fishin wrote:Lola wrote:It is in fact causing a racial and generational divide. Obama says he doesn't want it to be about race or gender, apparently he doesn't care about a generational split.
I find it interesting that you focus on the generational split.
The most pronounced generational split is with white, suburban women. There is no generational split amongst blacks and amongst men it is close to non-existent. But the difference between white women under 45 and those over 45 is very pronounced. Is it generational? Or is it racist? Or sexist?
Apparently Hillary doesn't care about the gender/generational split either. She hasn't driopped out of the race yet...
I think you're wrong about this, fishin. Obama's support is very dependent on the young voter. Of course not every young person votes for Obama, but it's common knowledge that he's brought them out and without them he'll lose. Even with them he hasn't won yet. Young Latino voters in California at least, so far voted for Hillary in impressive numbers. And women over 40 are an important element of Hillary's base too. But of course, many older women are Obama supporters as well.
But my point about the age thing is only part of why I don't support Obama now. I am a person who is highly suspicious of charismatic speakers who energize a crowd in the way Obama can. It's fine, it I know I can trust the person, but I don't know enough about him to know that now. I've sat through many a revival meeting with that type of oratory and crowds who seem mesmerized.
The fact that is so often being repeated over and over the last few ways that if Obama can get in front of a crowd, he wins supporters. That is, a crowd of people who contain many people who otherwise had some reason to not be for him and be won over by his oratorical style alone. It strikes an alarm for me because I've seen it abused too many times. I don't suspect Obama of potential evil, I haven't had a chance to evaluate whether or not he can handle the job.
I also think his claim that he will "change politics as usual" is likely either naive or a misrepresentation. Because he has so far been using the same "politics as usual" as Hillary has. I don't' think he's done it any more or less that Hillary. It seems a warp in perception that Hillary's camp can see Obama do it and Obama supporters can see Hillary do it. But very few seem to be able to see that it's true of both. It's my opinion that there is some of politics as usual that is both inevitable and necessary when running for office. If he really tried to run without it, he'd lose. I'm not sure if I'm observing a double standard on his part, if he's naive or if he's simply failed to tell us and to demonstrate exactly what it is he wants to change and how he will go about doing it. I think he should tell us something more specific. Unless he does that, I can't feel confident to vote for him.
Hillary's not a perfect candidate. But she is excellent at what she does. She does know how to get things done, or at least she's proved that to me over a long period of time. I feel confident in Hillary's democratic values. I've seen her fight for those values with consistency. I don't doubt Obama's values either. He seems committed to the values most Democrats hold dear. But he hasn't proven to me that he can do what needs to be done. And what I consider to be his poor judgement about entering the race at a time when he couldn't avoid causing a major rift in the party is one very large reason I want to see more before I vote for him.
As it is now, as for me, if he is nominated, I'll vote for him. But I will not work for his campaign nor will I donate money. I think those who voted for him can take that responsibility. I've had to spend all I am willing to spend on the nominating process. It's been way too expensive. I think there are lots of people who will do the same.
And the fact that you think it would be advisable for Hillary to drop out of the race before it's clear whether or not she's won or not is amazing to me. I don't even think Obama should drop out at this point. Why should he? It's too late for that. I just wish he'd had enough wisdom to wait to run, both for the reason that it's unavoidably inflammatory to have two candidates of different minority groups running, especially since it's the first opportunity for any minority group to have a real chance of winning. And I think he hasn't had a chance to prove himself. I'm not willing to vote for him purely on the basis of his charismatic skills.