maporsche wrote:I asked this question a while back about who Edwards was helping....I'm inclined to believe that he was taking votes from Obama, thereby helping Clinton. This throws Super Tuesday into a flux.
If the median Edwards supporter is mostly motivated by his program, most of his supporters should turn into Clinton supporters, because her program is more similar to his than Obama's. If, on the other hand, the median Edwards supporter is mostly motivated by Edwards's charisma, I would expect most Edwards supporters to switch to Obama.
Judging by my correspondents' zeal to read programs, and considering that my correspondents are probably more fact-driven and charisma-resistant than average overall, My guess that Edwards's dropping out will help Obama more than Clinton