problem. Not at all. Which is why the 'Fannie! Freddie! Baaaad government aargh!' line, peddled by Conservative Ideologues, was and is total bullshit.

Cycloptichorn
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Aug, 2010 01:42 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:

EmperorNero wrote:

Cycloptichorn wrote:
They didn't give a **** what happened to the mortgages, because of the Credit Default Swaps. Once they purchased those, they were ostensibly insured by AIG and others from any losses on those MBS'.


So they bought crap mortgages, but they also insured themselves against those mortgages defaulting, so they win no matter what?


Yes, as long as the insurers don't go under - and they weren't regulated, so the companies had know way of knowing how many policies the insurers had written. In this case, AIG wrote something like 10 times the value of their company in policies and had ZERO cash to back them. But nobody knew that, because there were no regulations and no watchdogs.

Quote:
But what would we regulate to stop that, the mortgages, the securities? What does regulation even mean?


An open CDS market - which is what the Bush SEC specifically said they weren't interested in - would let everyone know how much insurance is being written by companies and for what products. It would be exceedingly easy for regulators and investors to figure out that a company has way over-leveraged itself. As things stand now, there's no way of knowing this - though the executives and traders for many of these companies MUST have known that AIG couldn't cover the losses, it's fair to say that they didn't know just how deep the rabbit hole went.

The point that is most central to this? Drops in the values of the mortgages were NOT the problem. Not at all. Which is why the 'Fannie! Freddie! Baaaad government aargh!' line, peddled by Conservative Ideologues, was and is total bullshit.

Cycloptichorn

Companies shouldn't be able to sell insurances that they can't cover. That indeed needs to be inspected. The problem is with the word 'regulate', when you say that conservatives hear big government coming in and banning stuff. But by regulating you don't necessarily mean intervening, just inspecting. In a way you are advocating a free market, you are saying companies shouldn't be able to sell something that they don't have.
But wouldn't the solution be less government, not more? Government is corrupt and incompetent, that they didn't do their job, that they left loop holes for their buddies, was the problem in the first place. So the solution is getting them involved more? What's more, those financial companies are the government, so they will just write legislation in their favor.
What's wrong with private ratings agencies? There is no need for applying force, if insurers have a bad rating, or refuse to cooperate with the ratings agency, they won't get any customers.
 

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