blatham wrote:Yet there is also an over-arching reality that America and the west depend on these oil resources. It is an absolute dependence. Probably no commodity outside of food, water and breathable air is more essential. The presence of the west in this region is not because Israel is there. I think we can safely assume that if history was a tad different and the original jewish homeland was in central america, that the US wouldn't be nearly so likely to be seduced/steered into this destructive alliance.
Politics, as Dewey said, is the shadow cast by business. The presence of so many oil people and interests in this particular administration isn't coincidence.
I believe that here you are applying an obsolete and no-longer-relevant model to the analysis of this aspect of the situation. The U.S. is a principal consumer in a well-developed world market for petroleum in which access and the market price are determined by the collective actions and needs of owners, producers, and consumers.; The old model of exclusive control which applied in the opening decades of the 20th century - a game played principally by Russia and the British Empire (we didn't need to play because we had our own ample reserves which we later largely depleted in supplying the Allies during WWII) - no longer applies.
Moreover, the key consumers of Mideastern Petroleum are Japan and increasingly China and India. Compared to them (and Europe as well) the United States has much greater ability to develop alternate sources of energy -- we have ample high quality coal; enough ready nuclear fuel for more than a century; huge untapped agricultural and biomass capability; substantial petroleum reserves held out of production by environmentalists; and the technological resources to quickly apply them all.
Europe has been somewhat protected during the past few decades by North Sea oil and a surplus of North African natural gas. However as that is depleted and as they have phased out their use of their low quality coal they have become increasingly dependent on petroleum sources and a refining & pipeline infrastructure controlled by Russia.
Overall I believe the United States is - in spite of its huge consumption - less dependent on the good will of its suppliers of petroleum than are Europe and Asia.