nimh wrote:realjohnboy wrote:Yep. I am thinking that will be (part of) the story tomorrow. McCain stole some of Obama's thunder.
That doesnt make sense though, because turnout in the Democratic race is apparently still way, way higher than in the Republican race.
If lots of Indies leaning to Obama at the last moment decided to vote for McCain in the Republican race instead, then you'd expect the vote totals in the Republican race to go up, and those in the Dem race down, accordingly.
Although, actually, I might be wrong. Adding up the actual preliminary numbers so far, it seems like it's about 125,000 votes for the Democrats and about 100,000 votes for the Republicans. So that's a much more narrow margin than you had in Iowa, so perhaps RJB
is right.
But somebody on WMUR, the NH TV-station, just said that although 47% of
precincts are in, that doesnt mean 47% of the
votes are in; and that many of the precincts that still havent come in are in bigger cities that were expected to go to Obama, so "things are expected to tighten up further still". Thats good news for Obama, but also means that the split in the numbers voting in the Dem race vs the Rep race could still widen up.