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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 06:35 am
Louise_R_Heller wrote:
Quote:
Slightly off-topic but made me think there are such tremendous forces at work in our planet that this "global warming" discussion seems rather pointless -- sure the planet warms up and cools down every few millenia no matter whether we're around or not, so what do you all say we should DO about it???


okie wrote:
Quote:
The last two posts incorporate something not so common anymore. Its something called COMMON SENSE. Thanks!


george wrote:
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Careful Louise. Galileo got in serious trouble for this sort of thinking a few centuries ago. This is one of the central tenants of political correctitude, and the credulous crowd does not take heresy lightly...

The point here may be that amidst all the constant change to which our old earth has been subject, and which continues without respect to our puny existence, the conceit that ,the flatulence of our bodies and factories could somehow upset the whole thing, is, itself quite remarkable.


Actually, the motion of crustal plates with subsequent consequences like tsunamis does pose an interesting question...what is the character of a God who would rip a six month old baby from its mother's arms and impale it through the head on a rusting iron gate? Along with the 200,000 others, of course. Or for another nifty natural phenomenon demonstrating His grace, those parasites which burrow up into an animal's brain, then deposit an egg which becomes a larvae that slowly feeds on the brain of the host animal.

And the thing of it all is that such wonders (along with, say, the odd comet plowing into the planet) provide one darned good argument for dismissing the overwhelming scientific consensus on the causes of global warming (including the findings of President Bush's own science panel). Earthquakes rumble and kill Californians, lightening zaps kids playing soccer in Ohio, so therefore there is no reason to engineer buildings to withstand quakes and no reason to educate children to seek proper shelter in a lightening storm.
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Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 09:39 am
Thats a very good point Blatham. We are not helpless. And just because God is clearly not the All Merciful that some think him to be, and Bad Things do indeed happen, thats no argument for failing to try and understand why the happen, or striving to ameliorate the worst effects.
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 12:49 pm
blatham wrote:

Actually, the motion of crustal plates with subsequent consequences like tsunamis does pose an interesting question...what is the character of a God who would rip a six month old baby from its mother's arms and impale it through the head on a rusting iron gate? Along with the 200,000 others, of course. Or for another nifty natural phenomenon demonstrating His grace, those parasites which burrow up into an animal's brain, then deposit an egg which becomes a larvae that slowly feeds on the brain of the host animal.


Love that old Kafka-esque stuff! "Gregor Samsa awoke one morning to discover that he had been transformed into a beetle". It, and a wistful look were sometimes useful for getting into the pants of St Johns College girls in the old days. Not much else as I later discovered.

You'll have to admit Bernie that the point is a bit sophomoric. If there is no God, there is no question. If He exists, there may be much more to the question than you allow. Even Aristotle understood this.

Quote:
And the thing of it all is that such wonders (along with, say, the odd comet plowing into the planet) provide one darned good argument for dismissing the overwhelming scientific consensus on the causes of global warming (including the findings of President Bush's own science panel). Earthquakes rumble and kill Californians, lightening zaps kids playing soccer in Ohio, so therefore there is no reason to engineer buildings to withstand quakes and no reason to educate children to seek proper shelter in a lightening storm.
You (deliberately, I think) miss the point. I was referring to the ever-present suggestion of runaway, chaotic global warming due solely to manmade greenhouse gas emissions: a catastrophie so severe that any cost is acceptable in preventing it, including the imposition of energy use restrictions sufficient to significantly set back the quality of life and depopulate much of the earth. Even California seismic engineers accept a finite probability of structural failure in a major earthquake.
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Louise R Heller
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 02:36 pm
Walter Hinteler wrote:
I don't think, anyone ever suggested that the 'problems' with the various earth plates are men-made.



Sir,

In addition to other excellent points made by others here, may I point out that it's been LESS THAN HALF A CENTURY since it finally dawned into our thick heads that CONTINENTS ACTUALLY DRIFT ????

The geologist who first hypothesized this was laughed at by all his fellow geologists and actually hounded out of his University post at the time ---- yes, and those VERY FEW DECADES LATER we know he was right!!!!

What gives YOU the right to pontificate on SOMETHING, ANYTHING AT ALL, THAT'S JUST PLAIN NOT PROVEN????Climatologists themselves differ and I'm only trained in biology so I simply know to LOOK FOR SCIENTIFIC PROOF a.k.a. A REPEATABLE EXPERIMENT. If YOU, sir, are ANY KIND OF SCIENTIST I wish to know in which discipline trained, where exactly, and grounds for your dogmatic opinions. Thank you very much in advance Smile
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 02:42 pm
LouisRHelles, Your thesis on "pontifcation" is way out on left field; a foul if you like. On a2k, most discussion participants are not experts in the field in which we participate, although we have some exceptions. Scientist and science are not the same. You should understand that clearly if you truly trained in biology.
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Louise R Heller
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 02:50 pm
I apologize for the capital letters but I wish those who know not how to prove anything in the sciences would kindly consider that results have to be duplicated, giving the same outcome in each case.

It's true in biology, chemistry, physics, mathematics ---- all scientific disciplines barring none.

Blind faith in political correctness is not to be confused with scientific progress ---- please remember the tectonic plates discoverer who (only a very few years ago) was fired from his university chair for being wildly eccentric bordering on insanity.......

And that's EXACTLY what I hear here as argument --- not a thought on whether, like gee, maybe if WE do this, China does the other, the sun keeps shining (OR maybe solar flares are now ALSO politically incorrect???) and NEVER A THOUGHT of when CO2 and methane atmospheric content was, maybe, JUST MAYBE, higher in the past that TODAY????

And that it was, just THAT, time and time AND TIME again in the long (4.6 billion years....) and tortuous historical development of our planet is SCIENTIFICALLY PROVEN BEYOND DOUBT!!!!
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Louise R Heller
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 02:53 pm
Mr. Imposter,

Thank you for addressing me. My regrets to you for having failed to see your post prior to posting the follow-up response to my original message of today.

It being not my habit to either insult correspondents or to being insulted by same, I would prefer to remain with such modest scientific arguments as can be made by anyone here --- Smile
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 02:55 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
blatham wrote:

Actually, the motion of crustal plates with subsequent consequences like tsunamis does pose an interesting question...what is the character of a God who would rip a six month old baby from its mother's arms and impale it through the head on a rusting iron gate? Along with the 200,000 others, of course. Or for another nifty natural phenomenon demonstrating His grace, those parasites which burrow up into an animal's brain, then deposit an egg which becomes a larvae that slowly feeds on the brain of the host animal.


Love that old Kafka-esque stuff! "Gregor Samsa awoke one morning to discover that he had been transformed into a beetle". It, and a wistful look were sometimes useful for getting into the pants of St Johns College girls in the old days. Not much else as I later discovered.

You'll have to admit Bernie that the point is a bit sophomoric. If there is no God, there is no question. If He exists, there may be much more to the question than you allow. Even Aristotle understood this.

Quote:
And the thing of it all is that such wonders (along with, say, the odd comet plowing into the planet) provide one darned good argument for dismissing the overwhelming scientific consensus on the causes of global warming (including the findings of President Bush's own science panel). Earthquakes rumble and kill Californians, lightening zaps kids playing soccer in Ohio, so therefore there is no reason to engineer buildings to withstand quakes and no reason to educate children to seek proper shelter in a lightening storm.
You (deliberately, I think) miss the point. I was referring to the ever-present suggestion of runaway, chaotic global warming due solely to manmade greenhouse gas emissions: a catastrophie so severe that any cost is acceptable in preventing it, including the imposition of energy use restrictions sufficient to significantly set back the quality of life and depopulate much of the earth. Even California seismic engineers accept a finite probability of structural failure in a major earthquake.


Happy new year, george

I love that modifier "even" preceding "Aristotle". We won't do it here, but christian philosophers have had 2000 years to forward a satisfactory theodicy which might account for natural evil and haven't managed the task.

Thanks for the clarification above. It seemed you'd fallen back a few steps and I felt it necessary to get you to behave.
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 02:55 pm
Some of it is without doubt as of current scientific findings. We do not what the future holds.
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Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 03:43 pm
Walter Hinteler wrote:
I don't think, anyone ever suggested that the 'problems' with the various earth plates are men-made.

But according to Matthew Parris of the London Times, whose facts I admittedly haven't checked, it has been suggested at some point in the Middle Ages that earthquakes are man-made.

Matthew Parris wrote:
Here is my mediaeval namesake, Matthew Paris, writing in 1247: In this same year, on the Ides of February, that is on the eve of St Valentine's day, an earthquake was felt at various places in England, especially at London and above all on the banks of the River Thames. It shook many buildings and was extremely damaging and terrible. It was thought to be significant because earthquakes are unusual and unnatural in these western countries since the solid mass of England lacks those underground caverns and deep cavities in which, according to philosophers, they are usually generated, nor could any reason for it be discovered. It was therefore expected that the end of the ageing world was at hand according to the threats of the gospel....

I also like the interpretation that Matthew Parris (1998) offers for the thesis of Matthew Parris (1247) that earth quakes were god's punishment of human wickedness.

Matthew Parris also wrote:
Matthew was not the first scientist, and has not proved the last, to exploit the human animal's inborn fear of an ungovernable universe. Nor was he first or last to play upon the suspicion that gnaws at the innards of every age: that we are not living as we ought. Find a way of linking these two secret disquiets and you have an unshakable grip on the popular imagination.

Here's how: place at the apex of your order of creation a fiction. If you are born in the Middle Ages, call it God. If you live now, call it the Ecological Balance. Identify a perturbation in nature, then interpret it as a warning that we are living wrongly and should change our ways. Finally, earn yourself status, a pulpit, a Commons cheer, a living, or a research grant by elaborating on the perturbation and enumerating the ways we should change.


Source

I couldn't have said it better myself.
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 03:48 pm
blatham wrote:

Thanks for the clarification above. It seemed you'd fallen back a few steps and I felt it necessary to get you to behave.


Alas the flesh is weak and concentration is limited. Where would I be without you Bernie?
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Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 03:54 pm
Thomas wrote:

I couldn't have said it better myself.


I like him for his map:

http://www.bl.uk/onlinegallery/themes/mapsandviews/images/mattparismaplge.jpg

(Actually, I really liked Hugo of St. Victor better ... not so difficult to translate. :wink: )
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Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 04:16 pm
Louise_R_Heller wrote:

What gives YOU the right to pontificate on SOMETHING, ANYTHING AT ALL, THAT'S JUST PLAIN NOT PROVEN????Climatologists themselves differ and I'm only trained in biology so I simply know to LOOK FOR SCIENTIFIC PROOF a.k.a. A REPEATABLE EXPERIMENT. If YOU, sir, are ANY KIND OF SCIENTIST I wish to know in which discipline trained, where exactly, and grounds for your dogmatic opinions. Thank you very much in advance Smile
Well Louise, we all have the right to pontificate, Madam. Smile
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 04:22 pm
Louise_R_Heller wrote:
I apologize for the capital letters but I wish those who know not how to prove anything in the sciences would kindly consider that results have to be duplicated, giving the same outcome in each case.


With due and subordinated respect, Frau Louise, but I DO know how to prove somethimg in science.
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talk72000
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 04:30 pm
Ms. Heller:

Being a biologist doesn't make you an expert in meteorology. Just an observation.
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Louise R Heller
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 04:33 pm
talk72000 wrote:
Ms. Heller:

Being a biologist doesn't make you an expert in meteorology. Just an observation.



LOL --- certainly not in meteorology (sic) Smile
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Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 04:36 pm
Louise_R_Heller wrote:

If YOU, sir, are ANY KIND OF SCIENTIST I wish to know in which discipline trained, where exactly, and grounds for your dogmatic opinions. Thank you very much in advance Smile


The last time I was asked such, I got my certificate to teach at universities.

What exactly are your offers?
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Louise R Heller
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 04:56 pm
Walter Hinteler wrote:
Louise_R_Heller wrote:

If YOU, sir, are ANY KIND OF SCIENTIST I wish to know in which discipline trained, where exactly, and grounds for your dogmatic opinions. Thank you very much in advance Smile


The last time I was asked such, I got my certificate to teach at universities.

What exactly are your offers?


My offers???

Sorry to say this Herr (Dr? Professor?? Professor Dr???) Hinteler but the dialogue with you brings to mind an Austrian joke:
----------

Q.: How do we know we're smarter than the Germans?
A.: Simple --- we've convinced everybody that Mozart was ours and Hitler was theirs!

----------
Wishing you and everyone else here a very happy 2006 Smile
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 05:11 pm
Gee, a side joke to deflect a direct question...
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2006 06:49 pm
Did you all know that modern chaos theory was developed by a meterorologist? If Lorenz were with us today I suspect he would laugh a great deal at the numerical extrapolations being put forward as "science" by the practicioners of the global warming industry.
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