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SECOND A2K STRAW POLL White House 2008

 
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 12:34 pm
sozobe wrote:
ossobuco wrote:
A quick clue to me is that my primary fear is that we bomb Iran - the logical development of years of stupidity. I don't think anywhere near enough of the candidates think that is dumb in many ways.


Hillary voted yes on declaring Iran's Republican Guard to be a terrorist organization -- that clears the way for military action. Edwards and Richardson aren't in the Senate so wouldn't vote on it anyway; Obama sat it out.

Wish he would've voted, but FYI, in terms of "yes" vs. abstain.

Dodd and Biden voted "nay." (I do like both of them.)


I saw reference in Maureen Dowd's column today to the fact that Obama would've voted "no" (but just that). Tracked down his statement:

Quote:
Senator Obama clearly recognizes the serious threat posed by Iran. However, he does not agree with the president that the best way to counter that threat is to keep large numbers of troops in Iraq, and he does not think that now is the time for saber-rattling towards Iran. In fact, he thinks that our large troop presence in Iraq has served to strengthen Iran - not weaken it. He believes that diplomacy and economic pressure, such as the divestment bill that he has proposed, is the right way to pressure the Iranian regime. Accordingly, he would have opposed the Kyl-Lieberman amendment had he been able to vote today.


http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0907/Obama_No_on_KylLieberman.html
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 01:00 pm
ehBeth wrote:
blatham wrote:
They have one child and there's no present hint she'll move in a political direction.


err, actually Chelsea Clinton's been showing up on some addendums to Power 100 lists as someone to keep an eye on (most recently, I think, in the October 2007 Vanity Fair)


hi bethie

But on what basis does the speculation sit?
0 Replies
 
OmSigDAVID
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 01:13 pm
Thomas wrote:
Thomas wrote:


OMGSigDavid wrote:
Thomas:
May we know your opinions
of Milton Friedman and Ludwig von Mises ?

I admire Milton Friedman the economist

Do u admire his economic philosophy, Thomas ?

David
0 Replies
 
ehBeth
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 01:27 pm
blatham wrote:
ehBeth wrote:
blatham wrote:
They have one child and there's no present hint she'll move in a political direction.


err, actually Chelsea Clinton's been showing up on some addendums to Power 100 lists as someone to keep an eye on (most recently, I think, in the October 2007 Vanity Fair)


hi bethie

But on what basis does the speculation sit?
her education and current employment seem to be what is landing her on Power Possibles lists.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 01:51 pm
Well, you have me there as I don't got a clue about that.

I should have written my sentence on her more carefully. One might have political goals or aspirations and end up doing one of a hundred thousand 'political' jobs but of course they wouldn't fit in that sense of 'dynasty' in question.
0 Replies
 
ehBeth
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 02:27 pm
It's not so much that Chelsea Clinton has current political goals or aspirations but that she's just so dang smart and attractive (in a political sense) that the 'watchers' say she's got a political future if she wants it.

Other mags are describing her as the JFK Jr of her generation.

It wasn't something I'd been aware of until a few weeks ago.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 02:33 pm
OmSigDAVID wrote:
Do u admire his economic philosophy, Thomas ?

I do. It was empiricist, proceeding on a case-by-case basis, and open-minded. It's a significant contrast to the views he defended as a public intellectual, which were often dogmatic and overbroad.

But just as universal healthcare, my view of Milton Friedman is a topic that doesn't doesn't really belong here. Feel free to start a separate thread about it; I'll respond there.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 02:39 pm
ehBeth wrote:
It's not so much that Chelsea Clinton has current political goals or aspirations but that she's just so dang smart and attractive (in a political sense) that the 'watchers' say she's got a political future if she wants it.

Other mags are describing her as the JFK Jr of her generation.

It wasn't something I'd been aware of until a few weeks ago.


yeah, I think it's likely that I'd be fond of miss freckles' brain too.
0 Replies
 
OmSigDAVID
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 03:11 pm
Thomas wrote:
OmSigDAVID wrote:
Do u admire his economic philosophy, Thomas ?

I do. It was empiricist, proceeding on a case-by-case basis, and open-minded. It's a significant contrast to the views he defended as a public intellectual, which were often dogmatic and overbroad.

But just as universal healthcare, my view of Milton Friedman is a topic that doesn't doesn't really belong here. Feel free to start a separate thread about it; I'll respond there.

See the Philosophy Forum
David
0 Replies
 
averner
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 04:34 pm
RON PAUL 08

DESTROY THE PATRIOT ACT
0 Replies
 
ossobuco
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 04:48 pm
sozobe wrote:
sozobe wrote:
ossobuco wrote:
A quick clue to me is that my primary fear is that we bomb Iran - the logical development of years of stupidity. I don't think anywhere near enough of the candidates think that is dumb in many ways.


Hillary voted yes on declaring Iran's Republican Guard to be a terrorist organization -- that clears the way for military action. Edwards and Richardson aren't in the Senate so wouldn't vote on it anyway; Obama sat it out.

Wish he would've voted, but FYI, in terms of "yes" vs. abstain.

Dodd and Biden voted "nay." (I do like both of them.)


I saw reference in Maureen Dowd's column today to the fact that Obama would've voted "no" (but just that). Tracked down his statement:

Quote:
Senator Obama clearly recognizes the serious threat posed by Iran. However, he does not agree with the president that the best way to counter that threat is to keep large numbers of troops in Iraq, and he does not think that now is the time for saber-rattling towards Iran. In fact, he thinks that our large troop presence in Iraq has served to strengthen Iran - not weaken it. He believes that diplomacy and economic pressure, such as the divestment bill that he has proposed, is the right way to pressure the Iranian regime. Accordingly, he would have opposed the Kyl-Lieberman amendment had he been able to vote today.


http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0907/Obama_No_on_KylLieberman.html


There was a quote by Obama, and some other candidates, on Iran in 2004 - yes, three years ago, but not repudiated. Will have to chase that down.

It's sort of useless - I'm so against our being there in Iraq in the first place, and am perplexed that we think we can tell its neighbor what to do, even though we interfered there before.

I don't get who we think we are. At first I thought we think we are the world's policemen. Now I think we are a boy fighting for space on the playground, protecting our pile of zillion dollar snowballs. (Well, at the very first, I thought we were fighting for the forces of good.)

Speaking up for justice in the world, I can see that.
I don't see us that way anymore.





But, this quote of yours heartens me, Soz.
0 Replies
 
OmSigDAVID
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 04:57 pm
Speaking does not count for much.
Its what u DO that counts.

David
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 06:48 pm
ossobuco wrote:

It's sort of useless - I'm so against our being there in Iraq in the first place, and am perplexed that we think we can tell its neighbor what to do, even though we interfered there before.

I don't get who we think we are. At first I thought we think we are the world's policemen. Now I think we are a boy fighting for space on the playground, protecting our pile of zillion dollar snowballs. (Well, at the very first, I thought we were fighting for the forces of good.)

Speaking up for justice in the world, I can see that.
I don't see us that way anymore.


History provides us with many lessons. The problem is they are often very contradictory, ant it can be very difficult in prospect to judge just which will have proven itself to be applicable in retrospect.

Arguments such as yours were used to rationalize inaction by France and the UK (and the United States) during the 1930s as Hitler developed his power and dazzled the German people with the relatively cheap victories he accumulated in the early years. In retrospect there is good reason to believe that firm decisive action on the part of France and Britain following Hitler's reoccupation of the Rhineland may well have toppled his regime, sparing all sides a great deal of human suffering.

One of the key "lessons" the United States learned following WWII was the failure of our isolationist policies in the years between WWI and WWII. Now we appear to have applied those lessons to excess.

The Korean War was widely debated in this country and to many it seemed an unjusand costly effort to back one authoritarian regime in a strugge with another, merely to check the ambitions of the Soviet Union. The passage of time, and the starkly contrasting developments of the governments of the two Koreas now reminds us of the much greater human suffering that would have resulted had North Korea been allowed to take the whole peninsula (not to mention the effect that would have had on the politicaL trajectory of Japan).

One could put forward a very good argument to the effect that our intervention in Iraq during the Gulf War was our fundamental great error in that region. Certainly a strong Suni state, flush with the wealth of Kuwati petroleum exports, would have remained a powerful check on the ambitions of the radical theocrats of Iran. However, I doubt that the Kuwati people would endorse that argument.

It is not a simple thing to be always wise in dealing with the unfolding play of history, and there are no simple rules for it.

It is relatively very simple to appear wise in criticizing events of the past, even the recent past.
0 Replies
 
OmSigDAVID
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 07:18 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
ossobuco wrote:

It's sort of useless - I'm so against our being there in Iraq in the first place, and am perplexed that we think we can tell its neighbor what to do, even though we interfered there before.

I don't get who we think we are. At first I thought we think we are the world's policemen. Now I think we are a boy fighting for space on the playground, protecting our pile of zillion dollar snowballs. (Well, at the very first, I thought we were fighting for the forces of good.)

Speaking up for justice in the world, I can see that.
I don't see us that way anymore.


History provides us with many lessons. The problem is they are often very contradictory,
ant it can be very difficult in prospect to judge just which will have proven itself to be applicable in retrospect.

Arguments such as yours were used to rationalize inaction by France and the UK (and the United States)
during the 1930s as Hitler developed his power and dazzled the German people
with the relatively cheap victories he accumulated in the early years.
In retrospect there is good reason to believe that firm decisive action
on the part of France and Britain following Hitler's reoccupation of the
Rhineland may well have toppled his regime, sparing all sides a great deal of human suffering.

One of the key "lessons" the United States learned following WWII
was the failure of our isolationist policies in the years between WWI
and WWII. Now we appear to have applied those lessons to excess.

The Korean War was widely debated in this country and to many
it seemed an unjusand costly effort to back one authoritarian regime in a strugge with another,
merely to check the ambitions of the Soviet Union.
The passage of time, and the starkly contrasting developments of the
governments of the two Koreas now reminds us of the much greater
human suffering that would have resulted had North Korea been allowed
to take the whole peninsula (not to mention the effect that would have
had on the politicaL trajectory of Japan).

One could put forward a very good argument to the effect that our
intervention in Iraq during the Gulf War was our fundamental great error
in that region. Certainly a strong Suni state, flush with the wealth of Kuwati petroleum
exports, would have remained a powerful check on the ambitions of the
radical theocrats of Iran. However, I doubt that the Kuwati people would endorse that argument.

It is not a simple thing to be always wise in dealing with the unfolding play of history,
and there are no simple rules for it.

It is relatively very simple to appear wise in criticizing events of the past, even the recent past.

SO STIPULATED.

U r a keenly discerning historian, George;
most astutely observed.
Thank u for your insight.
DAvid
0 Replies
 
Halfback
 
  1  
Reply Wed 10 Oct, 2007 11:09 pm
George:

I submit that Iraq, under Saddam, represented a check on Iran, even after the Gulf War. The two fought an eight year stalemate.

With our genious for screwing things up, we have removed the check on Iran in the region, left Iraq in a very weakened position and opened the door for Iran to move toward regional dominance. Oh, did I mention that we also created our next problem country? Sad

Does a powerful Iran pose a threat to the US? A minor one, perhaps. But in the world of relative threat assessments, Iran is rather like a small dog. They have teeth and they can bite, but they can also be kicked a very far distance, if necessary.

Halfback
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 11:54 am
Halfback wrote:
George:

I submit that Iraq, under Saddam, represented a check on Iran, even after the Gulf War. The two fought an eight year stalemate.

With our genious for screwing things up, we have removed the check on Iran in the region, left Iraq in a very weakened position and opened the door for Iran to move toward regional dominance. Oh, did I mention that we also created our next problem country? Sad

Does a powerful Iran pose a threat to the US? A minor one, perhaps. But in the world of relative threat assessments, Iran is rather like a small dog. They have teeth and they can bite, but they can also be kicked a very far distance, if necessary.

Halfback


Good points.

To the extent we did screw things up by removing a check on Iran (a country with over twice the population of any of its regional neighbors), then our real error was the Gulf war, not the invasion that followed it, and that in large measure was a direct consequence of it. Saddam was broke after his 15 year war with Iran and needed the ready wealth of Kuwait to sustain his power. Moreover his historical argument was largely correct - the Kuwaiti state , like Bahrain (and, ironically Iraq), was largely a creation of the British Empire, with boundaries drawn for their convenience in encompassing the then known oil reserves in a politically manageable entity. It had no more historical legitimacy than would a combined Iraqi-kuwaiti state.

This tale only illustrates the complexity of both the issue and the motives of the states involved - and here I include all the regional neighbors, the European Powers and the United States.

I agree that Iran itself is not a grave threat (however as a nation of over 50 million people, it has great potential). However, I do believe the confrontation between an aroused Islam that lacks any suitable models for self-governance that might bring it peacefully into the modern world is a potentially grave threat. I also fear that Europe, after centuries of warfare, is fading into a serile, non-reproductive senescence, and has the potential to become a pawn in an Islamist fanatic game. (I don't think this a likely outcome, but rather one so fearful that even a small likelihood is dangerous.)
0 Replies
 
Halfback
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 01:30 pm
Your comments are true and proper, I can agree with virtually all of them.

The gerrymandering of various ethnic, tribal, religious and other groups into what we call Nations these days is troublesome at best. Yet a great deal of it is a result of Colonization by the "Powers" of those days.

"Let the Great Powers, then and now, who are without sin, cast the first stone" on that one. The Post Colonial Era has been fraught with Civil Wars, genocides, ethnic cleansing, the breakup of larger countries into a myriad of smaller countries that still goes on.

This despite the fact that some of these smaller countries become an unsustainable economic entity as a result of the split. Thereby adding to the ever growing list of "poor" countries.

.....and the "tribal mentality" continues unchecked by civilization nor by technological progress.

Halfback
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 01:47 pm
As a boy I used to wonder why teachers were such obvious jerks, while the guys like myself were so obviously cool. How, I wondered did once cool students become jerky teachers?

Later I learned that the difference was that the spotlight was on the teacher, while we cool students basked in well-deserved anonymity. His warts were all too visible, while ours defects were untested and unrevealed.

I believe this metaphor sheds some useful light on the attitudes of our European friends (and those here who still slavishly follow them) towards the United States. Certainly we have done no worse in our moment in the sun than they in theirs - indeed far better than most. At the same time ours is no more tha final answer than were theirs that have now passed from view.

In addition, untested challengers almost always appear more coherent than those they attempt to displace simply because of the many compromises and contradictions involved in holding anything together for long.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Fri 12 Oct, 2007 10:04 am
The 'far left' (from the viewpoint of Fox)...
Quote:
Bill O'Reilly devoted the beginning of his show last night to warning Americans about the dangerous radicalism of John Edwards, proclaiming that "John Edwards has no chance to become president because he's simply too far-left for most Americans." After highlighting all the scary, fringe positions Edwards holds, O'Reilly summarized what the Far-Left America would look like once John Edwards got done with it:

Quote:
[W]ould you support President John Edwards? Remember, no coerced interrogation, civilian lawyers in courts for captured overseas terrorists, no branding the Iranian guards terrorists, and no phone surveillance without a specific warrant.


Who could even fathom an America plagued by habeas corpus, search warrants, and a military that fails to beat, freeze and mock-execute its detainees? And nothing is more sacred to core American values than branding other countries' armies as "Terrorists" ("The [Revolutionary] Guard is the SS of Iran").
http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/?last_story=/opinion/greenwald/2007/10/12/edwards/
0 Replies
 
teenyboone
 
  1  
Reply Sun 14 Oct, 2007 10:49 am
ehBeth wrote:
blatham wrote:
ehBeth wrote:
blatham wrote:
They have one child and there's no present hint she'll move in a political direction.


err, actually Chelsea Clinton's been showing up on some addendums to Power 100 lists as someone to keep an eye on (most recently, I think, in the October 2007 Vanity Fair)


hi bethie

But on what basis does the speculation sit?
her education and current employment seem to be what is landing her on Power Possibles lists.


Cool Not to mention her last name? Cool
0 Replies
 
 

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