Bi-Polar Bear
 
  1  
Tue 29 Jan, 2008 09:31 pm
whatever you say Captain Smug....
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Tue 29 Jan, 2008 09:58 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
There's no Clinton '08 thread, b/c what drives her support is completely different then what drives Obama's support.

<nods>

And that's probably kinda the thing that makes Obama supporters so... like, simultaneously more inspiring and enthusing, and more annoyingly intense than the other candidates' supporters are.
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Tue 29 Jan, 2008 10:00 pm
I am afraid I am getting nervous about Obama's chances. Feb 5th is going to be huge, and I fear he may not get get the delegates he needs. And then there are the super-delegates, some 750 of them. Clinton is holding a lot of IOU's in exchange for doing them favors, The last vestige, I would hope, of the smoke-filled room.

I listened to a bunch of my employees talk politics this noon-time. A real mix of folks from 25-55 in age, male-female, country to citified. And the only Goth-Republican in the country.

I (the only liberal Dem) said nothing. I listened.

The consensus of the group was that they cared very little about promises of health care reform or promises to pass a new education program or a pledge to get out of Iraq might some date. They were old enough and cynical enough to believe that that is pretty much empty rhetoric.

They like Obama for his inspiration and his confidence and his ability to talk with them.

He is, in my mind, listening to them, reminescent of how many felt about JFK.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Tue 29 Jan, 2008 10:02 pm
OCCOM BILL wrote:
You just don't get it, do you? The options are quickly narrowing to Barack Obama or John McCain. Choose wisely.

Dude. I'd take Obama over Hillary pretty please, but anyone suggesting that the race is already pretty much over is just being foolish. This is still going to be a long slog.. at best. What Obama supporters should be hoping for right now is an even/even split coming out from Feb. 5. That would already be great considering the uphill climb faced in many of those states.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Tue 29 Jan, 2008 10:06 pm
nimh wrote:
OCCOM BILL wrote:
You just don't get it, do you? The options are quickly narrowing to Barack Obama or John McCain. Choose wisely.

Dude. I'd take Obama over Hillary pretty please, but anyone suggesting that the race is already pretty much over is just being foolish. This is still going to be a long slog.. at best. What Obama supporters should be hoping for right now is an even/even split coming out from Feb. 5. That would already be great considering the uphill climb faced in many of those states.


Can't we hope for a 60/40 win? Smile

I mean, we're talking HOPE here.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Tue 29 Jan, 2008 10:09 pm
OK, 60/40 you got Razz
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Tue 29 Jan, 2008 10:24 pm
nimh wrote:
OCCOM BILL wrote:
You just don't get it, do you? The options are quickly narrowing to Barack Obama or John McCain. Choose wisely.

Dude. I'd take Obama over Hillary pretty please, but anyone suggesting that the race is already pretty much over is just being foolish. This is still going to be a long slog.. at best. What Obama supporters should be hoping for right now is an even/even split coming out from Feb. 5. That would already be great considering the uphill climb faced in many of those states.
I was referring more to McCain pulling off Florida. That's big. I would hold my nose and vote for Hillary over Romney. There is no chance I take her over McCain. I'm not alone. Too many democrats seem to forget that the base votes for the base regardless and independents decide elections. It matters little how much Soz and Bernie mix it up in the primaries; I'll give you 10 to 1 they back the same person in the General. Watch.
0 Replies
 
maporsche
 
  1  
Tue 29 Jan, 2008 10:47 pm
OCCOM BILL wrote:
nimh wrote:
OCCOM BILL wrote:
You just don't get it, do you? The options are quickly narrowing to Barack Obama or John McCain. Choose wisely.

Dude. I'd take Obama over Hillary pretty please, but anyone suggesting that the race is already pretty much over is just being foolish. This is still going to be a long slog.. at best. What Obama supporters should be hoping for right now is an even/even split coming out from Feb. 5. That would already be great considering the uphill climb faced in many of those states.
I was referring more to McCain pulling off Florida. That's big. I would hold my nose and vote for Hillary over Romney. There is no chance I take her over McCain. I'm not alone. Too many democrats seem to forget that the base votes for the base regardless and independents decide elections. It matters little how much Soz and Bernie mix it up in the primaries; I'll give you 10 to 1 they back the same person in the General. Watch.



Do you think the base is going for Clinton?
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Tue 29 Jan, 2008 11:13 pm
maporsche wrote:
Do you think the base is going for Clinton?
I sincerely hope not. But the polls, bookies, and traders are currently pointing in that direction.
0 Replies
 
maporsche
 
  1  
Tue 29 Jan, 2008 11:19 pm
OCCOM BILL wrote:
maporsche wrote:
Do you think the base is going for Clinton?
I sincerely hope not. But the polls, bookies, and traders are currently pointing in that direction.


I agree that the base isn't voting for Clinton, I think she IS getting the independent votes and the moderate democrats.
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Tue 29 Jan, 2008 11:30 pm
maporsche wrote:
OCCOM BILL wrote:
maporsche wrote:
Do you think the base is going for Clinton?
I sincerely hope not. But the polls, bookies, and traders are currently pointing in that direction.


I agree that the base isn't voting for Clinton, I think she IS getting the independent votes and the moderate democrats.
I don't know who you're agreeing with... but they're wrong. So far she IS getting most of the base, and Obama is getting most of the independents. Look at the exit polls... or listen to us independents.
0 Replies
 
spendius
 
  1  
Wed 30 Jan, 2008 05:41 am
I don't think Mr Obama has any chance of becoming president.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Wed 30 Jan, 2008 07:24 am
OCCOM BILL wrote:
I was referring more to McCain pulling off Florida. That's big. I would hold my nose and vote for Hillary over Romney. There is no chance I take her over McCain. I'm not alone. Too many democrats seem to forget that the base votes for the base regardless and independents decide elections. It matters little how much Soz and Bernie mix it up in the primaries; I'll give you 10 to 1 they back the same person in the General. Watch.


That's not exactly a risky prediction, though, is it?

I'll look very closely at McCain before deciding not to vote for him but I've already looked pretty closely and a lot of what I see concerns me. I have concerns about Hillary too, but those concerns are less severe. (I posted some numerical scale a while back with Obama at something like 95, Hillary at something like 50, and McCain at something like 30, as one of many posts saying that I can like Obama a lot more than Hillary while still thinking Hillary would make a better president than McCain.)

I'd just really, really love to be able to vote FOR someone -- wholeheartedly -- rather than doing yet another least-worst calculation.
0 Replies
 
snood
 
  1  
Wed 30 Jan, 2008 07:53 am
word
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Wed 30 Jan, 2008 08:42 am
sozobe wrote:
That's not exactly a risky prediction, though, is it?
I wouldn't offer 10 to 1 if it was. :wink:
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Wed 30 Jan, 2008 08:46 am
Edwards is dropping out, as is Guilani.
Thats according to CNN this morning.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Wed 30 Jan, 2008 08:46 am
Edwards is dropping out. Sad
the New York Times wrote:

Full article
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Wed 30 Jan, 2008 08:49 am
WHOA!

That's a surprise, I have to say.

Not an entirely happy one, for more than one reason. (A) I like him, B) I think he was helping Obama.)

WOW!

Thanks for breaking the news, Thomas, first I've heard of it.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Wed 30 Jan, 2008 08:49 am
For those of you naively considering another Republican presidency with McCain at the helm, then you'd better face the consequences of what is likely to happen not only as regards Iraq and further wars, but also with futher Supreme Court nominations...
Quote:
The Fine Print

Just before Monday night's State of the Union speech, in which Mr. Bush extolled bipartisanship, railed against government excesses and promised to bring the troops home as soon as it's safe to withdraw, the White House undermined all of those sentiments with the latest of the president's infamous signing statements.

The signing statements are documents that earlier presidents generally used to trumpet their pleasure at signing a law, or to explain how it would be enforced. More than any of his predecessors, the current chief executive has used the pronouncements in a passive-aggressive way to undermine the power of Congress.

Over the last seven years, Mr. Bush has issued hundreds of these insidious documents declaring that he had no intention of obeying a law that he had just signed. This is not just constitutional theory. Remember the detainee treatment act, which Mr. Bush signed and then proceeded to ignore, as he told C.I.A. interrogators that they could go on mistreating detainees?

This week's statement was attached to the military budget bill, which covers everything except the direct cost of the war. The bill included four important provisions that Mr. Bush decided he will enforce only if he wants to.

The president said they impinged on his constitutional powers. We asked the White House to explain that claim, but got no answer, so we'll do our best to figure it out.

The first provision created a commission to determine how reliant the government is on contractors in Iraq and Afghanistan, how much waste, fraud and abuse has occurred and what has been done to hold accountable those who are responsible. Congress authorized the commission to compel government officials to testify.

Perhaps this violated Mr. Bush's sense of his power to dole out contracts as he sees fit and to hold contractors harmless. The same theory applies to the second provision that Mr. Bush said he would not obey: a new law providing protection against reprisal to those who expose waste, fraud or abuse in wartime contracts.

The third measure Mr. Bush rejected requires intelligence officials to respond to a request for documents from the Armed Services Committees of Congress within 45 days, either by producing the documents or explaining why they are being withheld. Clearly, this violates the power that Mr. Bush has given himself to cover up an array of illegal and improper actions, like his decisions to spy on Americans without a warrant, to torture prisoners in violation of the Geneva Conventions and to fire United States attorneys apparently for political reasons.

It's glaringly obvious why Mr. Bush rejected the fourth provision, which states that none of the money authorized for military purposes may be used to establish permanent military bases in Iraq.

It is more evidence, as if any were needed, that Mr. Bush never intended to end this war, and that he still views it as the prelude to an unceasing American military presence in Iraq.
link

Here's McCain from a day or two ago...
link

And relevant history...
Quote:
President Ronald Reagan, guided by his Attorney General Edwin Meese III (and urged on enthusiastically by a young lawyer called Samuel Alito), launched a concerted policy to start to use signing statements as a means of reinforcing the executive's message and consolidating its power. Meese arranged to have them published for this very reason.
link

McCain has said that he rejects signing statements. But because of the above statements and even moreso because of the realities of the compromises he will have to make with Washington republican powerbrokers (many who already do not like him at all) to run an effective operation once in office, I grant his statement of rejection of signing statements as pretty much empty.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Wed 30 Jan, 2008 08:50 am
And mysteryman, you guys got it in the same minute, I just saw Thomas' first.


(WOW.)
0 Replies
 
 

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