Gala
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 08:44 am
woiyo wrote:
Gala wrote:
The beloved (Obama) wants Mz. Clinton to make her tax returns public-- A bad move, it's going to hurt him. He ought to be sticking with his message of hope and not getting sidetracked with this petty crap.


Why is it a bad move? Full disclousure...where di the 5M come from?


Full disclosure is fine. But, it's an attack and the public, me included, wants him to stick to his message of hope. Also, the Clinton's don't heed to requests such as this-- remember Whitewater, or the demands on Bill to turn over his medical records during his first election, or Bill smoking pot? None of the goods were forthcoming.

It doesn't work. It makes him look desperate.
0 Replies
 
Gala
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 08:45 am
Desperation and hope-- too conflicted a message.
0 Replies
 
FreeDuck
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 09:04 am
Lola wrote:
I also think his claim that he will "change politics as usual" is likely either naive or a misrepresentation. Because he has so far been using the same "politics as usual" as Hillary has. I don't' think he's done it any more or less that Hillary. It seems a warp in perception that Hillary's camp can see Obama do it and Obama supporters can see Hillary do it. But very few seem to be able to see that it's true of both. It's my opinion that there is some of politics as usual that is both inevitable and necessary when running for office. If he really tried to run without it, he'd lose. I'm not sure if I'm observing a double standard on his part, if he's naive or if he's simply failed to tell us and to demonstrate exactly what it is he wants to change and how he will go about doing it. I think he should tell us something more specific. Unless he does that, I can't feel confident to vote for him.


I certainly agree that he would have lost by now if he hadn't been engaging in some politics as usual with regard to campaigning. But the politics as usual that he speaks about changing has more to do with how government is run -- without transparency or much popular involvement and with special interests overriding the interests of the people. And he has given many specifics about how he would go about changing this. To me, that's pretty much the thing that gets me off the fence and into his yard and that's not something Hillary is even paying lip service to. To someone like me, it sounds like she's saying that changing the people in charge of an f-ed up system is good enough, while he's saying we have to change the f-ed up system. Since we all know how easy it is to put the wrong people in places of power, I'll go with him.

If we just pretend that both candidates are white men for a second, what we're really upset about is having to choose between two good candidates. O woe is us to have two good candidates. Those lucky bastard Republicans don't have a single one.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 09:04 am
First Read calls it the behavior of a front-runner:

Quote:
*** Dictating the pace of the game: Is Obama the front-runner? Maybe not, but the fact that he's dictating the terms of when the candidates debate and he is the fundraising leader, he's on the verge. The only thing missing: an overall delegate lead and a national primary poll lead. Clinton needs to stop him from that because if his momentum ever gets to the point where he looks like the national front-runner in the polls, everything else will only cement him. Another example of Obama dictating the race: his semi-call yesterday for the Clintons to release their tax returns after the $5 million loan, which led to a slew of stories today examining their wealth. But the Clinton folks had to know this would be the result of their decision to spend their own money. After all, the Clintons have only accumulated their wealth since Bill Clinton left the presidency. By the way, can the Clinton campaign get away with their promise to wait to release their tax returns after the primary season?


http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/02/08/648163.aspx

(4th item.)

(Very much agree with FreeDuck, nimh, Bill and others here re: Lola's points, not much to add.)
0 Replies
 
woiyo
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 09:10 am
Gala wrote:
woiyo wrote:
Gala wrote:
The beloved (Obama) wants Mz. Clinton to make her tax returns public-- A bad move, it's going to hurt him. He ought to be sticking with his message of hope and not getting sidetracked with this petty crap.


Why is it a bad move? Full disclousure...where di the 5M come from?


Full disclosure is fine. But, it's an attack and the public, me included, wants him to stick to his message of hope. Also, the Clinton's don't heed to requests such as this-- remember Whitewater, or the demands on Bill to turn over his medical records during his first election, or Bill smoking pot? None of the goods were forthcoming.

It doesn't work. It makes him look desperate.


The CLINTONS are criminals and should not be trusted. I applaud Obama for challenging them. When they refuse, then OBAMA will be right on message...Voting for CLINTON is more of the same old same old.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 09:12 am
fishin wrote:
When you break down the white voters by gender you find that Hillary's lead amongst whites is with women - not men.

Men: 52% Obama, 34% Clinton
Wiomen: 55% Clinton, 34% Obama

Review the states that held a primary and those results hold up pretty well.

Hey Fishin, you're right of course - and you may be interesting in this post: Among white voters, exit polls show a huge gender gap. It's got a table listing the vote for Obama and Clinton by individual state among white men and white women (and quantifying the gender gap).


fishin wrote:
I think the polling numbers bear out my contention. There is no generational split amongst black or Latinos. Blacks have consistantly gone Obama's way in very high numbers abnd Latinos have gone Hillaryt's way in very high numbers - both across all age groups and across the country.

This is mostly true but not 100%. Here's a similar table about how Latinos voted, state by state. Obama did get a majority of them in Illinois and Connecticut. And in Arizona they didnt go Hillary's way in very high numbers: just by 55 to 41.

But yeah, those were the exceptions of course. And when it comes to African-Americans (thats yet another table), you're right about them going to Obama in high numbers across the country - the best score for Hillary was in her home state New York, where she got 37% against 61% for Obama...

I'm not so sure about there being no generational gap among African-AMerican and Latino voters though. Remember that Clinton had the support of much of the local black establishment - reverends, local councillors, state politicians et cetera. See, for example:

The local establishment was obviously rebuffed on this by an overwhelming majority of the African-American voters. But you'd expect the residual support that there still was for Clinton (one-fifth in Tennessee, South Carolina, California; one-seventh in Missouri, Alabama, Nevada and New Jersey) to be mostly among older blacks.

Re a generational split among Latinos, Soz posted an article that offers some very entertaining and interesting anecdotal evidence Razz:

0 Replies
 
Gala
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 09:21 am
woiyo wrote:
The CLINTONS are criminals and should not be trusted. I applaud Obama for challenging them. When they refuse, then OBAMA will be right on message...Voting for CLINTON is more of the same old same old.


Oh fer crying out loud, get a grip. I want Obama to win. His best chance is to stick to the message.
0 Replies
 
Ethel2
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 09:43 am
Ramafuchs wrote:
Sorry for my diversion.
As a pathetic observer of this funny Drama in the name of selecting a candidate to ushapr the power i beg to submit this as my views.
Your political system is not perfect nor will it be in the near future.
Money should not play the major role to pick up a candidate who after winning the final election will send those boys and girls in a far off desert to fight against the invisible, unknown enimies.

Change and hope are epithets to enthuse the mobs.

There are always too many Democratic congressmen, too many Republican congressmen, and never enough U.S. congressmen


Very well said, Ramafuchs. However.....when the values of one party are so different and counter to the values of another, and attempts to logically reason with them fail, then you have to oppose it. And if they are using good solid psychological techniques, you have to use them too. There are certain inventions that we all wish hadn't been discovered. The atom bomb, for instance. But it has been and we can't undiscover it. The only way to handle it is to negotiate with those who would use it against us. The discovery of PR techniques has been made. It works in sales as well as the sales we know as politics. We would be fools not to use it.
0 Replies
 
fishin
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 09:47 am
Lola wrote:

But my point about the age thing is only part of why I don't support Obama now. I am a person who is highly suspicious of charismatic speakers who energize a crowd in the way Obama can. It's fine, it I know I can trust the person, but I don't know enough about him to know that now. I've sat through many a revival meeting with that type of oratory and crowds who seem mesmerized.

The fact that is so often being repeated over and over the last few ways that if Obama can get in front of a crowd, he wins supporters. That is, a crowd of people who contain many people who otherwise had some reason to not be for him and be won over by his oratorical style alone. It strikes an alarm for me because I've seen it abused too many times. I don't suspect Obama of potential evil, I haven't had a chance to evaluate whether or not he can handle the job.

I also think his claim that he will "change politics as usual" is likely either naive or a misrepresentation. Because he has so far been using the same "politics as usual" as Hillary has. I don't' think he's done it any more or less that Hillary. It seems a warp in perception that Hillary's camp can see Obama do it and Obama supporters can see Hillary do it. But very few seem to be able to see that it's true of both. It's my opinion that there is some of politics as usual that is both inevitable and necessary when running for office. If he really tried to run without it, he'd lose. I'm not sure if I'm observing a double standard on his part, if he's naive or if he's simply failed to tell us and to demonstrate exactly what it is he wants to change and how he will go about doing it. I think he should tell us something more specific. Unless he does that, I can't feel confident to vote for him.

Hillary's not a perfect candidate. But she is excellent at what she does. She does know how to get things done, or at least she's proved that to me over a long period of time. I feel confident in Hillary's democratic values. I've seen her fight for those values with consistency. I don't doubt Obama's values either. He seems committed to the values most Democrats hold dear. But he hasn't proven to me that he can do what needs to be done. And what I consider to be his poor judgement about entering the race at a time when he couldn't avoid causing a major rift in the party is one very large reason I want to see more before I vote for him.

As it is now, as for me, if he is nominated, I'll vote for him. But I will not work for his campaign nor will I donate money. I think those who voted for him can take that responsibility. I've had to spend all I am willing to spend on the nominating process. It's been way too expensive. I think there are lots of people who will do the same.



Let me just comment on this portion of your pervious post for a second here - I am equeally concerned about Obama's charasmatic nature and that being a large portion of his appeal to many voters.

I live in MA and Deval Partrick, who also happens to be a middle-aged black male, won the Govonorship here last year on a campaign that was almost identical to the campaign Obama is running.

Patrick used his "Keep Hope Alive" message without much content behind it to win in much the same way Obama is using his Hope/Change mantra (although Obama has been more forthcoming with details than Patrick was...) and he won and although he's only been in office for a year, he immediatly ran into roadblocks.

The state senate/house are 90% Democrats (as Patrick is) but he hasn't been able to push through any of his major agenda items thusfar because the entrenched politicians across the state have fought him tooth and nail to maintain their own power. I have little doubt that Obama will run into much of the same and I fully expect it.

The difference in our views here isn't the concern about how Obama is campaigning. Our difference is that you think Hillary can win the general election and I don't.

Like it or not, Hillary goes into any general election with a close to 50% unfavorable rating and ~30% that being strongly unfavorable. That's 30% of the voting population that isn't going to vote for her come hell or high water. Obama, on the other hand runs in the range of 20% unfavorable with 10-12% of the total being very unfavorable. These numbers aren't just the current numbers either. They represent a trend that has been in place for several years and isn't going to go away.

Of the 11 major polls pitting McCain (McCain runs in the 30% "Unfavorable", < 10% "Very Unfavorable" range) against Clinton, Clinton only wins in one of them and ties in 2. Obama wins in 6 and ties in 3. (and again, these are trends, not just the latest results)

I think every analyst out there expects the 2008 general election to be close. IMO, that means the race will break to whomever the Independents vote for and the Independents are clearly breaking in favor (by a significant amount) for Obama in both the primaries and the polls.

So to me the choice is fairly clear - I can have a charasmatic Obama in the Whitehouse who might get stonewalled by the Congress or I can have McCain in the Whitehouse. Either way, I see Hillary sitting back in her seat in the Senate.
0 Replies
 
woiyo
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 09:49 am
Gala wrote:
woiyo wrote:
The CLINTONS are criminals and should not be trusted. I applaud Obama for challenging them. When they refuse, then OBAMA will be right on message...Voting for CLINTON is more of the same old same old.


Oh fer crying out loud, get a grip. I want Obama to win. His best chance is to stick to the message.


A passive approach by Obama will allow the CLINTON machine to attack him racially (as they have already done), lie about his record (which they have already done) to advance their agenda. the CLINTONS will say and do anything to destroy his credibility.
0 Replies
 
Ethel2
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 10:09 am
There is a reason I've been trying to understand the emotional components behind my support of Hillary Clinton. This is the main reason I'm suggesting each of us try to understand as much as we can about it . Here's the reason -- I think it's the best defense. Because if anyone thinks the knowledge (as incomplete as it is) about human nature and the way the mind/brain works isn't being used against us, they are wrong. Denying it only leaves us vulnerable.

There's another important reason why I believe we need to try to understand as much as we can about our assumptions underlying our values as best we can. If we can know something about the emotions behind our values, we are better able to make less irrational decisions that might be mistakes when looked at in the light of day.

For the past several years, I've been following the work of Drew Weston. He's a clinical psychological with an emphasis on neurobiology. He's also a political strategist. He's a researcher at Emory. He has a very good book out called, "The Political Brain."

If you don't have the time to read the book, do read this short book review in the daily Kos.

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2007/6/24/102023/968

Here's a short excerpt to wet your appetite. It begins with a quote from Westin's book.

Quote:
Quote:
Voters tend to ask four questions that determine who they will vote for, which provide a hierarchy of influences on the decisions about whether and how to vote: "How do I feel about the candidate's party and its principles?" "How does this candidate make me feel?" "How do I feel about this candidate's personal characteristics, particularly his or her integrity, leadership, and compassion?" and "How do I feel about the candidate's stand on issue that matter to me?"

Candidates who focus their campaigns toward the top of this hierarchy and work their way down generally win. They drink from the wellsprings of partisan feelings. They tell emotionally compelling stories about who they are and what they believe in.... They run on who they are and what they genuinely care about, and they know their constituents well enough to know where they share their values and where they don't.... They speak at the level of principled stands. They provide emotionally compelling examples of the ways they would govern, signature issues that illustrate their principles and foster identification.
Quote:
Anyone who believes this should read the Declaration of Independence.
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 10:11 am
Gala wrote:
woiyo wrote:
The CLINTONS are criminals and should not be trusted. I applaud Obama for challenging them. When they refuse, then OBAMA will be right on message...Voting for CLINTON is more of the same old same old.


Oh fer crying out loud, get a grip. I want Obama to win. His best chance is to stick to the message.
I don't think that's entirely true. It surely needs to be his focal point... but increasing transparency is part of his message. Evicting corruption is part of the promise. Bill Clinton left office in debt up to his eyeballs. He now makes about 10 million a year, with his renowned ability to give speeches... which is all fine and good... just so long as it's true.

Now consider that Hillary has pretty much been strategizing for the Presidency since before Bill's term was up. During this same time; Bill's been picking up windfalls of personal wealth, much of it from foreign sources. Should the American people really be expected to just assume these phenomena are unrelated? Why? We do know that two of Hillary's biggest contributors are, indeed, contributors to Bill's personal wealth as well (CitiCorp, Goldman & Sachs). This already smells more than a little like foul play; but it becomes VERY important if Hillary is actually using this same money to get elected.

The request is more than reasonable enough, in lieu of the circumstances. A refusal to comply should, rightly, be frowned upon by the American people... at the very least.
0 Replies
 
Ethel2
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 10:17 am
FreeDuck wrote:
Lola wrote:
I also think his claim that he will "change politics as usual" is likely either naive or a misrepresentation. Because he has so far been using the same "politics as usual" as Hillary has. I don't' think he's done it any more or less that Hillary. It seems a warp in perception that Hillary's camp can see Obama do it and Obama supporters can see Hillary do it. But very few seem to be able to see that it's true of both. It's my opinion that there is some of politics as usual that is both inevitable and necessary when running for office. If he really tried to run without it, he'd lose. I'm not sure if I'm observing a double standard on his part, if he's naive or if he's simply failed to tell us and to demonstrate exactly what it is he wants to change and how he will go about doing it. I think he should tell us something more specific. Unless he does that, I can't feel confident to vote for him.


I certainly agree that he would have lost by now if he hadn't been engaging in some politics as usual with regard to campaigning. But the politics as usual that he speaks about changing has more to do with how government is run -- without transparency or much popular involvement and with special interests overriding the interests of the people. And he has given many specifics about how he would go about changing this. To me, that's pretty much the thing that gets me off the fence and into his yard and that's not something Hillary is even paying lip service to. To someone like me, it sounds like she's saying that changing the people in charge of an f-ed up system is good enough, while he's saying we have to change the f-ed up system. Since we all know how easy it is to put the wrong people in places of power, I'll go with him.

If we just pretend that both candidates are white men for a second, what we're really upset about is having to choose between two good candidates. O woe is us to have two good candidates. Those lucky bastard Republicans don't have a single one.


Pretending they are white men would be a mistake, imo. They aren't white men and denying the effects, both emtionally and politically, of the long term effects of racial and gender discrimination is unwise if not a form or racial and gender bias itself.
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 10:19 am
Great post, Fishin. Obama or McCain seems equally probable to me as well.

Btw Lola: I think the Obama Vs. McCain campaigns would pretty much guarantee a healing of the Democrat-divide you fear so much... though probably not if Hillary gets the nod... and certainly not if she has to cheat via MI and FL to do it.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 10:20 am
Lola wrote
Quote:
Pretending they are white men would be a mistake, imo. They aren't white men and denying the effects, both emtionally and politically, of the long term effects of racial and gender discrimination is unwise if not a form or racial and gender bias itself.


I don't think that's what Freeduck meant though, though she is certainly capable of speaking for herself. What I took from her post is that if we take race and gender out of it, the Dems are left with two candidates that everybody likes or at least would consider on merit rather than emotional appeal. Focus on race and gender can actually obscure the facts that should be considered.
0 Replies
 
Ethel2
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 10:27 am
Foxfyre wrote:
Lola wrote
Quote:
Pretending they are white men would be a mistake, imo. They aren't white men and denying the effects, both emtionally and politically, of the long term effects of racial and gender discrimination is unwise if not a form or racial and gender bias itself.


I don't think that's what Freeduck meant though, though she is certainly capable of speaking for herself. What I took from her post is that if we take race and gender out of it, the Dems are left with two candidates that everybody likes or at least would consider on merit rather than emotional appeal. Race and gender can actually obscure the facts that should be considered.


I still think it's a mistake to take it out. Why can't we think of both candidates as two candidates we like, including their race and gender? their ethnicity/gender identification is an important component of who they are.
0 Replies
 
maporsche
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 10:28 am
OCCOM BILL wrote:

Btw Lola: I think the Obama Vs. McCain campaigns would pretty much guarantee a healing of the Democrat-divide you fear so much.


I couldn't disagree more.

McCain is the exact candidate that democrats did not want to run against. He has the most potential to split the party, or at least those closer to the center (as I am). I will probably stick with Obama if he wins (it will all depend on who each others running mate is, and how they frame their campaigns).

Obama leans too far left on some issues for me (further left then Teddy Kennedy). Clinton is much closer to the center, which as I've said before appeals to me, and McCain is just as close to the center as Clinton is, just on the other side of the l/r divide.

I would see more Clinton supporters moving to McCain than I would see them moving to Obama. However this all depends on running mates. If McCain chooses Huckabee, it will galvanize everyone left of center.
0 Replies
 
Gala
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 10:34 am
OCCOM BILL wrote:
I don't think that's entirely true. It surely needs to be his focal point... but increasing transparency is part of his message. Evicting corruption is part of the promise. Bill Clinton left office in debt up to his eyeballs. He now makes about 10 million a year, with his renowned ability to give speeches... which is all fine and good... just so long as it's true.

Now consider that Hillary has pretty much been strategizing for the Presidency since before Bill's term was up. During this same time; Bill's been picking up windfalls of personal wealth, much of it from foreign sources. Should the American people really be expected to just assume these phenomena are unrelated? Why? We do know that two of Hillary's biggest contributors are, indeed, contributors to Bill's personal wealth as well (CitiCorp, Goldman & Sachs). This already smells more than a little like foul play; but it becomes VERY important if Hillary is actually using this same money to get elected.

The request is more than reasonable enough, in lieu of the circumstances. A refusal to comply should, rightly, be frowned upon by the American people... at the very least.


The Clinton's have always dodged the transparency issue successfully. You're stating Bill's personal debt and rise to wealth is a factoid of little consequence to the average voter who is going on their guts and not on facts.

I am following the race by my gut and some facts, not by reading and googling obsessively. And I represent a large part of the voting population-- like it or not.

The Clinton's are a powerful force-- his requesting accountability from them is like pissing in the wind.
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 10:43 am
So facts are irrelevant because you think so? Okay.
0 Replies
 
Ethel2
 
  1  
Fri 8 Feb, 2008 10:47 am
I've got to run, I've got to catch a plane. But I want to quickly respond to fishin and nimh about the statistics. I agree that it's white younger women. But that doesn't negate my argument.

There's another reason why I focus on the generational. Obama has spoken about going back to the 90s, that we have to move forward, that the politics of the 60s are over. That way of talking sounds like he's suggesting that there's nothing good to learn or use from the politics of the 60s. If he doesn't mean that, he needs to clarify it as soon as possible because a large number of people are hearing it that way.

I agree that there are some political practices that we can learn from because they don't work or cause ethical problems. However, there is an issue of another form of discrimination, that's agism. Those of us who took part in the politics of the 60s surely made some mistakes, but it's an insensitive over statement to dismiss those practices without qualifying what he means. Maybe he has qualified it. If he has, it hasn't made it into the media well enough to counteract that perception.

This idea I've heard put forward on TV press that this is presenting a conflict in that we have to choose between supporting our daughters or our mothers of even grand mothers is wrong. Hillary and those of us who were very young in the 60s are baby boomers. It's actually a conflict between our daughters/sons and ourselves. Hillary in many ways represents me. I and many of us have strongly identified with her. She's been our spokes person for some time now. It's a mistake to disregard that fact. It only heightens the conflict while offering nothing constructive.

I'll say......and then I really have to go......that my attempts to understand why I have been reacting so strongly to this battle and some of your responses to me (the respectful, polite ones) has resulted in my awareness that I have made been operating on several emotionally based assumptions that I need to question. And I see that the result has been that I may not have informed myself as well as I should. I have indeed been using events and facts to defend some of those assumptions .

Woyio....why do you say the Clinton's are criminals? This has the ring of a major over statement to me. Can you find a trust worthy source for documentation of this claim? I should look into it if there's a change it could be true.
0 Replies
 
 

Related Topics

So....Will Biden Be VP? - Question by blueveinedthrobber
My view on Obama - Discussion by McGentrix
Obama/ Love Him or Hate Him, We've Got Him - Discussion by Phoenix32890
Obama fumbles at Faith Forum - Discussion by slkshock7
Expert: Obama is not the antichrist - Discussion by joefromchicago
Obama's State of the Union - Discussion by maxdancona
Obama 2012? - Discussion by snood
 
  1. Forums
  2. » Obama '08?
  3. » Page 458
Copyright © 2025 MadLab, LLC :: Terms of Service :: Privacy Policy :: Page generated in 0.2 seconds on 07/28/2025 at 11:09:25