Chumly wrote:Assuming OB's numbers are realistic, and the net results of OB's assumptions have the his intended efficacy, it would appear Man's very short-term suffering would decrease consequentially; however the longer risk-perspective would not change, and in fact could well be accelerated as per eco-global annihilation, which I argue can only be achieved within the present technological environ by a dramatic and immediate reduction in population;
Both
Builder's and
Chumly's point seems to be, basically, that we can't afford to feed the world, because if we do, the world population will become too large, and in the end that just speeds up all of our demise, since the earth can't cope with it. "Eco-annihilation", in Chumly's words.
At a very shallow level, this may seem logical: if you save people from starving, more people will be alive, and the planet will be fuller.
But thats a very shallow take. Because any cursory glance at the development of population growth will show you that, by and large, the more prosperous a country becomes, the
lower its population growth becomes.
Why? The availability and affordability of birth control; education; and the disappearance of the fear that one will starve in old age when left to oneself, which in poor countries still encourages people to have many children (so they will be able to take care of you later). To name just three of many more reasons.
Banishing hunger from the world and providing everyone with basic education will not, in the long term, "explode" population growth by doing away with the survival of the fittest principle. History easily tells us the opposite. Once people are lifted out of acute misery, they start reproducing
less. Living longer, yes, but also getting considerably fewer children.
In many European countries, populations would now actually be shrinking, if it were not for immigration. That would be the foreland of other continents too, if they were lifted from poverty. You already see reduced family sizes in developing countries that have started being better off.