Tartarin wrote:Patient negotiation is way, way better than war, whether we're taking our standards from pacifists and moralists, from Christianity or Islam, or whether we're simply people who value human life and a healthy world.
The cooler heads who've been following the situation all say, without exception, that the past ten or so years show Saddam can be successfully contained. I think it's indisputable. Having the UN as our (the world's) time-out room and moral monitor is the world's way of finally outlawing the use of war as a political solution.
Negotiations, to succeed, require more than unilateral good faith. Iraq has shown precious little "Good Faith" over the past dozen years; only military force has brought about such grudging compliance as Iraq has offered. Presently, despite "on Ground" Inspectors, severe international sanctions, and the very clear threat of concerted military intervention, Iraq fails to honor her obligations, as has been her practice for over a dozen years. "Containment" is a myth, an ideal. Thousands of Unscom inspectors were unable, over several years, to accomplish what scores of Unmovic inspectors are hoped to do in a matter of weeks or months. That in itself is absurd "Pollyanna" thinking.
Despite "Containment" and "Isolation", Iran and North Korea have entered The Nuclear Club. Despite sanctions and stern words, Iraq, though "Contained" in the view of some, remains uncooperative, obstructionist, belligerant, and actively in violation of all legal remedy.
Iraq's habit is demonstrably "Cheat and retreat". Her intransigence and arrogance are the proximate cause of this crisis, and there is clearly no assumption on anyone's part that Iraq has, as required, complied with UN 1441, let alone the provisions of the original Gulf War Ceasefire and subsequent directly referrencing resolutions. I can not consider a 12+ year series of requests, orders, directives, threats, and airstrikes to be a "Rush to war". I see the present tension directly resulting from unresolved issues which were not settled by the '92 ceasefire, and I view any potential military action a resumption of those hostilities brought on by Iraqi non-compliance with, contempt for, and defiance and outright active violation of the terms of the '92 ceasefire. Gulf War II is the wrong concept; this is Gulf War, Part 3.
I hold no desire for war. It is my sincerest hope Saddam and The Ba'ath Party simply "Go Away". One way or another, they will go away. If they don't leave of their own accord, they will be ejected, and quite soon. Iraq has incontravertibly proven she will not be swayed by negotiation. To continue doing the same ineffective things in hope of improved results is foolish. Talking hasn't worked. Inspections haven't worked. Sanctions havent worked. It is time to do something else.
Iraq may be expected over the next few days to offer new "Evidence of Compliance", and to solicit further negotiations on what are essentially non-negotiable points. There are many unresolved issues which contribute to the current situation. Iraq alone is the cause of the unresolved issues. It is time for resolve, if not on Iraq's part, then on the part of a "Coalition of the willing".
timber