cicerone imposter wrote:okie wrote: Now, just because they have not yet drilled every lease does not indicate to them that there is no oil there. It probably means they think there remains enough potential to hold the lease, but not enough to punch a hole in every lease immediately.
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Doesn't fly; not that long ago, oil was $60/bbl, and it's now over $140/bbl. If that doesn't motivate the oil companies to extract that oil at more than double the value in just a year, hanging onto those leases without gaining on the profit is not only ridiculous but doesn't make any sense.
Sorry, but you don't make any sense. Your geology education hasn't taught you anything about potential gross profit.
What it looks like it to me is that the oil companies are artificially keeping supply lower than it needs to be.
I don't know how to be diplomatic about this, ci, but it makes all the sense in the world. Go back to the auto analogy again. Auto companies build cars, but they always have an inventory of ideas and possibilities in the works, and if they didn't, they would die on the vine. Leases are an inventory of ideas and possibilities awaiting further evaluation and testing. As that process plays out, some leases will be drilled in the future, some leases will be dropped.
Incidentally, in Oklahoma, many areas are now operated by smaller companies trying to make a buck on marginal wells. Also leases are acquired or held in older areas that may have been leased before, maybe several times over. Some leases are held, and possibly drilled, then dropped, only to be picked up again at some point because of a newer idea to drill deeper, drill differently such as horizontally, or because for one huge reason, the price of oil has gone up that a previously uneconomic reservoir is now economic.
ci, do not try to prove that holding leases without drilling every single one of them now is some kind of conspiracy. You are a nice guy, I think, but crotchety, and simply like to argue, but I think other subjects would be better suited for you to take up.