OSCAR PICKS - Make Your Oscar Picks here

BEST PICTURE
CHICAGO

ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING
CHICAGO - Rob Marshall

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs of New York

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Nicole Kidman - The Hours

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
John C. Reilly - Chicago

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago

Screenplay based on material previously produced or published (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)

THE HOURS

Screenplay written directly for the screen (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)

MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
BOWLING FOR COLUMBINE

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
HERO People's Republic of China

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
SPIRITED AWAY

By the way, I haven't seen any of these films. I'm going on press alone. I think Chicago will do very well but I think the nod will go to Kidman for The Hours and they'll also get adapted screenplay. So those will be the consolation prizes for that film. Day-Lewis gets the prize for Best Actor as a sop for Gangs of New York. Nia Vardalos is embraced by the Academy the same way that Affleck and Damon were for Good Will Hunting (after all, having the highest-grossing romantic comedy of all time is something that the Academy will find hard to ignore). Bowling for Columbine seems to me to be a shoo-in for Documentary. Hero for Foreign Film because Talk to Her (Pedro Almodovar and I bet I just misspelled his last name) wasn't nominated. And I picked Spirited Away for Best Animated Film because it's anime and is different from the other nominees, which I think will cancel one another out.

My question is - if Eminem raps "Lose Yourself" (from 8 Mile; it's nominated for Best Song), will they bleep him?

Thanks jespah - I've only seen two or three of the nominees myself. Just saw Unfaithful and liked it very much. I'm still hoping Diane Lane can pull it out (no pun intended), but I doubt it seriously, and seeing Nicole win would be great.

Would love to see Michael Moore on stage for Columbine - I hope the typical goofy pick for best documentary doesn't trip him up.

I get the feeling a Kidman win for Best Actress would be less for her acting ability than a H'wood snub at Cruise. Which is unfortunate, because people should win on merit, but we all know that H'wood doesn't necessarily work that way. Salma Hayek did not have a great script for Frida, and she's a first-time nominee if I recall correctly. I don't think Zellwegger will get it because Chicago, by then, will have gotten many awards. Lane I see as a dark horse but it's possible. There's also a possibility of Zellwegger getting it if Chicago sweeps all or most of its categories.

I think Julianne Moore should win something, but I suspect the big Chicago sweep will make Zeta-Jones the winner of Best Supporting Actress, and I see Ms. Moore also being passed over in the Best Actress category in favor of Ms. Kidman. Bates and Streep have both won in the past for Best Actress and I've noticed the Academy doesn't often give out Supporting statuettes after they've given someone a Best statuette. That brings Best Supporting Actress to Zeta-Jones or Latifah and I say Zeta-Jones, partly (and again this is unfair but there you have it) because of her marriage to Michael Douglas. Plus, rightly or wrongly, two nominees from one film tend to be pitted directly against one another, and that means Zeta-Jones will win that mini-competition.

The Best Actor selection, except for Adrian Brody, is all former winners, but the Best Actress selection is all women who have never won. For Best Actor, Nicholson has 3 Best Actor awards and holds the record for male nominees. I don't think they'll recognize him yet again. Brody is a first-time nominee and will just be thrilled to be there. Cage and Day-Lewis have been there before. It's possible that my earlier prediction for Best Adapted Screenplay will be wrong, and that it'll go to Adaptation. If that's the case then I definitely don't see Cage as winning. That leaves us with Caine and Day-Lewis. I may be wrong - I know that the Academy adores Michael Caine but this is a struggle between 2 films which probably won't get other awards, though I think Gangs of NY may be up for Costumes and The Quiet American may be up for Cinematography. If those both are awarded to those respective films, then all bets are off and Nicholson may very well pull it out.

Best Supporting Actor is tricky, but they often award it to a character actor (Best Supporting Actress often goes to a promising newcomer, but it's sometimes a prize for an older actress who hasn't otherwise been recognized for her work). That's why I picked Reilly; also because I think Chicago will sweep in a lot of prizes. But it's also possible that the nod finally will go to Christopher Walken, thereby giving that film what will likely be its only recognition of the night.

Gangs has noms in just about every possible category except makeup and score - I think Caine's nom is the only one for Quiet American - it doesn't have a cinematography nom.

BEST PICTURE -Chicago
ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING - Martin Scorsese
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE - Daniel Day-Lewis
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE - Julianne Moore
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE - Christopher Walken
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE - Catherine Zeta-Jones
Screenplay material prev. produced or published(ADAPTED) - The Hours
Screenplay written directly for the screen (ORIGINAL) -Far From Heaven

You're missing 3 booman, foreign, animated, documentary.

Oh alright, wild guesses:

Documentry-Bowling For Columbine
Foreign Film-Hero
Animated Feature-Spirited Away

BEST PICTURE - The Hours
ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING - GANGS OF NEW YORK - Martin Scorsese
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE - Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE - Nicole Kidman - The Hours
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE - Christpher Walken-Catch me if you can
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE - Meryl Streep - Adaptation
Screenplay material prev. produced or published(ADAPTED) -ADAPTATION
Screenplay written directly for the screen (ORIGINAL) -TALK TO HER
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - PRISONER OF PARADISE
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM - HERO
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM - SPIRITED AWAY


This is what I think will happen. My personal opinion is that BAFTA got it right and that The Pianist and Roman Polanski deserve the top two awards but the Academy don't have the balls for that

:wink:

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5 days to go.

This is who I think will win: (my actual favorites in blue if they differ)

BEST PICTURE - Chicago
ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING - Rob Marshall
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE - Daniel Day-Lewis (Adrien Brody)
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE - Renee Zellweger (Nicole Kidman)
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE - Christopher Walken (John C. Reilly)
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE - Catherine Zeta-Jones (Queen Latifah)
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - Chicago (The Hours)
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - My Big Fat Greek Wedding
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - Bowling for Columbine
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM - Hero (El Crimen del Padre Amaro)
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM -Spirited Away (Lilo & Stitch)

Thanks mac - I sure hope Spirited Away wins.

Best Picture- Chicago
Director-Scorsese
Actor in a Lead-Daniel Day Lewis (wish it would be Nicholson)
Actress in Lead-Nicole Kidman
Supporting Actor- Chris Cooper (wish it would be Walken)
Supporting Actress- Meryl Streep
Adapted Screenplay-The Pianist
Original Screenplay-Gangs of New York
Documentary-Bowling for Columbine
Foreign Film-Hero
Animated Film-Spirited Away

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I think CHICAGO is going to sweep all the categories it is competitive in, including best Director.
Best Actor should go to Adrien Brody, but I suspect Daniel Day Lewis will win.
Best Supporting Actor will probbaly go to Christopher Walken, but John C. Reilly has an outside chance.
Otherwise I predict it is going to be a CHICAGO night. Scorsese will be snubbed yet again for Best Director, and rightly so--GANGS is not his best work and if he were to get the award it would be in recognition of his past films, not this one.
Polanski DESERVES to win for Best Director, but since when does justice have anything to do with the awards???

Welcome back, and thanks Larry - do you want to pick the other awards? (see above)

We seem to have the same kind of views on this. Its either going to be an all Chicago affair or a more even treatment, I tend to the latter-who knows. It'll be fun finding out !

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