Rates of the most common form of breast cancer dropped a startling 15 percent from August 2002 to December 2003, researchers reported Thursday.
The reason, they believe, could be that during that time, millions of women abandoned hormone treatment for the symptoms of menopause after a large national study concluded that the hormones slightly increased breast cancer risk.
The new analysis, by researchers from the M.D. Anderson Cancer Center in Houston and reported at the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, was based on a recent report by the National Cancer Institute on the cancer's incidence.
Investigators cautioned that they would like to see the findings confirmed in other studies, including, perhaps, in data from Canada and Europe, and that they need to see what happens in the next years.
"Epidemiology can never prove causality," said Dr. Peter Ravdin, a medical oncologist at M.D. Anderson and one of the authors of the analysis.
But, he said, the hormone hypothesis seems to perfectly explain the data, and he and his colleagues could find no other explanation.
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2006/12/15/MNGSBN092S1.DTL