xingu wrote:Well I don't think it will be that bad. Democrats still rule Congress and may be even stronger after the next election regardless of who's elected president.
I don't think Rudy is as attached to the neocons as Bush so all this tough talk my be for the purpose of seeking political support from the conservative warmongers. Of course he's going to milk 9/11 to the hilt but 9/11 is getting old. What the Republicans need is another 9/11 before the election. Rudy will gain a lot from that.
I'm afraid he now has almost the full neoconservative contingent either in his advisory team or in his corner. Texas oil money as well. Plus the conservative movement biggies (Federalist Society, AEI, etc). We can, I think, assume as well the military/industrial people and money. and he has Fox and the other Murdoch holdings and Pat Robertson, of course.
Krugman argues in his new book that there are compelling demographic and cultural forces working to push back the conservative trends of the last three decades and working to forward a resurgence of progressive values and policies. There's widespread desire for some version of universal medical insurance, for example.
The right now faces a significant threat to the gains they've made towards eviscerating New Deal values and policies. They realize it. They are going to fight big and ugly. Rudy is by far their best hope, not merely as regards at the voting booth but also as regards predictability of the policies he will forward if he wins. And it is arguable that he will be even more intemperate than Bush in matters of foreign policy and civil rights. Further, his record suggest that he'll be no different in terms of government by cronies.
Given the precedents now in place re unitary presidency and given the makeup of the Supreme Court (only to become worse given he wins) it is difficult to know how much a radical authoritarian (which I consider him to be) will be slowed even if both houses fall Democrat.
Add to all of this, the turmoil that seems likely to arise given a continuation of Bush-style foreign policies (would you be suprised to see John Bolton appointed by Giuliani as, say, Secretary of State?) and turmoil increasing due to the possible consequences of global warming, then something quite dystopian could certainly arise. Pessimistic...yup, but possible.