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The US, The UN and Iraq

 
 
timberlandko
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 04:51 pm
BillW, more or less the same projections of the way the attack will unfold were discussed on this thread some time ago. There really is no surprise there. I pretty much think "Shock and Awe" is likely to work pretty well, and we have the capability to put significant ground presence in place in many widely scattered areas in very short order. New since The Gulf War is the Real-Time-Awareness of the overall battlefield, something which will play an enormous role. Any organized Iraqi movement, surface or air, can expect to draw attention, risking assured destruction.

The precisely directed nature of the lethality of our weapons systems will within hours inflict irrecoverable losses on Iraq. Additionally, the precision of attack will likely occasion astonishingly low "Collateral Damage"; civilian cost, both human and material, attributable to US munitions will be exceptionally rare. In the realm of Command, Control, and Communication. Iraq's forces will be reduced to CCC capability akin to that of Napoleon's forces two centuries ago, while we will have live streaming video and data from the entire Theater, and detailed attack orders via Instant Messaging.

Shock and Awe indeed. Now, If I could believe The Administration had as well developed a plan for Post-Saddam Iraq, I would be much more comfortable. A good deal of the so-far leaked-or-revealed US intentions has promise, but The US has a dismal track record in such matters. Believe me, I am VERY uncomfortable.



timber
0 Replies
 
BillW
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 04:54 pm
I wasn't really trying to show a "surprise". But, this will be like the Europeans fighting the Indians in the first battles. When will the hate stop <sigh>
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 04:56 pm
trespassers will

Did I misread something or wasn't it Bush, who started a "crusade"?
0 Replies
 
trespassers will
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 04:58 pm
Walter Hinteler wrote:
trespassers will

Did I misread something or wasn't it Bush, who started a "crusade"?

You misread something.
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 05:29 pm
timberlandko wrote:
Quote:
I pretty much think "Shock and Awe" is likely to work pretty well, and we have the capability to put significant ground presence in place in many widely scattered areas in very short order. New since The Gulf War is the Real-Time-Awareness of the overall battlefield, something which will play an enormous role. Any organized Iraqi movement, surface or air, can expect to draw attention, risking assured destruction. The precisely directed nature of the lethality of our weapons systems will within hours inflict irrecoverable losses on Iraq. Additionally, the precision of attack will likely occasion astonishingly low "Collateral Damage"; civilian cost, both human and material, attributable to US munitions will be exceptionally rare.


I get the impression you can't wait for the precisely directed nature of the lethality of your weapons systems to demonstrate itself.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 06:05 pm
Is it true we have "freedom of speech" in this country?

'Peace' T-shirt gets man arrested
Wednesday, March 5, 2003 Posted: 11:18 AM EST (1618 GMT)

NEW YORK (Reuters) -- A lawyer was arrested late Monday and charged with trespassing at a public mall in the state of New York after refusing to take off a T-shirt advocating peace that he had just purchased at the mall.

According to the criminal complaint filed Monday, Stephen Downs was wearing a T-shirt bearing the words "Give Peace A Chance" that he had just purchased from a vendor inside the Crossgates Mall in Guilderland, New York, near Albany.

"I was in the food court with my son when I was confronted by two security guards and ordered to either take off the T-shirt or leave the mall," said Downs.

When Downs refused the security officers' orders, police from the town of Guilderland were called and he was arrested and taken away in handcuffs, charged with trespassing "in that he knowingly enter[ed] or remain[ed] unlawfully upon premises," the complaint read. Downs said police tried to convince him he was wrong in his actions by refusing to remove the T-shirt because the mall "was like a private house and that I was acting poorly.

Calls to the Guilderland police and district attorney, Anthony Cardona and to officials at the mall were not returned forcomment. Downs is due back in court for a hearing on March 17 and he could face up to a year in prison if convicted.

**************
I hope peace lovers will stop shopping at that mall. c.i.
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 06:09 pm
Quote:
From
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/foreignaffairs/story/0,11538,908157,00.html

Legal opinion varies on the basis for war under resolution 1441, but yesterday Cherie Booth's own legal chambers, Matrix, advised there was no authority for war without an unambiguous fresh resolution.

The attorney general, Lord Goldsmith, has already flown to Washington on an unpublicised trip to discuss the legal ramifications with the US attorney general, John Ashcroft.

Lord Goldsmith's job is to advise ministers on the legality of all their actions, but his office has refused to divulge his opinion on a future war with Iraq.

"I want to underline that I would like to see journalists and MPs expose this for what it is. It is nothing more than a con trick."

Talking about the wording of UN resolution 1441, Mr Shiner said the threat of "serious consequences" over noncompliance with weapons laws was meant as a warning to Iraq, and not a threat of war.

Mr Shiner said: "Are we going to let the UK get away with a very clear violation of international law?

"Secondly, are we going to let them get away with this second resolution?

"And thirdly, are we going to do something about their behaviour before we go to war and there is a repeat of what happened in 1991?"



This morning he was forced to deny to the Financial Times rumours that he may resign if bombs are dropped without a second UN resolution.

Lawyers, MPs and anti-war campaigners today held a meeting to discuss legal work which stated that military action against Saddam Hussein's regime would violate international law. Today's meeting was led by Phil Shiner, of Public Interest Lawyers, who repeated the views voiced by Matrix lawyers Rabinder Singh QC and Charlotte Kilroy.

Mr Shiner accused the foreign secretary, Jack Straw, of "clever spinning" to make the general public believe that a second resolution would give the US and UK a mandate for war.

"The question of legality is this: will it be lawful or will it not be lawful to go to war on the present draft resolution?

"I am saying without hesitation that it will not be," he said.


Laughing NB CHERIE BOOTH = MRS TONY BLAIR Laughing



0 Replies
 
Kara
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 06:31 pm
Steve, not so much from timber but from many other sides of our country: a salivating over our dense bombing campaign, a feeling of triumph. I see little resignation and solemnity over the awesome deeds we are about to perpetrate.
0 Replies
 
Kara
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 06:37 pm
Quote:
Do you really want the history of "edgarblythe's" thread, Kara?


Roger, what do you mean by this? Is there a hidden history, an ancient agenda, a diaphanous deviousness of veiled venom of which I am unaware? :wink:
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 06:38 pm
Quote:
from http://politics.guardian.co.uk/foreignaffairs/story/0,11538,908152,00.html

Pupils walk out over war

Schoolchildren in the south-east took their protest to the heart of government with a noisy rally outside parliament, moving on to Downing Street, where a handful of demonstrators tried to climb the security gates at the entrance to the street.

Police dragged them away and kept other protesters behind barricades on the opposite pavement.

Police in Cambridge made three arrests as hundreds of students staged a peace protest in the city centre. They said two 16-year-old boys and a 17-year-old girl had been arrested on suspicion of public order offences.


Seems the children give a lead Shocked
0 Replies
 
Kara
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 06:38 pm
Great post, Steve. LOL. Thank you.
0 Replies
 
trespassers will
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 07:09 pm
The peace t-shirt issue is not a free speech case, it is a case about the legitimate right of a property owner to set standards for those on his or her property. A shopping mall is private property. Now, I personally think they went overboard here, but if the owners want to say no anti-war t-shirts they absolutely have that right. The guy should have walked out and gone to the media and organized a boycott on the spot. Instead he showed his ass, broke the law, and will only win this if the mall owner is shamed into dropping the charges.
0 Replies
 
timberlandko
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 07:29 pm
Just to clarify ...

I most certainly am not salivating over the prospect of watching newsbytes of "Precisely Directed Lethality". I am only slightly less disturbed by that prospect than by the prospect of totally indiscriminate, undirected lethality. I would much prefer there be no lethality, but I see no avoidance of it at this juncture. An overview of history offers no instance of which I am aware in which tensions have escalated to this point without the near immediate onset of hostilities.

I am fairly well informed on military matters. I am utterly confident of the ability of The US Military to swiftly, efficiently, and with minimal casualties, accomplish its assigned mission. Frankly, when the munitions start being flung about, I probably will pay little attention to the packaged, predictable, repetitive "glamor shots" that are sure to flood TV screens within seconds of the first explosions in Baghdad.

I would feel great personal satisfaction were indisputable evidence of Saddam's perfidy to be discovered with no attendant civilian consequence, but I know that may not happen. I am very worried about the high potential for environmental disaster accompanying any success at all in an Iraqi "Scorched Earth" effort. I am less worried about, though by no means unconcerned by, the prospect and implications of protracted urban warfare. I am very sceptical of The Administration's ability to successfully manage the Post-Saddam Iraq they are about to create.


I feel strongly, for a variety of reasons, that Saddam must go. Among other things, while Saddam has killed nowhere as many innocents as Stalin, he HAS killed more than Milosovec managed to. I have many other complaints, as amply evidenced over the course of my postings in this thread. I feel The Administration is "Doing the right thing for the wrong reasons". I feel The Administration has done an abysmal job of defining why Saddam has to go, and why now is the time. I feel that greater diplomatic finesse and sophistication would have brought The World together in this matter, and I feel The Administration's arrogance and lack of true Global Vision have brought us to this historic, divisive mess. As an American, I am deeply embarrassed by that.

I would rather there not be a war. I believe there will be a notably successful war. I believe ensuing complications will require the attention of lots of folks for a generation or so. I'm not at all happy about that, but I see no avoidance of it, either.



timber
0 Replies
 
Kara
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 08:01 pm
tres, I'm witcha here.

A different case is the story of the school-boy with a tee-shirt calling Bush a terrorist, and the school ordered him to turn it inside-out. He refused, and they sent him home.

He has the ACLU backing him in a law suit. I just dunno if I would've carried it that far. But the case is a first-amendment one, as opposed to the one you talk about.
0 Replies
 
Tantor
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 09:09 pm
Setanta wrote:

You don't further world peace by starting wars.


Wrong. On a small scale, the Israelis certainly furthered world peace by destroying Iraq's nuclear reactor at Osirak. Had they not, allowing Saddam to build an arsenal of nukes, imagine how that would have undermined world peace.

Chamberlain's refusal to go to war against the Nazis undermined world peace. Had the world stood up to Germany at the beginning by force of arms, the Nazis might have been thwarted. At worst, there would have been a medium-sized war in Western Europe rather than a world war. Starting a war with the Nazis would certainly had furthered world peace.

Setanta wrote:

I don't believe that Hazlitt suggests, nor do i suggest, letting the idito gon his own way unmolested. But we currently choke him with an embargo, and blast his AAA off the map any time they pop their heads up. Absent proof of criminal intent AND means, we've got no right to roar in their with six guns blazing--and the rest of the world knows that, and would prefer to prevent us from doing it. They're right, and as long as "we" means the Shrub and company, we're wrong.


Saddam is not exactly choked by the embargo. He's doing just fine. He's built at least five dozen new palaces since the embargo began. The only ones suffering are the everyday Iraqis who are not connected to Saddam's mafia.

This is not a legal case. We don't need proof of criminal intent or any other thing. If we took this legalistic approach in WWII, waves of lawyers would have preceded the Normandy invasion to read the German defenders their rights. Maybe Johnnie Cochran's grandpa would have demanded the US prove that it was really Japanese in those planes over Pearl Harbor. If the planes don't fit, you gotta quit.

We certainly do have the right to enforce the UN mandates that Iraq agreed to as conditions of its surrender after its failed conquest of Kuwait. Iraq accepted these terms to avoid further war when it was losing. Aggressor nations can not simply call a do over when their attacks fail, taking favorable surrender terms to reneg on them and press their chances again.

Tantor
0 Replies
 
Tantor
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 09:10 pm
Setanta wrote:

You don't further world peace by starting wars.


Wrong. On a small scale, the Israelis certainly furthered world peace by destroying Iraq's nuclear reactor at Osirak. Had they not, allowing Saddam to build an arsenal of nukes, imagine how that would have undermined world peace.

Chamberlain's refusal to go to war against the Nazis undermined world peace. Had the world stood up to Germany at the beginning by force of arms, the Nazis might have been thwarted. At worst, there would have been a medium-sized war in Western Europe rather than a world war. Starting a war with the Nazis would certainly had furthered world peace.

Setanta wrote:

I don't believe that Hazlitt suggests, nor do i suggest, letting the idito gon his own way unmolested. But we currently choke him with an embargo, and blast his AAA off the map any time they pop their heads up. Absent proof of criminal intent AND means, we've got no right to roar in their with six guns blazing--and the rest of the world knows that, and would prefer to prevent us from doing it. They're right, and as long as "we" means the Shrub and company, we're wrong.


Saddam is not exactly choked by the embargo. He's doing just fine. He's built at least five dozen new palaces since the embargo began. The only ones suffering are the everyday Iraqis who are not connected to Saddam's mafia.

This is not a legal case. We don't need proof of criminal intent or any other thing. If we took this legalistic approach in WWII, waves of lawyers would have preceded the Normandy invasion to read the German defenders their rights. Maybe Johnnie Cochran's grandpa would have demanded the US prove that it was really Japanese in those planes over Pearl Harbor. If the planes don't fit, you gotta quit.

We certainly do have the right to enforce the UN mandates that Iraq agreed to as conditions of its surrender after its failed conquest of Kuwait. Iraq accepted these terms to avoid further war when it was losing. Aggressor nations can not simply call a do over when their attacks fail, taking favorable surrender terms to reneg on them and press their chances again.

Tantor
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 09:10 pm
Hmmmm.... I guess it's okay for the mall to sell the t-shirt, and displayed in the store, but you better not wear it. Makes alot of sense. c.i.
0 Replies
 
Tantor
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 09:16 pm
Kara wrote:
tres, I'm witcha here.

A different case is the story of the school-boy with a tee-shirt calling Bush a terrorist, and the school ordered him to turn it inside-out. He refused, and they sent him home.

He has the ACLU backing him in a law suit. I just dunno if I would've carried it that far. But the case is a first-amendment one, as opposed to the one you talk about.


He will lose. The school has a right to ban behavior which will disrupt the classroom. Learning is the main goal there, not the promotion of radical political screeds. It would be the same if a conservative boy wore a T-shirt that said "Clinton Is A Rapist." It's certainly more true than the Bush shirt but is equally disruptive and has no place in the classroom.

Tantor
0 Replies
 
Tartarin
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 09:21 pm
Casuistries of Peace and War
Perry Anderson

http://www.lrb.co.uk/v25/n05/ande01_.html
0 Replies
 
timberlandko
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Mar, 2003 09:51 pm
http://i.abcnews.com/media/World/images/ap_bin_laden_030212_nv.jpg Closing in on Osama?

A fortuitous major developmenjt in this area would certainly buoy The Younger, wouldn't it? A capture or other resolution would make a magnificent frontispiece to The Wider War.



timber
0 Replies
 
 

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