snood wrote:Could be. Or it could be that the Dems have two candidates bringing record-breaking numbers of people to the polls, that when they finally get a nominee the aggregate support that goes to him/her will be bigger than McCain's even accounting for those saying disgruntled things right now, and that this is a "huge" problem only in the wishful minds of snarky rightwingers.
At one point when both Obama's and Clinton's negatives were rising sharply I wondered if both would become unviable and a scenario of somebody else surfacing in a brokered convention could be possible. That would be great stuff for the media--I can imagine them salivating over the prospect--but not likely a good thing for the Dems.
Then I was wondering if the Clinton machine could pull it off and bribe or threaten or intimidate enough super delegates to prevail--they do know where all the figurative bodies are buried etc. But with the rats abandoning the Clinton ship as they seem to be doing, that is looking less likely all the time, but still not impossible. RL is right that Hillary's high negatives have always been a problem for her, but the Democrats still outnumber Republicans in the USA and at one time the smart money was on her being the next President.
I think here are people who hang in with Hillary out of a) loyalty/opportunism b)because she is a woman c) maybe even some who think she would be a good President, d) mostly because she is the Democrat.
I think there are people who support Obama out of a) attraction to his charisma b) because he is black c) they really do believe he would be a good President d) mostly because he is the Democrat.
In other words, a huge number of voters will be voting for a Democrat because he or she is the Democrat no matter who he is.
Another huge number will be voting for a Republican because he is the Republican no matter who he is.
And the swing voters who have no loyalty to either party will be the ones who will actually elect the President.
According to Rasmussen, Obama's negatives are hovering around 50%. McCain does better but he's nowhere near as charismatic as Obama and what negatives he has are biggies among conservative Republicans.
This may be one of the most interesting campaigns we've seen in a long time.