Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 11:24 am
The more I think about it the better Texas looks for Obama.

25% African American population for registered Dems there.

1/3 of the state - the rural part - caucuses, that's Obama's bread and butter.

He's made inroads on the latino populations across the country - more money and focus could even him up greatly.

Doesn't seem too bad!

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
snood
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 11:37 am
I'll just say this...
A couple of months ago, Hillary Clinton had a double-digit lead on Obama in the National Polls, and was still the prohibitive 'candidate-to-beat'. I think that Obama closing on her nationally like he has to the point that after Super Tuesday its very much a toss-up, is remarkable to say the least.

and...
I think the enthusiasm shown by soz and Bill and Cyclops and me and Butrfly and a few others about Obama is great. For myself, its exhilarating to allow myself, and to see others allowing themselves, to openly believe in and hope for someone's political aspirations to happen. If othersare anything like me, I'd become so jaded and bitter toward politics in general that its just nice to know that I can still be inspired by SOMETHING. And I have looked hard and long at Obama and believe that he is a pretty good one to hitch a wagon to.

So,
I think the remarks about "deifying" Obama and "drinking his and eating his flesh", and being blind sheep, and obsessing and so forth are just a bunch of bitter pap that comes out of a poisoned heart. There is no need for those kinds of sentiments. Its pure, stright-up hatin' on Obama supporters for no good reason.
0 Replies
 
Bi-Polar Bear
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 11:42 am
of course that's what you believe. You're entitled so please do. Please also feel free to judge everything I say merely bu the way I say it. You're not required to like my tone or my way of expressing myself.

let's don't let this start a dialog between us. You calmly said what you wanted, i calmly responded. That's all that's necessary.
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 11:42 am
Bi-Polar Bear wrote:
not so duh... not all but A LOT of people are so swept up in the politics and audacityof hope and all the flowery rhetoric, which btw sounds more like an evangelical preacher daily, they've forgotten that just like his opponents and all those who came before him his main goal is to be president.
Really? Quote one of them. Or admit you're talking out of your a$$. (As if there's no admission by way of omission already.)
0 Replies
 
Swimpy
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 11:42 am
Quote:
"I think we should never be derisive about somebody who has the ability to inspire," Senator McCaskill told David Gregory on MSNBC on Tuesday. "You know, we've had some dark days in this democracy over the last seven years, and today the sun is out. It is shining brightly. I watch these kids, these old and young, these black and white, 20,000 of them, pour into our dome in St. Louis Saturday night, and they feel good about being an American right now. And I think that's something that we have to capture."


http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/06/opinion/06dowd.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin
0 Replies
 
snood
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 11:43 am
Bi-Polar Bear wrote:
of course that's what you believe. You're entitled so please do. Please also feel free to judge everything I say merely bu the way I say it. You're not required to like my tone or my way of expressing myself.

let's don't let this start a dialog between us. You calmly said what you wanted, i calmly responded. That's all that's necessary.


dang, bud - how many people you refusin to talk to, these days?
0 Replies
 
kickycan
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 11:56 am
My god, this guy isn't toast yet? What the hell is wrong with Hillary that she can't take this young inexperienced upstart out?

If she can't even knock this newcomer out of the box, how the hell can anyone have any confidence that she can beat McCain and the Republicans?
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 11:58 am
What I am wondering is how is Hillary going to win the states she lost yesterday.

From what the news was saying, Obama actually won more states then she did, and he did surprisingly well in the states he lost.
I know he won in Alabama and Mississippi, states that so many people were saying he couldnt win in.

IF he goes on to make the dem race a real horserace, will Hillary be able to stop him.
I know that if I was voting dem, I would support Obama.
Not because I dislike Hillary, but because Obama's ideas are very similiar to Evan Bayh (D.IN).
And Bayh was my first choice for president, until he decided not to run.
Hillary seems to have split the dem party, you either like her or you hate her.
Obama seems to have more support among the uncommitted voter, and among conservatives like me.


I am not saying I am going to vote for him, but if he is the dem nominee and anyone other then McCain is the repub nominee, I would vote for Obama.
If he is up against McCain, I will vote for McCain.

Obama impresses me because of his youth, and his style.
My mom (who is so liberal she is to the left of Ted Kennedy), would say that Obama seems to be "just folks".
I dont like all of his ideas, nor do I agree with him on all issues,but he seems to be the most open to different points of view and he seems to have more willingness to change his mind if the situation warrants it.

To me he seems to be more of a leader then Hillary, and I respect that in him.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 12:03 pm
kickycan wrote:
Well, today's the day Obama and the hope for change goes down the tubes. Enjoy, everyone!


Whoops!

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
fishin
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 12:05 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
The more I think about it the better Texas looks for Obama.

25% African American population for registered Dems there.

1/3 of the state - the rural part - caucuses, that's Obama's bread and butter.

He's made inroads on the latino populations across the country - more money and focus could even him up greatly.

Doesn't seem too bad!

Cycloptichorn


What do the demographics look like in TX for white women and white men within the party?

Nationally, white women are largely breaking towards Hillary while white men seem to be breaking towards Obama.
0 Replies
 
kickycan
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 12:05 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
kickycan wrote:
Well, today's the day Obama and the hope for change goes down the tubes. Enjoy, everyone!


Whoops!

Cycloptichorn


Ya got me there. I can't quite get my hopes up yet, but I'm glad to say I was wrong on that one.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 12:08 pm
fishin wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
The more I think about it the better Texas looks for Obama.

25% African American population for registered Dems there.

1/3 of the state - the rural part - caucuses, that's Obama's bread and butter.

He's made inroads on the latino populations across the country - more money and focus could even him up greatly.

Doesn't seem too bad!

Cycloptichorn


What do the demographics look like in TX for white women and white men within the party?

Nationally, white women are largely breaking towards Hillary while white men seem to be breaking towards Obama.


I dunno. Let me see what I can find!

I do know that the 1/3 of Texas which is ran by Caucus is heavily white. So it seems that Obama will have some structural advantages in places where his demographics aren't as good.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 12:16 pm
Actual results vs. polling:

http://i63.photobucket.com/albums/h153/Zhentar/DemSuperTuesdayResults-1.png

Obama overperformed in many places and only under-performed in CA and AZ. It would have been nice to see a smaller loss in MA tho.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Bi-Polar Bear
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 12:19 pm
snood wrote:
Bi-Polar Bear wrote:
of course that's what you believe. You're entitled so please do. Please also feel free to judge everything I say merely bu the way I say it. You're not required to like my tone or my way of expressing myself.

let's don't let this start a dialog between us. You calmly said what you wanted, i calmly responded. That's all that's necessary.


dang, bud - how many people you refusin to talk to, these days?


only the ones I can't stomach.
0 Replies
 
Butrflynet
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 12:27 pm
The Natural

by Andrew Sullivan
http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/

Quote:

Perhaps the most telling critique of Obama, to my mind, is his lack of executive experience. (The same can be said for Clinton, of course, if you don't count the First Lady period, when she insists her husband was the president.) I asked him directly last year why a voter should back someone who has never run anything bigger than a legislative office. He responded by pointing to his nascent campaign. He observed out that he was up against the full Clinton establishment, all the chits she and her husband had acquired over the years, and the apparatus they had constructed within the party. He had to build a national campaign from scratch, raise money, staff an extremely complex electoral map, and make key decisions on spending and travel. He asked me to judge his executive skills by observing how he was managing a campaign.
By that standard, who isn't impressed? A first term senator - a black urban liberal - raised more money, and continues to raise much more money, than Senator Clinton. More to the point, the money he has raised has not come from the well-connected fat-cats who do things like donate to the Clinton library. His base is much wider, broader and internet-based than hers. It has many more small donors.

Now look at the strategy he laid out last year, as he explained it to me and others. Iowa was the key. If he didn't win Iowa, it was over. But if he could win Iowa, he would prove the principle that a black man could transcend the racial issue, helping in New Hampshire, and then also helping him peel off what was then majority black support for the Clintons in South Carolina. Then his strategy was meticulous organization - and you saw that in Iowa, as well as yesterday's caucus states. Everything he told me has been followed through. And the attention to detail - from the Alaska caucus to the Nevada cooks - has been striking.

Now consider the psychological and emotional challenges of this campaign. It has been brutal. It has included many highly emotional moments - and occasions when racism and sexism and all sorts of hot-button issues have emerged. Then there was the extraordinary spectacle of a former president and spouse bringing the full weight of ther Democratic establishment and the full prestige to two terms in the White House to dismiss some of Obama's arguments as a "fairy tale" and dismiss him as another Jesse Jackson.

How did the candidates deal with this? The vastly more experienced and nerves-of-steel Clinton clearly went through some wild mood-swings. Obama gave an appearance at least of preternatural coolness under fire, a steady message that others came to mimic, and a level of oratory that still stuns this longtime debater. In the middle of this very hot zone, he exhibit a coolness and steeliness that is a mark of presidential timber. He played tough - but he didn't play nasty. Keeping the high road in a contest like this - without ever playing the race card or the victim card - is an achievement. Building a movement on top of that is more impressive still. So far, he has combined Romney's money with Clinton's organizational skills and Ron Paul's grass-roots enthusiasm. No other campaign has brought so many dimensions into play.

And he won Missouri.
0 Replies
 
Miller
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 12:39 pm
fishin wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
The more I think about it the better Texas looks for Obama.

25% African American population for registered Dems there.

1/3 of the state - the rural part - caucuses, that's Obama's bread and butter.

He's made inroads on the latino populations across the country - more money and focus could even him up greatly.

Doesn't seem too bad!

Cycloptichorn


What do the demographics look like in TX for white women and white men within the party?

Nationally, white women are largely breaking towards Hillary while white men seem to be breaking towards Obama.


AND...Hispanic men love Mrs.Clinton. They know class, when they see it. :wink:
0 Replies
 
Miller
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 12:40 pm
President Hillary Clinton...oh how sweet the words!
Laughing
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 12:46 pm
http://img87.imageshack.us/img87/6137/tied2ve6.jpg
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 01:21 pm
Quote:
But Mr. Obama said most of that fighting would be done on the ground in the next voting states, not in debates. When asked whether he would accept the invitation from Mrs. Clinton to attend four more debates in the coming weeks, he laughed.

"I don't think anybody is clamoring for more debates," he said. "We've had 18 debates so far. I think we've had 10 more than we've had in the last Democratic contest."

He said he would agree to at least one debate, but noted, "It's very important for me to spend time with voters."


http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/02/06/obama-more-rounds-to-fight/index.html?hp

Haha, he said exactly what I wanted him to say!

I rewarded him with $50 for it.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Wed 6 Feb, 2008 01:33 pm
My connection's still hopeless (A2K loads slowly but it loads, pretty much nothing else works) and I'm still (unhappily) out of the loop -- has anyone seen anything about a press conference by Obama earlier today? I saw a swath on CNN but they cut away, and it looked like it was a good one! Obama was talking about how he's certainly had to fight back plenty already in this contest, and does anyone think that the Republicans don't have a "dump truck" of stuff they can use against Hillary?

That's a rough paraphrase, I remember "dump truck" though. He said it really well.
0 Replies
 
 

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