Bi-Polar Bear
 
  1  
Sat 21 Jun, 2008 01:27 pm
If he's (McCain) such a f*cking idiot... and I would tend to believe that... why wouldn't Obama be chomping at the bit to rub his nose in **** via the Town Halls? What's he got to lose. It would seem like a winner to me.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Sat 21 Jun, 2008 01:33 pm
old europe wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
I don't believe I referred to plans at all CI. I was talking about something entirely different than plans. I'm talking about a person who can project himself as somebody competent to be President and why he might avoid situations that would give a different impression than that.

But here is an EXAMPLE of what he sounded like when his ear piece stopped working and his staff couldn't feed him what he should say. Fluke? Or typical? His campaign intends that we never find out.


Cripes, Foxy!

McCain, the master of the townhall, has made his share of gaffes. And they're not always just along the lines of getting a word wrong and make him the butt of jokes. Several times, those "gaffes" have been enough to raise eyebrows: did he really mean that America went to war because of oil? Does he really have no clue about the Iran-al Qaeda relationship? Did he really just say that having troops in Iraq for 100 years would be a-okay?


And, of course, the dementis always come in as soon as those gaffes are pointed out to his campaign: no, he didn't mean that the invasion of Iraq was about oil - he was talking about the first Gulf War. Iran training al Qaeda? No, they're training extremists. And the whole kerfuffle about 100 years of war? Ah, no, he never meant that. What he meant to say was that he wants to keep troops in Iraq as long as it takes to win the war - and once Iraq has become a peaceful democracy, like Germany or Japan or South Korea, nobody would object to having troops there, right?


Now, using your reasoning: is that a person that is projecting himself as somebody competent to be President? Is he really as brilliant in a townhall setting as the right claims he is? What about all his gaffes? Flukes? Or typical?

Well, according to his campaign, what he's saying is just constantly misinterpreted. Okay.


I'm not saying that McCain has not had his share of gaffes or said dumb things. I've forgiven McCain AND Obama for a number of these--they can happen to anybody--even people typing out posts on message boards. But neither is there a YouTube clip of McCain completely losing it and becoming incoherent because he didn't have his script in front of him or being fed to him. So yeah, if McCain is as bad as Obama, why isn't Obama eager to show that by allowing people to compare them side by side?
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Sat 21 Jun, 2008 01:34 pm
I'm now off to the mountains for a few days so ya'll play nice while I'm gone. Back later in next week.
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Sat 21 Jun, 2008 01:38 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
But neither is there a YouTube clip of McCain completely losing it and becoming incoherent because he didn't have his script in front of him or being fed to him.


You've got to be kidding. Seriously.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Sat 21 Jun, 2008 03:04 pm
CAMPAIGN 2008
Barack's Bounce

The latest NEWSWEEK Poll shows the Democrat with a 15-point lead over McCain.
By Michael Hirsh | Newsweek Web Exclusive
Jun 20, 2008 | Updated: 3:37 p.m. ET Jun 20, 2008
0 Replies
 
hawkeye10
 
  1  
Sat 21 Jun, 2008 03:08 pm
cicerone imposter wrote:
CAMPAIGN 2008
Barack's Bounce

The latest NEWSWEEK Poll shows the Democrat with a 15-point lead over McCain.
By Michael Hirsh | Newsweek Web Exclusive
Jun 20, 2008 | Updated: 3:37 p.m. ET Jun 20, 2008


no polls count until the conventions are over.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Sat 21 Jun, 2008 03:53 pm
Actually, no polls count until the elections are over, but it's interesting to track polls anywhose.
0 Replies
 
Diest TKO
 
  1  
Sat 21 Jun, 2008 04:17 pm
I'm going to throw in a prediction.

I am willing to bet that McCain will get a boost after conventions but Obama will still hold the lead in the polls.

I'm making this wager on the idea that what the convention can offer McCain is what Obama has already had, excitement. However, I see the conventions as being an easier ride for Obama. It's easier for him to balance out his VP pick based on what his perceived faults weaknesses are.

If McCain does not find a way to excite the base, it's game set match.

T
K
O

Edit: If McCain doesn't appeal to the moderates, he's probably not going to fair well either. Better start burning those bridges to the Bush regime!
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Sat 21 Jun, 2008 04:21 pm
I don't think McCain can burn those bridges between him and Bush. It's too late in the game, and he can't start flip-flopping now.
0 Replies
 
Diest TKO
 
  1  
Sat 21 Jun, 2008 04:30 pm
cicerone imposter wrote:
I don't think McCain can burn those bridges between him and Bush. It's too late in the game, and he can't start flip-flopping now.


He made his bed and now he can sleep in it. You're right, if he turns tables on his association, he will be killed by the notion of "flip-flopping." Ironic isn't it that a catch phrase made so popular by the republicans will confine their presidential candidate from making wise decisions. It's lose-lose. Damned if he does damned if he doesn't. Some foresight back in 2007 would have done McCain wonders.

T
K
O
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Sat 21 Jun, 2008 04:42 pm
As long as you are making predictions, Deist, here is one that I think is under the radar right now. You are too young to remember the 1968 Dem convention in Chicago that was, inside and particularly outside the hall, raucous. Vietnam.
I think the Repub convention in Minneapolis could be similar, although not as big or violent. Iraq and the economy.
I am neither advocating nor condoning this. I just am predicting it will happen.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Sat 21 Jun, 2008 04:54 pm
rjb, Interesting prediction, but what makes you think it can happen this year? In Minneapolis?
0 Replies
 
blueflame1
 
  1  
Sat 21 Jun, 2008 05:15 pm
Obama Making Christian Push

By Daniel Burke
Religion News Service
Saturday, June 21, 2008; Page B09

WASHINGTON -- With the Democratic presidential nomination in his grasp, Sen. Barack Obama is making a full-throttle push for centrist evangelicals and Catholics.

It's a move that's caught some conservative evangelicals off guard. They say they are surprised and dismayed to see a liberal-minded politician attempting to conscript their troops. At the same time, they say that Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) has done little to court their affections.

"I've never seen anything quite like it before," said evangelical author Stephen Mansfield, who wrote "The Faith of George W. Bush" and has a forthcoming book about Obama.

"To be running against a dyed-in-the-wool Republican, and to be reaching into the Christian community as wisely and knowledgeably as (Obama) is -- understanding their terms and their values -- is just remarkable."

This month, the Illinois senator held a closed-door meeting in Chicago with almost 40 Christian leaders, including evangelical heavyweights such as the Rev. Franklin Graham, publishing magnate Steve Strang and megachurch pastor Bishop T.D. Jakes.


Obama's campaign is also launching a grass-roots effort, tentatively called Joshua Generation, with plans to hold concerts and house meetings targeted at young evangelicals and Catholics.

A political action committee set to launch this month, the Matthew 25 Network, plans to direct radio advertising and mailers to Christian communities while talking up Obama in the media. The group is not officially tied to the Obama campaign.

Obama's emphasis on faith outreach plays to his strengths, campaign observers say. The senator is at ease speaking about religion and preaches a message of forging common ground with disparate communities.

Still, some religious leaders wonder whether Obama's Christian-focused outreach might alienate Jewish and Muslim voters, for example, not to mention the Democratic Party's large secular wing.

"You really have to consider the question: What message does this send to people of other faiths?" said the Rev. Romal J. Tune, a Washington pastor who works on religious outreach with the Democratic National Committee.

Joshua DuBois, Obama's director of faith outreach, said the campaign is "not solely focused" on evangelicals and Catholics but "committed to reaching people of faith broadly and trying to bridge religious divides."

Nonetheless, Obama has clearly learned a lesson from previous, unsuccessful Democratic presidential candidates: Ignore -- or dismiss -- evangelicals at your peril.

CONTINUED 1 2 Next > link
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Sun 22 Jun, 2008 12:53 am
realjohnboy wrote:
As long as you are making predictions, Deist, here is one that I think is under the radar right now. You are too young to remember the 1968 Dem convention in Chicago that was, inside and particularly outside the hall, raucous. Vietnam.
I think the Repub convention in Minneapolis could be similar, although not as big or violent. Iraq and the economy.
I am neither advocating nor condoning this. I just am predicting it will happen.


While there is always the possibility of anarchistic thugs swarming to a Republican convention, the huge distinction between any such event and the 68 Dem convention is that the turmoil will be confined to out of doors.

A Republican equivalent to Mayor Daley shaking his fist in uncontrolled anger at CT Senator Abe Ribocoff has no chance what-so-ever of appearing in Minneapolis in 2008.

Unlike the far left of the Democratic Party, there is no segment of the Republican Party passing around buttons and bumper stickers that demand "Duplicate '68!"

The key to the climate surrounding this years GOP convention will be the quality of the Minneapolis city government. Its mayor, Ray Rybak is well to the left of his party's mainstream, as is to be expected of most urban centers and particularly one in a state with a proud heritage of Scandinavian socialism.

I don't know enough about him to draw an opinion on whether he would come down on the side of civil order as opposed to letting the people have their say --- including molotov cocktails, smashed windows, and overturned vehicles.

It's tough to find a major city in America that is politically sympathetic to a Republican Party Convention. There are, of course, cities that might fit the bill, but the boondoggling delegates are not likely to be happy traveling to such a provincial locale.

Ultimately it will come down to whether or not the city government takes seriously its charge to maintain order within the streets of its city, or it allows political opinion to interfere with the discharge of its responsibility.
0 Replies
 
Diest TKO
 
  1  
Sun 22 Jun, 2008 04:07 am
realjohnboy wrote:
As long as you are making predictions, Deist, here is one that I think is under the radar right now. You are too young to remember the 1968 Dem convention in Chicago that was, inside and particularly outside the hall, raucous. Vietnam.
I think the Repub convention in Minneapolis could be similar, although not as big or violent. Iraq and the economy.
I am neither advocating nor condoning this. I just am predicting it will happen.


Yes yes yes. I'm young.... moving on. I'm not however too young to forget the march from Boston to NYNY in 2004. The Night GWB accepted the republican nomination the cameras were inside, but outside where thousands of people protesting.

No molotov cocktails though.

T
K
O
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Sun 22 Jun, 2008 05:33 am
The Ron Paul people seem ready to cause some headaches... (I don't think 1968-level, but could be something.)
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Sun 22 Jun, 2008 09:13 am
Sen. Obama is currently enjoying the largest polling lead over McCain that he's had to date.

http://www.pollster.com/08USPresGEMvO600.png

He has not trailed in the national average for about two months now.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Sun 22 Jun, 2008 10:18 am
Cyclo, The Newsweek poll shows Obama ahead of McCain by double-digits.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Sun 22 Jun, 2008 10:28 am
General Election: McCain vs. Obama
Polling Data
Poll .... Date........... ......Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average06/12 - 06/-. 47.6............41.8 Obama +5.8
USA Today/Gallup.06/15 . 50 ..........44 Obama +6.0
Newsweek..06/18 - 06/19 .......51 .........36 Obama +15.0
FOX News..06/17 - 06/18 900 R45......... 41 Obama +4.0
Rasmussen Tracking 06/19 - 06/21 3000 LV 49 42 Obama +7.0
Gallup Tracking 06/17 - 06/20 2640 RV 46 44 Obama +2.0
Reuters/Zogby 06/12 - 06/14 1113 LV 47 42 Obama +5.0
ABC News/Wash Post 06/12 - 06/15 -- 49 45 Obama +4.0
Cook/RT Strategies 06/12 - 06/15 880 RV 44 40 Obama +4.0

See All General Election: McCain vs. Obama Polling Data
Intrade Market Prices for General Election: McCain vs. Obama
Obama McCain
Intrade Real Time Quotes (See More Data)
0 Replies
 
hawkeye10
 
  1  
Sun 22 Jun, 2008 12:02 pm
Quote:
Getting to Know Obama

By David S. Broder
Sunday, June 22, 2008; Page B07

We are barely at the beginning of the long period in which most Americans will give their first serious scrutiny to the presidential candidates and decide whether Barack Obama or John McCain will get their vote.

Americans have many questions about both men. In the Post-ABC News poll last week, only half of those interviewed said they felt they knew an adequate amount about the candidates' stands on specific issues. Voters split evenly on who would be the stronger leader, and they showed great uncertainty about which, if either, would be a safe choice for the White House.

Obama leads on domestic, economic and social issues, but McCain is a strong favorite on national security and terrorism. The former POW's personal appeal looms as the strongest barrier to the Democratic victory indicated by the towering majorities that disapprove of President Bush (68 percent) and that fear the country is headed seriously on the wrong track (84 percent).

Despite those fundamental weaknesses in the Republican position, McCain trails Obama in that same poll by only six points, hardly an impossible margin to overcome. What may be crucial in the end is whether people become comfortable with the prospect of Obama as their president.

McCain benefits from a long-established reputation as a man who says what he believes. His shifts in position that have occurred in this campaign seem not to have damaged that aura. Obama is much newer to most voters, less familiar and more dependent on the impressions he is only now creating.


That is why a pair of strategy decisions made in the past two weeks could prove troublesome for him. The first was Obama's turning down McCain's invitation to join him in a series of town hall meetings where they would appear together and answer questions from real voters -- without a formal agenda, press panel or professional interviewers.

Obama's manager initially called the idea "appealing," but nine days later, when David Plouffe got around to responding, he countered with something quite different from the 10 informal discussions McCain proposed holding before the late-summer nominating conventions. Plouffe said that in addition to the three traditional debates under official sponsorship later in the fall, there could be only two others -- one on economics on July 4 and another on foreign policy in August.

The McCain side said that few Americans would sacrifice their Independence Day holiday to watch a debate and reiterated its offer to meet Obama anywhere he wanted on any of the next 10 Thursdays.

At a news briefing last week, Obama spokesman Robert Gibbs characterized that as a "take it or leave it" stance by the Republicans and suggested that discussions were finished.

At the same briefing, Gibbs and campaign counsel Bob Bauer defended Obama's decision to become the first presidential candidate since the Watergate reforms to decline public financing of his general election campaign.

Gibbs and Bauer in effect blamed McCain, saying repeatedly that he was "gaming the system" by pledging to accept public funds while saying he could not "referee" spending by outside independent groups if it occurred. In fact, McCain had been far more vocal in denouncing such groups on the GOP side than Obama was in criticizing their counterparts playing Democratic presidential politics -- even though Obama has claimed the mantle of campaign finance reformer that McCain has long enjoyed.

Obama supporters note that town halls are McCain's favorite campaign settings, so it's no surprise he prefers them to formal speeches, where Obama excels. They point out that public financing helps McCain, who has lagged all year in his private fundraising, while it would inhibit Obama, who has tapped into a rich vein of small contributors using the Internet.

But it's also the case that the multiple joint town meetings McCain proposed would be a real service to the public and that suspending the dollar chase for the duration of the campaign, as McCain but not Obama will do, would be a major step toward establishing the credibility of the election process.

By refusing to join McCain in these initiatives in order to protect his own interests, Obama raises an important question: Has he built sufficient trust so that his motives will be accepted by the voters who are only now starting to figure out what makes him tick?

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/20/AR2008062002275.html?hpid=opinionsbox1
0 Replies
 
 

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