Re: Iraqi Insurgents spike in April '05
candidone1 wrote:As the month of April 2005 came to a close, it was reported that the insurgency in Iraq reached a new peak. With violence neither decreasing nor stabilizing, what do you make of the insurgents?
Is there even a glimmer of admiration for these individuals who are sacrificing themselves on an hourly basis to resist an occupation they deem so patently wrong, or are they just written off by the masses as lunatics impeding the process of the inevitable?
I believe that the insurgency currently depends upon Sunnis, many or most of whom are likely to have been Ba'atists with a stake in Hussein's government, and depends upon foreign recruits. So many right-wing ranters went on and on at the beginning of this war about it being better to fight "the terrorists" there than here. But that was self-fulfilling prophecy. Absent the war, those people were not welcome in Hussein's Iraq--espeically not Bin Laden, who, as a Wahabbi, was a member of despised and persecuted religious lunatic fringe in a resolutely secular state. However, the insurgency has created an opportunity for those who wish to kill Americans to get a shot at it. The Kurds have no stake in an insurgency. The Shi'ites, in the main, have no stake in an insurgency (with the caveat that opportunists from minority Shi'ite sects are not above using such violence as a tool of self-promotion). The odds are very good that those members of the Sunni Arab population who were from marginalized minority tribes would like to have a part in governing Iraq, which can only come about when the insurgency is brought under some kind of control. Certainly the Kurds (who are a blend of Sunni, Shi'ite, Christian and Animist--the latter being observed more in the breach--they are mainly Sunni) have nothing to gain and much to lose from an unstable Iraq. The Shi'ites have the most to gain from a stable Iraq, and the most to lose from a successful toppling of the government by insurgents.
I doubt that the Iraqis "write off" the insurgents as lunatics. Being native speakers of Arabic, they recognize the foreigners immediately--they know better than we can ever hope to the extent to which their nation has been infiltrated. They also understand the political equation of Iraq, a tortured and complex equation. Americans, and particularly fanatical right-wing Americans, are largely clueless about factors which must be combined to produce a stable government there. The Iraqis are all to well aware of the complexity of the issues, and the degree of difficulty in acheiving stability and peace. Certainly many of those participating in the insurgency are truly unhinged, and truly terrorists. However, a great many are simply venal, brutal and murderous thugs on the make, hoping to seize the main chance in the chaos which is Iraq today.