Setanta wrote:In fairness, Cyclo, you're off topic, too.
The question is, to what extent, if any, there will be political consequences arising from the Shrub's action.
Fair enough.
I do believe there will be consequences, in that this really drives forward the 'corrupt Bush WH meme' in the media, and gives them an opportunity to latch on to that story fully. I noticed that last week's WaPo expose of Cheney got good play in both newspapers and on television, and several TV hosts were pissed - abrams, KO (of course), Tweety, even Wolfie seemed angry when talking about it.
What that telegraphs, to me, is that the producers of these shows (Dan Abrams runs MSNBC, if I remember correctly) think that there's money and ratings in continuing this story. And they're probably right. Polling has indicated that more then twice as many Americans think Bush is doing bad, then think he's doing good. Dems are trusted on each and every single issue polled, over Republicans. It doesn't take a genius to see that in an election year in which the war is going bad, the corruption angle isn't going away, and the Dems are outraising the Republicans almost 2 to 1, there most likely will be a Dem president in the WH.
The 'media angle' is a critical component of impeachment, or, moving forward with subpoenas for WH members. For every person like us who follows politics, there are ten who learn about it in the paper or the evening news, and only have a little while to pay attention to it (sadly enough). If these people start hearing, all summer, that the corruption angle is getting worse and worse, it will have an effect on already low ratings.
Even if there isn't much reprecussion on the WH itself, there are spending bills and the Iraq issue coming up in Congress; the more heat the Prez takes, the less palatable it is for Senators and Congressmen to support his positions, including on Iraq. They saw what happened in '06, and NONE of them wants to be voted out of office for supporting a lame duck. So they will begin to break from the prez.
Additionally, this story just won't die, b/c Scooter is kind of in limbo. He is pardoned, but only half-way. The story won't fade as quick as normal pardons, b/c there are questions about what will happen right now. Will Scooter win his appeal? Will he be called in to Congress to testify? How can he serve his parole, as he didn't do time in prison (which is against Federal guidelines)? Will his rich friends pay his fines for him?
I look forward to the WH briefing today. Snow was clearly caught flat-footed and was rude and insulting to several pool reporters on Tues. That doesn't go over well, I guarantee. Expect more combative questions to start coming.
I predict that this event will later be seen as one which gave the media cover to turn on Bush.
Cycloptichorn