The US, The UN and Iraq

I'd like to attempt to provoke you into considering one of your comments from a different angle, if I may. Let's assume that you are right that Saddam's primary motivation is to remain in power at all costs for as long as he may do so. What if Saddam views the existence of the US as the world's lone superpower as a threat to his goal?

merriam-webster: (2) diplomacy: skill in handling affairs without arousing hostility

05 Mar 2003 20:53
UN's Blix more upbeat on Iraq than U.S. officials

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By Evelyn Leopold and Irwin Arieff

UNITED NATIONS, March 5 (Reuters) - In contrast to the Bush administration, chief U.N. arms inspector Hans Blix said on Wednesday that Iraq had stepped up disarmament cooperation recently.

While he said there were still many open questions about Iraq's weapons of mass destruction, Blix refused to join in the blanket U.S. condemnation of Iraqi cooperation.

Speaking at a news conference, two days before he presents another crucial report to the U.N. Security Council, Blix also said the outbreak of war would discredit inspections not only in Iraq but elsewhere.

And he said he would release "benchmarks" or unresolved issues for Iraq disarmament on Friday, a report wanted by several countries seeking a compromise between the U.S.-British position of invading Iraq and the French-German-Russian view that inspections should continue without limits.

Blix has been careful not to give ammunition to either side in the Iraq crisis. Diplomats said if his Friday report is too positive, it might influence those Security Council members who remain undecided on whether or not to vote for a U.S.-British-Spanish resolution that would authorize war.

His Friday report is the next big showpiece in the Security Council with foreign ministers from France, Britain, Spain, Syria, Germany as well as U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell due to attend.

Blix called the destruction of Iraq's al-Samoud 2 missiles "real disarmament." Iraq has scrapped about 19 out of 100 missiles since Saturday after inspectors said their range exceeded U.N. limits by a short distance.

"Here, weapons that can be used in war are destroyed in fairly large quantities. There's a whole program, and it is the various items that are related to that, like launchers, casting chambers, etc. These are being destroyed," Blix said.

He spoke shortly before Powell said Iraq was hiding machinery to make al-Samoud missiles and had no intention of handing over all the missiles and associated components to the United Nations for destruction.

WAR DISCREDITS CONCEPT OF INSPECTIONS

Blix also regretted that inspections would probably be curtailed through military action and said war would discredit the concept of disarmament through inspections, not just in Iraq but elsewhere.

"If war breaks out, I think that it is a serious failure for the approach through inspections to disarmament," Blix said.

But Blix acknowledged that it was clear the stepped up activity by Iraq was motivated by the U.S. military threat. "There is a great deal more cooperation now and the threat certainly has brought it there," he said.

In answer to questions, he said his inspection teams could not verify claims that Iraq had destroyed anthrax or VX chemical agents by digging in areas Baghdad said the poisons were buried.

But he also said Iraq had for the first time in recent weeks allowed seven private interviews with scientists and other officials -- without minders or tape recorders.

He said that, in addition to Cyprus, he had asked an Arab country, which he did not identify, to host inspectors and Iraqi scientists who agree to be interviewed outside Iraq.

The United States and Britain still have not won enough support to pass a U.N. resolution authorizing war against Iraq and now face new threat from France and Russia to veto such a resolution.

At the United Nations on Tuesday, U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan at his monthly lunch with Security Council ambassadors, appealed for unity and compromise among the major powers on the council.

He also asked Canadian Ambassador Paul Heinbecker to brief him on a proposal that would set benchmarks or tests for Iraqi disarmament by March 28. If Iraq failed to adhere to them the council would face the possibility of war.

Blix indirectly is helping the Canadian proposal by producing a list of unresolved tasks this week that could be used as benchmarks.

"He (Annan) is supportive of the concept behind it," Heinbecker said. "I don't know if he would endorse every detail of it. But the idea of a compromise between the two positions is what he is talking about."

Top Stories - Reuters

US Ready for War Despite French, Russian Opposition
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By Alan Elsner and Mark John

UNITED NATIONS/PARIS (Reuters) - The United States said on Wednesday it would disarm Iraq (news - web sites) with or without United Nations (news - web sites) backing, after France, Russia and Germany vowed to block a Security Council resolution authorizing war.

JDAM the Torpedoes

The weapons and tactics we will use in Iraq.
By Gregg Easterbrook
Posted Wednesday, March 5, 2003, at 10:10 AM PT
According to CBS News, an attack on Iraq will begin with 300 cruise missiles aimed at Baghdad. According to Newsweek, an attack would begin with 3,000 bombs dropped across the country. According to the New York Times, the attack will commence on a moonless night. According to the Washington Post, air and ground offensives will begin simultaneously. According to USA Today, U.S. tanks could reach Baghdad in just 48 hours. According to Aviation Week & Space Technology, Iraq tactics will be influenced by a Pentagon study of how New York City reduced street crime. According to rumors I heard from people who sort of know this stuff, the initial air assault will focus on Tikrit as much as Baghdad.

He genuinely fears that such an action will become a catastrophe, large scale.

He has told the Islamic community that the invasion should in no way be taken to represent a war of Christians on Islam -- possibly a side swipe at Bush.